Flash Flood Warning 102, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
416 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

.DISCUSSION...
FRONT HAS ENTERED NW ZONES...AND WILL TRAVERSE THE CWA FROM WEST TO
EAST OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY. NO POSTFRONTAL PRECIP EVIDENCE OF
SIGNIFICANT DOWNGLIDE AND DRY ADVECTION UPWARDS OF 850MB. POP/WX
GRIDS SHOW SIGNIFICANT GRADIENT WITH FROPA. STILL POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN EAST OF I-35 BEYOND THE END OF THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH. AN EXTENSION MAY BE NEEDED...BUT WOULD LIKELY NOT
INCLUDE DALLAS/FORT WORTH...WACO/TEMPLE/KILLEEN...OR SHERMAN/
DENISON.

CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE FROM WEST TO EAST...ALLOWING FOR A COOL
NIGHT IN THE 40S. UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL PASS THROUGH DRY FRIDAY
NIGHT...WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER. ABUNDANT SUNSHINE
WILL BUOY TEMPERATURES BACK IN THE 70S FOR A SPECTACULAR SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE RAPID SUCCESSION OF FRONTAL PASSAGES WILL
CONTINUE WITH ANOTHER FROPA LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
MOISTURE RETURN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY SHOULD ALLOW FOR FRONTAL
CONVECTION. ANOTHER BRIEF RESPITE BEFORE NEXT FRONT ARRIVES THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  64  46  66  48  74 /  30   0   0   0   0
WACO, TX              67  48  69  48  76 /  50   0   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             64  42  62  44  69 /  90   5   0   5   0
DENTON, TX            64  43  66  43  73 /  30   0   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          64  44  65  44  73 /  50   5   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            64  47  66  50  74 /  40   0   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           65  46  66  46  73 /  70   5   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         67  46  67  48  75 /  70   5   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            68  48  70  47  75 /  50   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
TXZ091>095-102>107-117>123-131>135-144>148-157>162-174-175.

&&

58/25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
735 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2009

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-230045-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
735 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING ALONG
AND EAST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO WEATHERFORD AND COPPERAS COVE.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT
WITH TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES AND ISOLATED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 4
INCHES. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...BUT NO
SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THURSDAY AS A COLD
FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH NORTH TEXAS. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY
STILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR EASTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH MID-
MORNING.

LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AS
ANOTHER COLD FRONT AND DISTURBANCE ALOFT AFFECT THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED FOR FLOODING PROBLEMS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1117 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 NW CLEBURNE           32.40N  97.46W
10/21/2009                   JOHNSON            TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW RURAL ROADS AROUND THE COUNTY ARE CLOSED DUE TO
            HIGH WATER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1259 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1234 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 E GRANBURY            32.45N  97.71W
10/22/2009                   HOOD               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CREEKS 3 TO 5 FEET OVER THEIR BANKS AT DECORDOVA...5
            MILES EAST OF GRANBURY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
240 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0239 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LAMPASAS                31.07N  98.18W
10/22/2009                   LAMPASAS           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL STREETS IN LAMPASAS ARE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER

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