Alert archive / Rhode Island / Coastal Flood Statements in 2009
Coastal Flood Statement 6, NWS Boston/Norton, MA
NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this coastal flood statement at Oct 17, 2009, 3:59 PM EDT for 5 counties in Rhode Island. It took effect at Oct 18, 2009, 6:00 AM EDT. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 17, 2009, 3:59 PM EDT (19:59 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 18, 2009, 6:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 18, 2009, 4:59 AM EDT
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Boston/Norton, MA
Counties Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI
The radar
The Boston radar (KBOX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 125 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -7 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 764 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -17 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 54 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WHUS41 KBOX 171959
CFWBOX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
359 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009
...A STRONG GALE TO AFFECT SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY WITH COASTAL
FLOODING...
MAZ007-015-016-019-022>024-180630-
/O.UPG.KBOX.CF.A.0002.091018T1200Z-091018T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.CF.W.0001.091018T1200Z-091018T2200Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
359 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY.
THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
THE WARNING IS FOR POCKETS OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING PRIMARILY
ALONG THE EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSURES OF THE CAPE AND ISLANDS
NORTHWARD TO SCITUATE...HULL..WINTHROP...REVERE...MARBLEHEAD...
VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES ON OUTER CAPE ANN PROBABLY ON UP TO PLUM
ISLAND AND NEWBURYPORT.
THERE IS A GREATER RISK OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING WITHIN 2 HOURS
OF THE MIDDAY SUNDAY HIGH TIDE THAN EXISTED FOR YESTERDAY. THIS
SHOULD INVOLVE MANY BRIEF ROAD CLOSURES AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
A SURGE OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET IS FORECAST WITH AN ALREADY ASTRONOMICALLY
INCREASING TIDE CYCLE AROUND NOON SUNDAY. THE MID AFTERNOON SURGE
TODAY WAS STILL AROUND 1 FOOT DESPITE THE STORM ONLY IN ITS FORMATIVE
STAGES EAST OF THE VIRGINIA CAPES.
AT A MINIMUM...EXTENSIVE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE SUNDAY...WITH A HIGH PROBABILITY FOR POCKETS
OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. THIS FLOODING IN PART WILL BE AIDED BY
THE FORECAST RAIN SWEPT SEAS OF 12 TO 18 FEET DRIVEN ASHORE BY NORTH
TO NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTS RANGING BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. GUSTS MAY TOP
OUT NEAR 55 MPH ON THE CAPE AND ISLANDS.
THERE HAS BEEN A REPORT OF CONSIDERABLE BEACH EROSION THE PAST DAY OR
SO AND SUBSTANTIAL EROSION IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. THIS EROSION COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
WHERE ALREADY KNOWN TO BE IN JEOPARDY.
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE SUNDAY NIGHT HIGH
TIDE CYCLE WITH STILL VERY HIGH SEAS BUT PROBABLY A LITTLE LESS WIND
WHICH SHOULD TURN NORTHERLY DURING THE NIGHT.
PLEASE FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIAL SUNDAY AND BE PREPARED
FOR POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES AT THE TYPICALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS.
&&
ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.
BOSTON HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
11.8 17/11 PM 10.7 1.1 1-2 NONE
13.1 18/12 PM 11.5 1.6 1 NONE
11.3 19/12 AM 10.6 0.7 2-3 NONE
11.9 19/12 PM 11.4 0.5 2 NONE
10.3 20/01 AM 10.4 -0.1 2 NONE
11.0 20/01 PM 11.3 -0.3 2 NONE
SCITUATE
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
11.2 17/11 PM 10.2 1.0 8-9 NONE
12.6 18/12 PM 11.0 1.6 11-13 MODERATE
10.8 19/12 AM 10.1 0.7 12 MINOR
11.4 19/12 PM 10.8 0.6 10-11 MINOR
9.8 20/01 AM 9.9 -0.1 6-7 NONE
10.4 20/01 PM 10.7 -0.3 2-3 NONE
NEWBURYPORT
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
9.9 18/12 AM 8.9 1.0 5-6 NONE
11.0 18/12 PM 9.5 1.5 7 NONE
9.3 19/12 AM 8.7 0.6 8 NONE
9.9 19/01 PM 9.4 0.5 7-8 NONE
8.5 20/01 AM 8.5 0.0 5-6 NONE
9.2 20/01 PM 9.2 0.0 2-3 NONE
GLOUCESTER HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
10.8 18/12 AM 9.8 1.0 8-9 NONE
12.0 18/12 PM 10.5 1.5 9-11 MINOR
10.2 19/12 AM 9.6 0.6 12 NONE
10.9 19/01 PM 10.4 0.5 10-11 MINOR
9.4 20/01 AM 9.5 -0.1 6-7 NONE
9.9 20/01 PM 10.2 -0.3 2-3 NONE
SANDWICH HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
10.8 18/12 AM 9.7 1.1 3-5 NONE
11.9 18/12 PM 10.5 1.4 7 MINOR
9.9 19/12 AM 9.5 0.4 5-6 NONE
10.8 19/12 PM 10.3 0.5 4 NONE
9.3 20/01 AM 9.3 0.0 3-4 NONE
10.2 20/01 PM 10.2 0.0 2 NONE
PROVINCETOWN HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
10.1 18/12 AM 9.6 0.5 2-3 NONE
10.5 18/12 PM 10.3 0.2 7 NONE
9.0 19/12 AM 9.3 -0.3 3-4 NONE
10.2 19/01 PM 10.2 0.0 2 NONE
8.9 20/01 AM 9.2 -0.3 2-3 NONE
9.7 20/01 PM 10.0 -0.3 2-3 NONE
CHATHAM - EAST COAST
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
6.0 18/12 AM 4.9 1.1 8-9 NONE
6.4 18/12 PM 5.2 1.2 13 NONE
5.1 19/12 AM 4.7 0.4 10 NONE
5.7 19/01 PM 5.2 0.5 8-9 NONE
4.5 20/01 AM 4.6 -0.1 5-6 NONE
4.7 20/01 PM 5.0 -0.3 3-4 NONE
CHATHAM - SOUTH COAST
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
6.7 18/12 AM 5.5 1.2 2-3 NONE
7.7 18/12 PM 5.9 1.8 6 NONE
6.0 19/01 AM 5.3 0.7 2-3 NONE
6.3 19/01 PM 5.8 0.5 2 NONE
5.2 20/01 AM 5.2 0.0 2-3 NONE
5.6 20/01 PM 5.6 0.0 2-3 NONE
BUZZARDS BAY - WOODS HOLE
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
3.3 17/09 PM 2.4 0.9 2-3 NONE
5.3 18/09 AM 3.2 2.1 3 NONE
2.4 18/09 PM 2.3 0.1 2 NONE
3.6 19/10 AM 3.2 0.4 1 NONE
2.1 19/10 PM 2.2 -0.1 2 NONE
2.8 20/10 AM 3.0 -0.2 1-2 NONE
VINEYARD HAVEN
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
4.3 17/11 PM 3.2 1.2 2-3 NONE
6.0 18/11 AM 3.6 2.4 3 NONE
3.7 19/12 AM 3.1 0.6 2 NONE
4.0 19/12 PM 3.6 0.5 1 NONE
2.9 20/01 AM 3.0 -0.1 2 NONE
3.2 20/01 PM 3.6 -0.4 1-2 NONE
NANTUCKET
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
2.8 17/06 PM 1.8 1.0 6 NONE
5.1 18/12 AM 3.8 1.3 7-9 NONE
6.0 18/12 PM 4.2 1.8 14 MODERATE
4.4 19/01 AM 3.7 0.7 7-8 NONE
4.6 19/01 PM 4.2 0.4 6-7 NONE
3.6 20/02 AM 3.6 0.0 5 NONE
$$
RIZ002-004>007-180630-
/O.NEW.KBOX.CF.S.0006.091018T1000Z-091018T1400Z/
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-
359 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009
DESPITE A NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND SUNDAY...THE TIDE IN THE UPPER
REACHES OF NARRAGANSETT BAY WILL BE QUITE HIGH AND MAY BE A MINOR
FLOOD STAGE. THE MOST THREATENED REGION IS THE FOX POINT AREA NEAR
PROVIDENCE.
THE STORM TIDES LISTED BELOW FOR SUNDAY MORNING IN THE UPPER REACHES
OF NARRAGANSETT BAY MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY LOWER IN FUTURE
FORECASTS.
&&
ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.
POINT JUDITH
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
4.8 18/08 PM 3.7 1.1 4-5 NONE
6.5 18/08 AM 4.3 2.2 6 NONE
3.6 18/09 PM 3.5 0.1 5 NONE
4.8 19/09 AM 4.3 0.5 4 NONE
3.2 19/09 PM 3.3 -0.1 3 NONE
3.9 20/10 AM 4.1 -0.2 3 NONE
WESTERLY
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
4.3 18/08 PM 3.1 1.2 4 NONE
6.0 18/09 AM 3.9 2.1 3 NONE
3.1 18/09 PM 3.0 0.1 4 NONE
4.3 19/10 AM 3.8 0.5 2-3 NONE
2.7 19/10 PM 2.9 -0.2 2 NONE
3.4 20/10 AM 3.6 -0.2 2 NONE
NARRAGANSETT BAY - CONIMICUT POINT
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
5.7 18/08 PM 4.8 0.9 1 NONE
7.5 18/09 AM 5.5 2.0 1 MINOR
4.7 18/09 PM 4.7 0.0 1 NONE
5.7 19/09 AM 5.4 0.3 1 NONE
4.2 19/10 PM 4.4 -0.2 1 NONE
5.0 20/10 AM 5.2 -0.2 1 NONE
NARRAGANSETT BAY - FOX POINT
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
6.2 18/08 PM 5.3 0.9 1 NONE
8.1 18/09 AM 6.1 2.0 1 MODERATE
5.2 18/09 PM 5.2 -0.1 1 NONE
6.2 19/09 AM 6.0 0.2 1 NONE
4.8 19/10 PM 5.0 -0.2 1 NONE
5.6 20/10 AM 5.7 -0.1 1 NONE
NEWPORT HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
3.5 18/01 AM 2.1 1.4 2 NONE
7.1 18/08 AM 5.0 2.1 2 MINOR
4.4 18/09 PM 4.3 0.1 2-3 NONE
5.4 19/09 AM 5.0 0.4 2 NONE
3.9 19/10 PM 4.1 -0.2 2 NONE
4.6 20/10 AM 4.8 -0.2 2 NONE
$$
DRAG2 follow-up statements
000
WHUS41 KBOX 180128
CFWBOX
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
928 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009
...A STRONG GALE TO AFFECT SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY WITH
COASTAL FLOODING...
MAZ007-015-016-019-022>024-180930-
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.W.0001.091018T1200Z-091018T2200Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
928 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...
A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY.
THE WARNING IS FOR POCKETS OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING PRIMARILY
ALONG THE EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSURES OF THE CAPE AND ISLANDS
NORTHWARD TO SCITUATE...HULL..WINTHROP...REVERE...MARBLEHEAD...
VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES ON OUTER CAPE ANN PROBABLY ON UP TO PLUM
ISLAND AND NEWBURYPORT.
THERE IS A GREATER RISK OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING WITHIN
2 HOURS OF THE MIDDAY SUNDAY HIGH TIDE THAN EXISTED FOR
YESTERDAY. THIS SHOULD INVOLVE MANY BRIEF ROAD CLOSURES AND
POSSIBLY ISOLATED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
A SURGE OF 1.5 TO 2 FEET IS FORECAST WITH AN ALREADY
ASTRONOMICALLY INCREASING TIDE CYCLE AROUND NOON SUNDAY. THE MID
AFTERNOON SURGE TODAY WAS STILL AROUND 1 FOOT DESPITE THE STORM
ONLY IN ITS FORMATIVE STAGES EAST OF THE VIRGINIA CAPES.
AT A MINIMUM...EXTENSIVE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED
AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE SUNDAY...WITH A HIGH PROBABILITY
FOR POCKETS OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. THIS FLOODING IN PART
WILL BE AIDED BY THE FORECAST RAIN SWEPT SEAS OF 12 TO 18 FEET
DRIVEN ASHORE BY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTS RANGING BETWEEN
35 AND 45 MPH. GUSTS MAY TOP OUT NEAR 55 MPH ON THE CAPE AND
ISLANDS.
THERE HAS BEEN A REPORT OF CONSIDERABLE BEACH EROSION THE PAST
DAY OR SO AND SUBSTANTIAL EROSION IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THIS EROSION COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE WHERE ALREADY KNOWN TO BE IN JEOPARDY.
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE SUNDAY NIGHT
HIGH TIDE CYCLE WITH STILL VERY HIGH SEAS BUT PROBABLY A LITTLE
LESS WIND WHICH SHOULD TURN NORTHERLY DURING THE NIGHT.
PLEASE FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIAL SUNDAY AND BE PREPARED
FOR POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES AT THE TYPICALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS.
&&
ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.
BOSTON HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
11.8 17/11 PM 10.7 1.1 1-2 NONE
13.1 18/12 PM 11.5 1.6 1 NONE
11.3 19/12 AM 10.6 0.7 2-3 NONE
11.9 19/12 PM 11.4 0.5 2 NONE
10.3 20/01 AM 10.4 -0.1 2 NONE
11.0 20/01 PM 11.3 -0.3 2 NONE
SCITUATE
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
11.2 17/11 PM 10.2 1.0 8-9 NONE
12.6 18/12 PM 11.0 1.6 11-13 MODERATE
10.8 19/12 AM 10.1 0.7 12 MINOR
11.4 19/12 PM 10.8 0.6 10-11 MINOR
9.8 20/01 AM 9.9 -0.1 6-7 NONE
10.4 20/01 PM 10.7 -0.3 2-3 NONE
NEWBURYPORT
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
9.9 18/12 AM 8.9 1.0 5-6 NONE
11.0 18/12 PM 9.5 1.5 7 NONE
9.3 19/12 AM 8.7 0.6 8 NONE
9.9 19/01 PM 9.4 0.5 7-8 NONE
8.5 20/01 AM 8.5 0.0 5-6 NONE
9.2 20/01 PM 9.2 0.0 2-3 NONE
GLOUCESTER HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
10.8 18/12 AM 9.8 1.0 8-9 NONE
12.0 18/12 PM 10.5 1.5 9-11 MINOR
10.2 19/12 AM 9.6 0.6 12 NONE
10.9 19/01 PM 10.4 0.5 10-11 MINOR
9.4 20/01 AM 9.5 -0.1 6-7 NONE
9.9 20/01 PM 10.2 -0.3 2-3 NONE
SANDWICH HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
10.8 18/12 AM 9.7 1.1 3-5 NONE
11.9 18/12 PM 10.5 1.4 7 MINOR
9.9 19/12 AM 9.5 0.4 5-6 NONE
10.8 19/12 PM 10.3 0.5 4 NONE
9.3 20/01 AM 9.3 0.0 3-4 NONE
10.2 20/01 PM 10.2 0.0 2 NONE
PROVINCETOWN HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
10.1 18/12 AM 9.6 0.5 2-3 NONE
10.5 18/12 PM 10.3 0.2 7 NONE
9.0 19/12 AM 9.3 -0.3 3-4 NONE
10.2 19/01 PM 10.2 0.0 2 NONE
8.9 20/01 AM 9.2 -0.3 2-3 NONE
9.7 20/01 PM 10.0 -0.3 2-3 NONE
CHATHAM - EAST COAST
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
6.0 18/12 AM 4.9 1.1 8-9 NONE
6.4 18/12 PM 5.2 1.2 13 NONE
5.1 19/12 AM 4.7 0.4 10 NONE
5.7 19/01 PM 5.2 0.5 8-9 NONE
4.5 20/01 AM 4.6 -0.1 5-6 NONE
4.7 20/01 PM 5.0 -0.3 3-4 NONE
CHATHAM - SOUTH COAST
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
6.7 18/12 AM 5.5 1.2 2-3 NONE
7.7 18/12 PM 5.9 1.8 6 NONE
6.0 19/01 AM 5.3 0.7 2-3 NONE
6.3 19/01 PM 5.8 0.5 2 NONE
5.2 20/01 AM 5.2 0.0 2-3 NONE
5.6 20/01 PM 5.6 0.0 2-3 NONE
BUZZARDS BAY - WOODS HOLE
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
3.3 17/09 PM 2.4 0.9 2-3 NONE
5.3 18/09 AM 3.2 2.1 3 NONE
2.4 18/09 PM 2.3 0.1 2 NONE
3.6 19/10 AM 3.2 0.4 1 NONE
2.1 19/10 PM 2.2 -0.1 2 NONE
2.8 20/10 AM 3.0 -0.2 1-2 NONE
VINEYARD HAVEN
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
4.3 17/11 PM 3.2 1.2 2-3 NONE
6.0 18/11 AM 3.6 2.4 3 NONE
3.7 19/12 AM 3.1 0.6 2 NONE
4.0 19/12 PM 3.6 0.5 1 NONE
2.9 20/01 AM 3.0 -0.1 2 NONE
3.2 20/01 PM 3.6 -0.4 1-2 NONE
NANTUCKET
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
2.8 17/06 PM 1.8 1.0 6 NONE
5.1 18/12 AM 3.8 1.3 7-9 NONE
6.0 18/12 PM 4.2 1.8 14 MODERATE
4.4 19/01 AM 3.7 0.7 7-8 NONE
4.6 19/01 PM 4.2 0.4 6-7 NONE
3.6 20/02 AM 3.6 0.0 5 NONE
$$
RIZ002-004>007-180930-
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.S.0006.091018T1000Z-091018T1400Z/
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-
928 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009
DESPITE A NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND SUNDAY...THE TIDE IN THE UPPER
REACHES OF NARRAGANSETT BAY WILL BE QUITE HIGH AND MAY BE A MINOR
FLOOD STAGE. THE MOST THREATENED REGION IS THE FOX POINT AREA
NEAR PROVIDENCE.
THE STORM TIDES LISTED BELOW FOR SUNDAY MORNING IN THE UPPER
REACHES OF NARRAGANSETT BAY MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY
LOWER IN FUTURE FORECASTS.
&&
ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.
POINT JUDITH
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
4.8 18/08 PM 3.7 1.1 4-5 NONE
6.5 18/08 AM 4.3 2.2 6 NONE
3.6 18/09 PM 3.5 0.1 5 NONE
4.8 19/09 AM 4.3 0.5 4 NONE
3.2 19/09 PM 3.3 -0.1 3 NONE
3.9 20/10 AM 4.1 -0.2 3 NONE
WESTERLY
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
4.3 18/08 PM 3.1 1.2 4 NONE
6.0 18/09 AM 3.9 2.1 3 NONE
3.1 18/09 PM 3.0 0.1 4 NONE
4.3 19/10 AM 3.8 0.5 2-3 NONE
2.7 19/10 PM 2.9 -0.2 2 NONE
3.4 20/10 AM 3.6 -0.2 2 NONE
NARRAGANSETT BAY - CONIMICUT POINT
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
5.7 18/08 PM 4.8 0.9 1 NONE
7.5 18/09 AM 5.5 2.0 1 MINOR
4.7 18/09 PM 4.7 0.0 1 NONE
5.7 19/09 AM 5.4 0.3 1 NONE
4.2 19/10 PM 4.4 -0.2 1 NONE
5.0 20/10 AM 5.2 -0.2 1 NONE
NARRAGANSETT BAY - FOX POINT
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
6.2 18/08 PM 5.3 0.9 1 NONE
8.1 18/09 AM 6.1 2.0 1 MODERATE
5.2 18/09 PM 5.2 -0.1 1 NONE
6.2 19/09 AM 6.0 0.2 1 NONE
4.8 19/10 PM 5.0 -0.2 1 NONE
5.6 20/10 AM 5.7 -0.1 1 NONE
NEWPORT HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
3.5 18/01 AM 2.1 1.4 2 NONE
7.1 18/08 AM 5.0 2.1 2 MINOR
4.4 18/09 PM 4.3 0.1 2-3 NONE
5.4 19/09 AM 5.0 0.4 2 NONE
3.9 19/10 PM 4.1 -0.2 2 NONE
4.6 20/10 AM 4.8 -0.2 2 NONE
$$000
WHUS41 KBOX 180859
CFWBOX
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
459 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2009
...A STRONG GALE TO AFFECT SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY WITH
COASTAL FLOODING...
RIZ002-004>007-181000-
/O.CAN.KBOX.CF.S.0006.091018T1000Z-091018T1400Z/
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-
459 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2009
THE RISK FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED NEAR FOX POINT -
PROVIDENCE ON THE UPPER REACHES OF NARRAGANSETT BAY.
&&
ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.
POINT JUDITH
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
5.2 18/08 AM 4.3 0.9 5 NONE
4.2 18/09 PM 3.5 0.7 5 NONE
4.9 19/09 AM 4.3 0.6 4 NONE
3.5 19/09 PM 3.3 0.2 3 NONE
3.8 20/10 AM 4.1 -0.3 2-3 NONE
2.7 20/10 PM 3.2 -0.5 2-3 NONE
WESTERLY
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
5.0 18/09 AM 3.9 1.1 3 NONE
3.7 18/09 PM 3.0 0.7 4 NONE
4.4 19/10 AM 3.8 0.6 2-3 NONE
3.0 19/10 PM 2.9 0.1 2 NONE
3.3 20/10 AM 3.6 -0.3 1-2 NONE
2.2 20/11 PM 2.7 -0.5 1-2 NONE
NEWPORT HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
2.9 18/02 PM 2.0 0.9 2 NONE
4.7 18/09 PM 4.3 0.4 2-3 NONE
5.5 19/09 AM 5.0 0.5 2 NONE
4.2 19/10 PM 4.1 0.1 2 NONE
4.5 20/10 AM 4.8 -0.3 1-2 NONE
3.4 20/10 PM 3.9 -0.5 2 NONE
NARRAGANSETT BAY - CONIMICUT POINT
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
6.5 18/09 AM 5.5 1.0 1 NONE
5.2 18/09 PM 4.7 0.6 1 NONE
6.1 19/09 AM 5.4 0.7 1 NONE
4.4 19/10 PM 4.4 0.0 1 NONE
4.9 20/10 AM 5.2 -0.3 1 NONE
3.5 20/10 PM 4.0 -0.5 1 NONE
NARRAGANSETT BAY - FOX POINT
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
7.0 18/09 AM 6.1 0.9 1 NONE
5.8 18/09 PM 5.2 0.5 1 NONE
6.6 19/09 AM 6.0 0.6 1 NONE
5.0 19/10 PM 5.0 0.0 1 NONE
5.3 20/10 AM 5.7 -0.3 1 NONE
4.2 20/10 PM 4.7 -0.5 1 NONE
$$
MAZ007-015-016-019-022>024-181700-
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.W.0001.091018T1200Z-091018T2200Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
459 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2009
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
THE WARNING IS FOR POCKETS OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING PRIMARILY
ALONG THE EAST FACING OCEAN EXPOSURES OF THE CAPE AND ISLANDS
NORTHWARD TO SCITUATE...HULL..WINTHROP...REVERE...MARBLEHEAD...
VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES ON OUTER CAPE ANN PROBABLY ON UP TO PLUM
ISLAND AND NEWBURYPORT.
THERE IS A GREATER RISK OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING WITHIN 2 HOURS OF
TODAYS MIDDAY HIGH TIDE THAN EXISTED FOR FRIDAY. THIS SHOULD INVOLVE
MANY BRIEF ROAD CLOSURES AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
A SURGE OF AROUND 1.5 FEET IS FORECAST. A PREDAWN CHECK OF THE
BOSTON AND NANTUCKET TIDE GAGES SHOWED A SURGE OF AROUND 1 FOOT.
SEAS AT 4AM EAST OF BOSTON WERE AROUND 8 FEET AND EAST OF NANTUCKET
AROUND 10 FEET.
THE SEAS AND SURGE SHOULD BUILD STEADILY BETWEEN 6 AM AND NOON IN
RESPONSE TO THE INCREASING WIND.
AT A MINIMUM...EXTENSIVE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND
THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TODAY...WITH A HIGH PROBABILITY FOR POCKETS OF
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. THIS FLOODING IN PART WILL BE AIDED BY THE
FORECAST RAIN SWEPT SEAS OF 12 TO 18 FEET DRIVEN ASHORE BY NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTS RANGING BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. GUSTS MAY TOP
OUT NEAR 55 MPH ON THE CAPE AND ISLANDS.
THERE HAS BEEN A REPORT OF CONSIDERABLE BEACH EROSION THE PAST
DAY OR SO AND SUBSTANTIAL EROSION IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THIS EROSION COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE WHERE ALREADY KNOWN TO BE IN JEOPARDY.
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED DURING TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLE
WITH STILL VERY HIGH SEAS. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING MAY BE NEED TO BE EXTENDED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA.
EVEN MIDDAY MONDAY COULD STILL SEE SPLASH OVER FROM LEFTOVER HIGH
SEAS...DESPITE THE IMPROVING WEATHER.
PLEASE FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIAL SUNDAY AND BE PREPARED
FOR POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES AT THE TYPICALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS.
&&
ALL TIDE HEIGHTS ARE RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.
BOSTON HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
13.0 18/12 PM 11.4 1.6 1 NONE
11.8 19/12 AM 10.5 1.3 2 NONE
12.5 19/12 PM 11.4 1.1 2 NONE
10.2 20/01 AM 10.3 -0.1 2 NONE
10.8 20/01 PM 11.2 -0.4 2 NONE
9.5 21/02 AM 9.9 -0.4 2 NONE
SCITUATE
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
12.4 18/12 PM 10.9 1.5 11-14 MODERATE
11.2 19/12 AM 10.0 1.2 13-14 MINOR
11.9 19/12 PM 10.8 1.1 10-11 MODERATE
9.8 20/01 AM 9.8 0.0 6-7 NONE
10.2 20/01 PM 10.6 -0.4 2-3 NONE
9.1 21/02 AM 9.4 -0.3 2 NONE
NEWBURYPORT
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
10.8 18/12 PM 9.4 1.4 6-9 NONE
9.7 19/12 AM 8.6 1.1 10 NONE
10.3 19/12 PM 9.3 1.0 7-8 NONE
8.5 20/01 AM 8.4 0.1 5-6 NONE
9.1 20/01 PM 9.1 0.0 2-3 NONE
8.1 21/02 AM 8.1 0.0 1 NONE
GLOUCESTER HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
11.9 18/12 PM 10.4 1.5 9-14 MINOR
10.6 19/12 AM 9.5 1.1 15-16 MINOR
11.3 19/12 PM 10.3 1.0 10-11 MINOR
9.4 20/01 AM 9.4 0.0 6-7 NONE
9.7 20/01 PM 10.1 -0.4 2-3 NONE
8.7 21/02 AM 9.0 -0.3 2 NONE
SANDWICH HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
12.2 18/12 PM 10.5 1.7 9-12 MINOR
10.7 19/12 AM 9.5 1.2 7-8 NONE
11.4 19/01 PM 10.3 1.1 4-6 NONE
9.4 20/01 AM 9.3 0.1 4-5 NONE
10.2 20/01 PM 10.2 0.0 2-3 NONE
9.0 21/02 AM 9.0 0.0 2 NONE
PROVINCETOWN HARBOR
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
10.5 18/12 PM 10.7 -0.2 6-7 NONE
9.5 19/12 AM 9.7 -0.2 3-4 NONE
10.4 19/01 PM 10.6 -0.2 2 NONE
9.4 20/01 AM 9.6 -0.2 3 NONE
10.2 20/01 PM 10.4 -0.2 2 NONE
9.0 21/02 AM 9.2 -0.2 2 NONE
CHATHAM - EAST COAST
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
5.8 18/12 PM 5.2 0.6 13-14 NONE
5.4 19/12 AM 4.7 0.7 13-14 NONE
5.8 19/01 PM 5.2 0.6 10-11 NONE
4.7 20/01 AM 4.6 0.1 6-7 NONE
4.6 20/01 PM 5.0 -0.4 3-4 NONE
4.2 21/02 AM 4.5 -0.3 2 NONE
CHATHAM - SOUTH COAST
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
7.4 18/12 PM 5.9 1.5 5-6 NONE
6.8 19/01 AM 5.3 1.5 2-3 NONE
7.2 19/01 PM 5.8 1.4 2 NONE
5.3 20/01 AM 5.2 0.1 2-3 NONE
5.6 20/01 PM 5.6 0.0 2 NONE
5.0 21/02 AM 5.0 0.0 2 NONE
BUZZARDS BAY - WOODS HOLE
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
4.6 18/09 AM 3.2 1.4 2-3 NONE
3.3 18/09 PM 2.3 1.0 2 NONE
4.3 19/10 AM 3.2 1.1 1 NONE
2.3 19/10 PM 2.2 0.1 2 NONE
2.7 20/10 AM 3.0 -0.3 1 NONE
1.6 20/11 PM 2.1 -0.5 1 NONE
VINEYARD HAVEN
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
5.5 18/11 AM 3.6 2.0 2-3 NONE
4.7 19/12 AM 3.1 1.6 2 NONE
5.2 19/12 PM 3.6 1.7 1 NONE
3.1 20/01 AM 3.0 0.1 2 NONE
3.2 20/01 PM 3.6 -0.4 1-2 NONE
2.3 21/01 AM 2.8 -0.5 1 NONE
NANTUCKET
TOTAL ASTRO
TIDE DAY/TIME TIDE SURGE WAVES FLOOD
/FT/ /FT/ /FT/ /FT/ CATEGORY
------- ---------- ------- ------- ------- ----------
5.9 18/12 PM 4.2 1.7 14-15 MODERATE
3.6 18/07 PM 1.9 1.7 10 NONE
5.7 19/01 PM 4.2 1.5 8-9 MINOR
3.6 20/02 AM 3.6 0.0 5-6 NONE
3.7 20/02 PM 4.1 -0.4 3 NONE
3.0 21/02 AM 3.4 -0.4 2 NONE
$$
DRAGWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this coastal flood statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood statement went out at Oct 17, 3:32 PM EDT, 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 17, 3:32 PM EDT, 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
332 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRES EAST OF THE VIRGINIA CAPES WILL DEVELOP INTO A STRONG GALE
NOREASTER TONIGHT AS IT HEADS FOR CAPE MAY NJ THEN TURNS EAST ON
SUNDAY. IT WILL PASS SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE
SLOWLY DEPARTING MONDAY. THEREAFTER...HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD ARRIVE...
ALLOWING FOR FAIR AND WARMER WEATHER. A FRONT MAY BEGIN TO APPROACH
THE REGION LATE NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT/...
WARNINGS AS ISSUING AT 4PM... PLEASE WWA SECTION AT THE END. UPDATED
AFD SECTIONS BY 5 PM.
1PM: ALL BOX
FCST PRODUCTS UPDATED. NO FURTHER UPDATES TIL FINAL PKG AT 405 PM.
NOON: ALL HAZARD STATEMENTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
IN A NUTSHELL... A SERIOUS STORM IS UPCOMING SUNDAY. CONCERNS ARE
INCREASING FOR MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. PLEASE SEE THE STATEMENT.
AM CONCERNED ABOUT CONSIDERABLE POWER OUTAGES ALONG THE COAST. ITS
NOT A LOCK ON GUST TRANSFER BUT IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT GUSTS OF 40
KNOTS WILL OCCUR ALL ALONG THE COAST. PLEASE SEE NPW.
936 AM UPDATE BELOW...
06Z NAM AND 00Z GGEM PERFORMANCE THIS MORNING ON 6 HR QPF ENDING 12Z
WAS BEST. ON WIND TRANSFER...06Z GFS BEST BUT...THINK WE FIGURED A
WAY AROUND THE NAM TRANSFER PERFORMANCE...AT LEAST FOR THIS EVENT...USING
6C INSTEAD OF 9C SST-950MB AND THEN THE NAM WORKS FINE.
06Z NAM IS OMINOUS WITH A 50-55 KT WEST SIDE JET CORE DEVELOPING
/NNE-N FLOW/ PREDICTED BY 12Z SUNDAY AND THAT TRANSLATES OVER CAPE
COD AND THE E MA CW SUNDAY. THIS JET CORE IS DOWN TO 975 MB. ALSO...ITS
BECOMING MORE CERTAIN THIS SFC LOW WILL TRACK VERY CLOSE TO NANTUCKET
SUNDAY EVENING...MODELS HAVE ME THINKING ABOUT 50-75 ME SE OF KACK
WHICH IS ANOTHER 60 MILES CLOSER THAN I THOUGHT YDY.
FROM THE MID SHIFT BELOW...
LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST THIS GO AROUND AS ANOMALOUS EARLY SEASON
WINTER-LIKE STORM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY. THE VARIOUS MODELS ARE NOT SHOWING GOOD CONSENSUS
EVEN 24 HOURS BEFORE THE SYSTEM WILL START AFFECTED SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. MORE ON THAT IN THE SHORT TERM SECTION.
FOR TODAY...SHORT WAVE RIDGING WILL PROVIDE SNE WITH A MOSTLY DRY
DAY...BUT STILL MOSTLY CLOUDY. THE DAY MAY ACTUALLY START OUT
SUNNY...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE PIKE...BUT WAA CLOUDS ARE
ALREADY APPROACHING FROM UPSTATE NY AND NORTHEAST PA. SOME SPOTTY
OCEAN EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS MAY AFFECT EASTERN MASS FROM TIME TO TIME
TODAY. OVERALL...TEMPS WILL REMAIN COLD FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR...MAXING OUT ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MIDNIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
AS MENTIONED ABOVE...MODEL AGREEMENT NOT VERY GOOD WITH UPCOMING
GALE SYSTEM TO AFFECT SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. SEE PMDHMD FOR DETAILS
ON THE MODEL TRENDS. OVERALL...THE GFS IS TOO FAR WEST AND TOO FAST.
A GFS ENSEMBLE/UKMET/ECMWF SOLUTION IS PREFERRED AT THIS TIME. WITH
THAT SAID...THERE ARE STILL QUITE A FEW PROBLEMS TO WORK OUT THIS GO
AROUND. THE FIRST QUESTION IS DO WE GET ANY SNOW...AND WHERE. THE
OTHER ISSUES REVOLVE AROUND COASTAL FLOODING AND WIND. POPS AND QPF
ARE ALSO ISSUES THAT WILL NEED TO BE IRONED OUT.
AS FAR AS POPS GO...THE GFS IS TOO FAST. THE PREFERRED MODEL BLEND
MENTIONED ABOVE ACTUALLY ALLOWS FOR A MOSTLY DRY NIGHT TONIGHT AS THE
STORM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE WELL TO OUR SOUTH. THEREFORE...ONLY WENT
WITH CHANCE POPS FOR TONIGHT ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MASS PIKE...WITH
HIGHER POPS TOWARD CT AND SE MASS WHERE THEY SHOULD BE CATEGORICAL BY
SUNRISE SUNDAY. THE LOWER TERRAIN WILL SEE RAIN...HOWEVER...THE
BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY SEE A RAIN/SNOW MIX.
SUNDAY MORNING IS WHERE THE REAL FUN BEGINS. THE ECMWF...WHICH IS
PREFERRED HERE DUE TO GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY...IS SHOWING SOME
SIGNALS IN THE MID LEVEL MASS FIELDS THAT YOU WOULD SEE IN WINTERTIME
BANDED PRECIPITATION EVENTS...IE...A NICE MID LEVEL DEFORMATION/
FRONTOGENESIS REGION NEAR/WEST OF A BACK-BENT MID LEVEL WARM
FRONT...ALBEIT NOT INCREDIBLY STRONG. THIS WILL BE THE KEY TO WHERE
THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY SETUP...AND RIGHT NOW THIS
APPEARS TO BE EASTERN MASS...EASTERN CT...AND RHODE ISLAND...
ALTHOUGH I WOULDNT BE COMPLETELY SHOCKED IF THIS WERE A TAD FURTHER
WEST. FOR THE MOST PART...BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES SHOULD
PRECLUDE MEASURABLE SNOWFALL AND ALLOW FOR A COLD RAIN TO FALL
OUTSIDE OF THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. HOWEVER...IF A MESOSCALE BAND WERE
TO SET UP ON SUNDAY...SOME COULD BE IN FOR A SURPRISE UNDER THE
HEAVIEST ECHOES...IE...A PERIOD OF SNOWFALL...EVEN AT LOWER
ELEVATIONS.
RIGHT NOW...THE PROBS OF A HEAVY SNOWFALL SOMEWHERE IN THE CWA
AREN/T GOOD ENOUGH TO ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH. IF THE MODELS WERE
IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH HEAVIER PRECIP OCCURRING WEST OF WHERE THE
CONSENSUS HAS IT NOW...A WATCH MAY HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST
SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF SW NH. BUT...SINCE IT
LOOKS LIKE THE HEAVIEST PRECIP IS GOING TO OCCUR EAST OF THERE WHERE
BL TEMPS WILL BE WARMER...WE THINK THE THREAT OF AN ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL IS LESS. HOWEVER...WITH THAT SAID...TRENDS WILL NEED TO BE
WATCHED CLOSELY...ESPECIALLY FOR THE ORH HILLS INTO SW NH. IT WON/T
TAKE ALL THAT MUCH SNOW...MAYBE MID TO HIGH-END ADVISORY LEVELS TO
BRING DOWN BRANCHES AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES SINCE IT IS STILL
OCTOBER. AGAIN...THIS IS LOW PROBABILITY...BUT NOT COMPLETELY
IMPOSSIBLE. RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS AS THO THE HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL SLIDE
A BIT TOO FAR EAST FOR HEAVY PRECIP OUTSIDE OF THE SOUTH COAST/CAPE
ISLANDS BUT NEED TO CLOSELY MONITOR. AS FAR AS POPS GO ON SUNDAY...
CATEGORICAL...WITH HIGHEST EAST.
WINDS MAY BE AN ISSUE AS WELL...MAINLY FOR THE CAPE AND ISLANDS.
BUFKIT SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR 45 KT GUSTS LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY FOR THESE AREAS. HAVE THEREFORE ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SIGNAL A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN
FOR THE CONUS THROUGH THE LONG TERM. THIS MEANS WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL
BE SLOW TO TRAVERSE THE LOWER 48...WHICH WILL FINALLY BE GOOD NEWS
FOR THE REGION AS LARGE HIGH PRES TAKES OVER FOR MOST IF NOT ALL OF
THIS FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE A FLY OR TWO IN THE
OINTMENT.
SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY...PRECIP SHIELD SLOWLY EXITS THE REGION...BUT
MAY LINGER ALONG THE COAST THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY. N-NE WIND
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH EARLY WILL DIMINISH. STILL SOME TIMING ISSUES DUE
TO THE SLOW...HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN IN PLACE. TEMPS ON
MONDAY WILL STILL RUN 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS...BUT
THIS IS BETTER THAN THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS WHEN HIGHS WERE AT LEAST
20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. MAY START TO SEE SOME SUNSHINE ACROSS THE
CT VALLEY DURING MONDAY AFTERNOON. ANY LINGERING PRECIP SHOULD PUSH
OFFSHORE BY MONDAY EVENING.
TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...DRY...SEASONABLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS HIGH
PRES FINALLY PUSHES INTO THE REGION. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE AROUND
60...RIGHT WHERE THEY SHOULD BE FOR MID OCTOBER. MAY SEE PATCHY LATE
NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FOG IN THE USUAL VALLEY LOCATIONS.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY...SOME MODELS ARE SIGNALING THE POSSIBILITY
OF A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT TRYING TO WORK DOWN OUT OF MAINE AND
EASTERN CANADA. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIP WITH THIS FEATURE...
JUST A FEW MORE CLOUDS AND AN ONSHORE WIND SHIFT. HOWEVER...LOW
CONFIDENCE WITH THIS FEATURE DUE TO TIMING ISSUES. INTERESTING TO
NOTE THAT THIS FEATURE WAS SEEN ON THURSDAYS 00Z GFS OP RUN. STILL
EXPECTING DRY AND SEASONABLE CONDITIONS.
FRIDAY...IF THE BACKDOOR FRONT COMES THROUGH...MAY PUSH BACK NORTH
AS A WARM FRONT. HOWEVER...APPEARS THAT LOW PRES WILL WORK OUT OF
THE GREAT LAKES WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. HAVE MENTIONED CHANCE
POPS PUSHING INTO CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
TODAY...MARGINAL MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS CC AND THE ISLANDS. OTRW VFR
CIGS DEVELOPING FM SW TO NE. NE WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS ALONG THE
COAST AND PERHAPS A BIT STRONGER AT NANTUCKET.
TONIGHT...MVFR POSSIBLY LOWERING TO IFR LATE. G30 KT DEVELOPING LATE
AT ACK.
SUNDAY...WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS IN RAIN...OR RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. SOUTH AND EAST COAST WINDS G35-40KT AT TIMES FROM
THE NORTHEAST.
OUTLOOK /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY NIGHT...MAY STILL SEE N WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 KT ALONG THE
COAST EARLY. MVFR-IFR CIGS/VSBYS CONTINUE MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND
EASTERN AREAS IN RAIN AND PATCHY FOG. MAY SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF
MIXED RASN OR SN BEFORE ENDING ACROSS THE INTERIOR HIGHER TERRAIN.
MONDAY...MVFR CIGS/VSBYS IN SCT SHOWERS AND PATCHY FOG ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS. SLOW IMPROVEMENT TO VFR FROM W-E
DURING THE AFTERNOON OR EVENING HOURS. LEFTOVER N WIND GUSTS UP TO
25-30 KT DURING THE DAY.
MONDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR. MAY SEE PATCHY MVFR CIGS/VSBYS
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS IN THE NORMALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.
&&
.MARINE...
SEAS ARE INCREASED BY 1-2 FT AS WNA GUIDANCE FROM 06Z CONTINUES TOO LOW
IN THE W ATLC. THIS HAS BEEN A PERSISTENT PROBLEM WITH THE FIRST GALE
AND WILL CONTINUE FOR THIS UPCOMING GALE. SWANNAM YDY HAD LESS OF A
PREDICTED LOW BIAS AFTER 12Z HOURS OF SPINUP FCST.
GALE CENTER DEVELOPS TO THE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT.
GALES HAVE BEEN POSTED FOR ALL WATERS AS GALES PROGRESS FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH LATER TONIGHT. SEAS WILL ONCE AGAIN BUILD MARKEDLY AND BECOME
VERY ROUGH BY EARLY SUNDAY.
OUTLOOK /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SUNDAY NIGHT...LEFTOVER N-NE GALE GUSTS UP TO 40 KT...THEN WILL
DIMINISH AS THE GALE CENTER SHIFTS E. THE GUSTS WILL DIMINISH TO 30
KT...BUT SEAS WILL REMAIN HIGH...UP TO 13 FT EARLY BEFORE SLOWLY
SUBSIDING.
MONDAY...N-NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH...PROBABLY BELOW SMALL
CRAFT BY EVENING. SEAS WILL REMAIN HIGH...UP TO 8 FT BUT WILL
CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE.
TUESDAY...HIGH PRES WILL PUSH TOWARD THE WATERS. GUSTS MAY STILL
APPROACH 20 KT AS WINDS SHIFT TO W. SEAS MAY LINGER AT AROUND 5 FT
ON THE OUTER WATERS.
WEDNESDAY...N-NW WINDS UP TO 15 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT POSSIBLE AT
NIGHT. SEAS 4 FT OR LESS.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
AT 12Z...COMPARED TO THE 06Z GFS MRPSSE...
BOS IS 0.8 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED WITH A 1 FT SURGE AND 10 FT SEAS.
ACK IS 1.4 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED WITH A 1.5 FT SURGE AND 11 FT SEAS.
PVD IS 0.4 HIGHER THAN PREDICTED WITH A 0.6 SURGE.
THE SURGE PREDICTIONS FOR YDYS GALE HAVE BEEN BIASED TOO LOW BY A
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT AND WE WILL ADJUST THE FUTURE MRPSSE UP BY AT
LEAST HALF A FOOT.
IF THE FCST TRENDS CONT AT 18Z... AS PER 06Z NAM...AND THE WAVE FCST
CONTS AS NOW POSTED... WILL PROB CONVERT TO A WARNING FOR A PTN OF
THE AREA. ALSO CONCERNED ABOUT HIGHER WINDS E MASS. 12Z MODEL
GUIDANCE MAY ASSIST. 03Z SREF PROBS FOR GALE ARE NOT QUITE AS HIGH AS
WAS HOPING TO SEE.
COASTAL FLOOD THREAT IS LOW FOR TODAY ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE A FEW
AREAS OF LOCALIZED MARGINALLY MINOR FLOODING AT THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE.
THE NEXT THREAT FOR AT LEAST MINOR COASTAL FLOODING COMES WITH THE
MIDDAY TIDES ON SUNDAY AS THE SECOND GALE CENTER WORKS UP THE COAST.
STORM SURGE VALUES WILL INCREASE TO 1 TO 2 FEET BY MIDDAY SUNDAY.
THIS...ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS BUILDING SEAS 12 TO 20 FEET
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS WILL CAUSE SPLASHOVER OR MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING ALONG VULNERABLE EAST FACING BEACHES. THE MAIN
THREAT MAY OCCUR FROM SCITUATE AND PLYMOUTH AS WELL AS OUTER CAPE
COD...NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. THERE APPEARS TO BE A SOMEWHAT
HIGHER RISK OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING...PROVIDED THE NE WIND GUSTS
OT 40 TO 45 KNOTS OCCUR TO DRIVE THE SEAS TO PREDICTED VALUES AT THE
TIME OF THE HIGH TIDE. THERE IS TILL SOME DOUBT AS TO THE TIME OF THE
MAX SURGE/WIND AND SEAS WITH THE LATE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE. GIVEN
THE UNCERTAINTY WE HAVE ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH TO HEIGHTEN
AWARENESS TO THE MERE POSSIBILITY OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING.
BY MONDAY...THE LOW WILL PUSH FAR ENOUGH EAST OF THE REGION THAT
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO BACK TO NORTH...WHICH WILL TEND TO LOWER THE
SEAS AND STORM SURGE.
BEACH EROSION WILL BE A PROBLEM WITH PERSISTENT NE FLOW AND WAVE
ACTION OVER MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES.
&&
.CLIMATE...
DAYTIME HIGHS CONTINUE TO RUN MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL. SOME LOCATIONS
HAVE SET RECORD LOW MAXIMUM /COLD HIGH/ TEMPS FOR FRIDAY. BOS MISSED
BY A DEGREE.
HERE ARE THE DETAILS...
LOW 10/16 10/17 10/18
BOS 45 44/1883 46/1970 AND PREV YRS 45/1898
PVD 44 PREVIOUS 47/1940 42/1970 46/1939
ORH 42 PREVIOUS 46/1961 38/1970 36/1989
BDL 48 TIED 48/1974 47/1978 44/1989
RECORD SNOWFALL SET ON FRIDAY FOR BOTH ORH AND BDL...FIRST TIME
SINCE RECORDS BEGAN AT BOTH SITES FOR 10/16. THE 1.4 INCHES
AT ORH IS RATHER IMPRESSIVE FOR MID OCTOBER BUT NOT A RECORD OR THE
EARLIEST SNOW IN WORCESTER. PLEASE SEE THE RER/S FOR DETAILS.
DAYTIME HIGHS MAY BE LOW ENOUGH TO TIE OR FALL BELOW THE RECORD LOW
MAXIMUMS TODAY.
MAY SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF LOW MAX RECORDS ON SUNDAY. ORH 36 MAY BE HARD
TO BEAT...BUT THE OTHERS ARE POSSIBLE DEPENDENT ON CONSTANCY OF PCPN
AND WIND DIRECTION BEING NNE OR N. LOOKS MIGHTY CHILLY CT RIVER WEST.
ANOTHER NOTE...ADJUSTED MELTED PRECIP AT ORH UP TO 0.17 INCHES DUE
TO PROBLEMS MELTING THE WET SNOW IN THE GAUGE. THIS FITS IN WELL
WITH OTHER REPORTS SEEN ON COCORAHS WEBSITE.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 2 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
FOR MAZ022>024.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR MAZ007-
015-016-019-022>024.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR MAZ015-016-
018>021.
NH...NONE.
RI...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 2 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
FOR RIZ008.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR RIZ006-007.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR
ANZ231>237-254>256.
GALE WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 10 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ230-250-251.
&&
SYNOPSIS...DRAG/EKSTER 332P
NEAR TERM...DRAG/EKSTER 332P
SHORT TERM...EKSTER
LONG TERM...EVT
AVIATION...DRAG/EKSTER/EVT
MARINE...DRAG/EKSTER/EVT
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CLIMATE...Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 17, 12:43 PM EDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1243 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>014-017-018-020-021-026-NHZ011-012-015- RIZ001>007-181200- HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA- WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA- EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA- WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA- WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA- NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH- WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI- SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI- WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI- 1243 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ANOTHER GALE NOREASTER WILL AFFECT THE COAST VERY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN...STRONG WINDS AND AT LEAST MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. HIGH TERRAIN REGIONS FROM HARTFORD AND TOLLAND COUNTY IN CONNECTICUT THROUGH THE WORCESTER HILLS AND EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES INTO THE MONADNOCKS OF SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE MAY RECEIVE 1 TO 5 INCHES OF WET SLUSHY SNOW AT SOME POINT DURING THE NOREASTER SUNDAY. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF ENOUGH SNOW TO CAUSE BRANCHES TO BREAK. ROAD TREATMENTS MAY BE NECESSARY...MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 800 FEET. WIND ADVISORY POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR FROM BOSTON TO PROVIDENCE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. RIZ008-181200- BLOCK ISLAND RI- 1243 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WATCH. ANOTHER GALE NOREASTER WILL AFFECT THE COAST VERY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN...STRONG WINDS AND AT LEAST MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MAZ007-015-016-019-181200- EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA- 1243 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. ANOTHER GALE NOREASTER WILL AFFECT THE COAST VERY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN...STRONG WINDS AND AT LEAST MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. WIND ADVISORY POTENTIAL OF 45 MPH WINDS AND A FEW POWER OUTAGES EXISTS FOR THE IMMEDIATE COAST SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MAZ022>024-181200- BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA- 1243 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH WIND WATCH. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. ANOTHER GALE NOREASTER WILL AFFECT THE COAST VERY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN...STRONG WINDS AND AT LEAST MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ231>237-254>256-181200- CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY- RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET- COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND- 1243 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ230-250-251-181200- BOSTON HARBOR- COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY- 1243 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. GALE WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 4:15 PM EDT | Wind Advisory | BOX | Newport, Washington | 36 hr |
Nearby
Coastal Flood Statements in Rhode Island, 2009Every coastal flood statement in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.