Flash Flood Warning 50, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 041122
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
622 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 2009

TXC029-041215-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.W.0050.000000T0000Z-091004T1215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BEXAR TX-
622 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 AM CDT FOR BEXAR
COUNTY...

AT 618 AM CDT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN
WERE CONTINUING OVER BEXAR COUNTY.  THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT HOUR...AND CAUSE FLOODING AT LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND IN 
LOW LYING AREAS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ONE TO TWO INCHES OR     
MORE IS EXPECTED.  THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL BE QUICK TO
RUNOFF AND CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE TIMBERWOOD PARK...THE
DOMINION...LEON SPRINGS...HOLLYWOOD PARK...FAIR OAKS RANCH AND CROSS
MOUNTAIN.

LAT...LON 2925 9880 2970 9881 2972 9878 2976 9856
      2972 9845 2975 9842 2974 9837 2972 9835
      2971 9839 2968 9839 2961 9834 2956 9829
      2957 9825 2949 9817 2949 9813 2941 9817
      2911 9842

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
442 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A WIDE RANGE OF WEATHER CHANGES IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND FOR AN EARLY TO MID OCTOBER SETTING.  FOR TODAY...TRENDS
FROM YESTERDAY TO EARLY THIS MORNING SHOW WAVE OF S/W ENERGY
COMING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THAT HAVE DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT WITH WARM ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO
TRACK EAST EARLY THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER WAVE OF RAIN
AND SHOWERS TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST. WITH THE CONTINUED POTENTIAL
OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN FROM THIS EARLY OCT. WEATHER PATTERN...
SHOWED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 7 PM CDT TODAY...FOR AN AREA
ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM MOUNTAIN HOME IN KERR COUNTY TO
HONDO TO PEARSALL.  THIS INCLUDES THE METROPOLITAN AREAS OF
AUSTIN AND SAN ANTONIO. RAIN AND SHOWERS FOR TODAY COULD
CONTINUE FOR PART OF THIS EVENING.  ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN
WITH SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE MONDAY...AS ANOTHER
FALL RAIN MAKING WEATHER SYSTEM COMES ACROSS FROM THE WEST
AGAIN. SHOWED CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH THIS PATTERN FOR MONDAY.

ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE CONDITIONS DEVELOP
AS THE STORM TRACK GOES A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH. AS A RESULT
EXPECT LATE NIGHT AND MORNING CLOUDS TO PARTLY CLOUDY AND
WARM AFTERNOONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS. BY THURSDAY A FEW CHANGES IN WEATHER PATTERNS
SHOWS UP AS A STRONG 500 HPA TROF APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
THIS WILL CAUSE INCREASING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
ON THURSDAY.  AS THE STORM TRACK COMES FURTHER SOUTH LATE
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THE TROF TO THE WEST WILL MOVE
FASTER...AND BRING WITH IT A COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY.
SHOWED MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN
AND SHOWERS FRIDAY AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. THE COLD FRONT
FOR FRIDAY WILL BRING A CHANGE TO TEMPERATURES WITH
COOLER OVERNIGHT LOWS AND MILD TO WARM DAYTIME HIGHS
NEXT WEEKEND...OCT. 10TH AND 11TH. EXPECT SHOWERS ON
FRIDAY NIGHT TO TRACK TO THE EAST...WITH RAIN CHANCES
DECREASING QUICKLY FROM THE WEST SATURDAY.  AS A RESULT
SHOWED MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS FOR
SATURDAY...AS DRY AND COOLER AIR SPILLS OVER THE AREA
FROM THE NORTHWEST. MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
NEXT SATURDAY NIGHT OF THIS COMING WEEKEND TO MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES ON SUNDAY OCT. 11.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              81  67  84  77  91 /  80  50  50  30  20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  81  67  84  74  91 /  80  50  50  30  20
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     82  69  86  74  92 /  80  50  50  20  20
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            80  65  80  74  89 /  80  50  50  30  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           83  71  89  76  91 /  70  30  30  20  20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        80  66  82  74  89 /  80  50  50  30  20
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             85  72  88  75  92 /  80  50  50  20  20
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        82  67  85  74  91 /  80  50  50  30  20
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   81  68  86  75  91 /  80  50  50  30  20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       84  72  86  77  91 /  80  50  50  20  20
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           86  72  88  76  92 /  80  50  50  20  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:
ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL...
COMAL...DE WITT...FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...GONZALES...
GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...
MEDINA...TRAVIS...WILLIAMSON...WILSON.

&&

08/25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
300 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2009

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-041030-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
300 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE WILL COMBINE WITH DEEP ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE
AND RESULT IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. MOST OF THE
RAINFALL WILL BE BENEFICIAL...HOWEVER THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE ONE
HALF OF AN INCH TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES OVERNIGHT...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER TOTALS OF TWO INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE.

.DAY TWO...SUNDAY...
THE CHANCE FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDDAY
ON SUNDAY. THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL END AS A WARM FRONT
MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. NEW RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ON SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO SATURDAY WITH WIDESPREAD TOTALS OF ONE
HALF OF AN INCH TO ONE INCH WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS OF TWO
INCHES.

.DAYS THREE THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.