Flash Flood Warning 35, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
347 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2009

.DISCUSSION...
SECOND SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE NOW ENCOUNTERING BETTER MOISTURE AND STILL
PLENTY OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN TEXAS...AS EVIDENCED
BY FLARE OF OF STORMS ACROSS THE AREA AFTER 2 AM CDT. MEANWHILE...WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS NOW ALONG A PARIS...TERRELL...CORSICANA...MEXIA...
KILLEEN LINE. EXPECT SEVERE THREAT THIS MORNING TO BE MARGINAL SEVERE
HAIL BEHIND THE BOUNDARY...THOUGH A SEVERE WATCH COULD BE ISSUED IN
NEXT HR OR SO AHEAD OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHERE SOME STRONG/DAMAGING
WINDS COULD MIX DOWN IN MORE WARM/SOUPY AIRMASS OVER SE COUNTIES. AS
FOR HYDROLOGIC ISSUES...HAVE CANCELLED FFA W OF I-35 CORRIDOR...AS
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS ARE GOOD AND MOST OF MORNING STORMS SHOULD BE
TO THE SE OF THESE COUNTIES. LEFT AREAS FURTHER EAST IN FFA THROUGH
LATE MORNING WITH MORE SATURATED SOILS AND POSSIBLE LINGERING STORMS
WITH LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH MID MORNING.

EXPECT WEATHER TO IMPROVE QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS NORTH TX
BY THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO EARLY EVENING...AS DISTURBANCE SHIFTS EAST
OF THE REGION WITH SUBSIDENCE IN BEHIND AND FRONT SAGGING E/SE OF THE
AREA. TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY WILL SEE A BRIEF DRY PERIOD. OLD FRONT
MOVES BACK NWD AS A WARM FRONT AND HANGS UP ACROSS RED RIVER VALLEY/SRN
OK TUES-WED...WITH A FEW DISTURBANCES RIPPLING ACROSS OK/KS LATE MON
NIGHT THROUGH WED MORNING. WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS NORTH OF I-20 CORRIDOR
DURING THIS PERIOD. MANY OF THESE AREAS DONT NEED ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AND FUTURE HYDROLOGIC WATCHES MAY BE NEED FOR THE TUES/WED TIME FRAME.
INSTABILITY AND SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION WILL SUPPORT A FEW SEVERE STORMS
AS WELL.

SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER RESPITE/DRY PERIOD THURS THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...BEFORE ANOTHER WEAK FRONT EASES INTO NORTH TEXAS AND
PROVIDES A WEAK FOCUS FOR A FEW MORE STORMS.

05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  71  54  75  61  83 /  20   5   5  20  20
WACO, TX              76  56  76  64  88 /  40   5   5   5   5
PARIS, TX             68  52  72  57  78 /  60   5   5  20  40
DENTON, TX            69  50  74  60  79 /  20   5   5  20  30
MCKINNEY, TX          70  54  74  59  81 /  30   5   5  20  30
DALLAS, TX            72  55  75  62  83 /  30   5   5  20  20
TERRELL, TX           72  56  74  60  83 /  50   5   5  10  20
CORSICANA, TX         74  57  76  60  85 /  70   5   5   5  10
TEMPLE, TX            78  58  78  65  88 /  40   5   5   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY FOR TXZ092>095-103>107-
118>123.

&&

/05

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
322 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2009

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-041100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
322 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 AND ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35 THROUGH NOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...AND AGAIN ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE WITH EACH EVENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TODAY ALONG AND EAST OF A GAINESVILLE
TO COMANCHE LINE.

SCHULTZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
330 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2009

TXZ104-119-030900-
COLLIN TX-DALLAS TX-
330 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHERN COLLIN COUNTY
  DALLAS COUNTY

AT 329 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FRISCO TO 2 MILES
NORTHEAST OF ARLINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE ADDISON...ALLEN...
CARROLLTON...DALLAS...DESOTO...DUNCANVILLE...FRISCO...GARLAND...GRAND
PRAIRIE...IRVING...ROWLETT...UNIVERSITY PARK...WILMER AND WYLIE.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND HAIL TO 1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER CAN BE EXPECTED
FROM THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3319 9641 3299 9650 3298 9652 3296 9651
      3255 9670 3263 9702 3284 9703 3300 9694
      3300 9684 3316 9684 3320 9682
TIME...MOT...LOC 0829Z 292DEG 23KT 3314 9680 3273 9707

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
332 AM CDT SUN MAY 03 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 AM     HAIL             SOUTHLAKE               32.95N  97.15W
05/03/2009  E0.75 INCH       TARRANT            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY HAIL REPORTED AT HWY 114 AND KIMBALL IN SOUTHLAKE

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>