Severe Thunderstorm Warning 86, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 020752
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
252 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

ALC017-081-123-020830-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-090402T0830Z/
LEE AL-TALLAPOOSA AL-CHAMBERS AL-
252 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN CHAMBERS...EASTERN TALLAPOOSA AND NORTHWESTERN LEE
COUNTIES...

AT 251 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR WAVERLY...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAMP HILL...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  OAK BOWERY BY 300 AM CDT...
  STURKIE AND WEST CHAMBERS BY 305 AM CDT...
  LAFAYETTE AND CHAMBERS COUNTY LAKE BY 320 AM CDT...
  BUFFALO AND KELLAM HILL BY 325 AM CDT...
  DENSON BY 330 AM CDT...

LAT...LON 3267 8583 3302 8575 3292 8520 3276 8525
      3262 8540
TIME...MOT...LOC 0752Z 222DEG 24KT 3275 8555

$$

27

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 020756
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
256 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

ALC123-020806-
/O.CAN.KBMX.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-090402T0830Z/
TALLAPOOSA AL-
256 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN TALLAPOOSA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 3262 8541 3263 8544 3275 8558 3298 8555
      3292 8520 3276 8525
TIME...MOT...LOC 0756Z 222DEG 24KT 3277 8553

$$

ALC017-081-020830-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-090402T0830Z/
LEE AL-CHAMBERS AL-
256 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN CHAMBERS AND NORTH CENTRAL LEE COUNTIES...

AT 254 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR STURKIE...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAMP
HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  STURKIE AND WEST CHAMBERS BY 305 AM CDT...
  9 MILES NORTHWEST OF CUSSETA BY 315 AM CDT...
  LAFAYETTE AND CHAMBERS COUNTY LAKE BY 320 AM CDT...
  BUFFALO AND KELLAM HILL BY 325 AM CDT...
  DENSON BY 330 AM CDT...

LAT...LON 3262 8541 3263 8544 3275 8558 3298 8555
      3292 8520 3276 8525
TIME...MOT...LOC 0756Z 222DEG 24KT 3277 8553

$$

27

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 020806
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
306 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

ALC017-081-020830-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-090402T0830Z/
LEE AL-CHAMBERS AL-
306 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CDT
FOR CENTRAL CHAMBERS AND NORTH CENTRAL LEE COUNTIES...

AT 306 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHAMBERS COUNTY LAKE...OR 7 MILES SOUTH
OF LAFAYETTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LAFAYETTE BY 315 AM CDT...
  KELLAM HILL AND HUGULEY BY 320 AM CDT...

LAT...LON 3262 8541 3275 8545 3295 8543 3292 8520
      3276 8525
TIME...MOT...LOC 0807Z 222DEG 24KT 3281 8537

$$

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1138 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

.UPDATE...FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL BE THE MAIN IMPACT ACROSS THE AREA AS THE WARM
FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT. CURRENTLY SOME SHOWERS
AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO HAVE DEVELOPED WELL NORTH OF THE
FRONT. HAVE ADDED THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE FORECAST FOR THE
SOUTHEAST...GENERALLY IN AND AROUND THE I-85 CORRIDOR. AS THE LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING DISSIPATES LOOK FOR MAINLY SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT ALONG AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. HOW QUICKLY THAT WARM
FRONT MOVES NORTH WILL HELP DETERMINE THE WEATHER FOR THURSDAY. THE
AREA REMAINS UNDER A MODERATE RISK FOR THURSDAY. THE MORNING WILL
LIKELY START OUT CLOUDY...SO TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE AT FIRST.
MADE ADJUSTMENTS DOWNWARD FOR THE HOURLY TREND THROUGH 10 AM. AFTER
THAT COULD SEE SOME CLEARING AND HEATING ACROSS THE AREA. OVERALL
CURRENT THINKING STILL THE SAME AS PREVIOUS.

THE SCENARIO THAT WE THINK WILL HAPPEN IS THAT CONVECTION WILL
BEGIN TO GET GOING AHEAD OF THE FRONT AFFECTING AT LEAST AREAS WEST
OF INTERSTATE 65 AS EARLY AS 3 PM. THE THREAT WOULD EXTEND INTO
THE LATE EVENING HOURS AS THE FRONT PUSHES THE LINE TO THE EAST.
THE THREAT WILL COME IN THE FORM OF A SQUALL LINE. THIS LINE COULD
PRODUCE STRONG STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY
ISOLATED TORNADOES. IN ADDITION TO THIS LINE...ISOLATED SUPERCELLS
COULD DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS LINE. THESE STORMS COULD POSE THE
GREATEST THREAT OF TORNADIC ACTIVITY. THE LINE OF STORMS COULD
HANG AROUND THE EXTREME EASTER PORTION OF THE AREA EVEN A FEW HOURS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. UPDATES HAVE BEEN SENT.

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN
PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. CEILINGS RANGING FROM LIFR TO LOW
END MVFR SHOULD BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING
HOURS.

SOME OCCASIONAL DIPS IN VIS MAY BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER
THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH OF A WIND TO KEEP THE VIS PREDOMINANTLY AT
MVFR OR BETTER.

THROUGHOUT THE DAY TOMORROW...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CONTINUE TO
DESTABILIZE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY 21Z NEAR TCL AND PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

16/88

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
900 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

ALZ011>015-017>050-030200-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
900 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES FOR SEVERAL COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.
PLEASE REFER TO RIVER FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS
REGARDING YOUR AREA.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ON THURSDAY BEGINNING IN THE
AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE THREATS ARE
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. FOR AREAS
WEST OF I-65...THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE HIGHEST BETWEEN 3 PM AND 9
PM CDT. FOR AREAS EAST OF I-65...THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE HIGHEST
FROM 6 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

RIVERS WILL REMAIN IN FLOOD THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY EVENING FOR
SEVERAL COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. PLEASE REFER TO RIVER FLOOD
STATEMENTS FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS REGARDING YOUR AREA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON...LASTING
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WILL LIKELY
BE NECESSARY ON THURSDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
212 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

ALZ037-038-043-045-047-020745-
CHAMBERS-ELMORE-LEE-MACON-TALLAPOOSA-
212 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR CHAMBERS...ELMORE...LEE...MACON AND
TALLAPOOSA COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM CDT...

AT 212 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR REEVES AIRPORT...OR NEAR TALLASSEE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  REEVES AIRPORT.
  TALLAPOOSA CITY.
  WOODLAND.
  LIBERTY CITY.
  NOTASULGA.
  ROXANA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

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