Wind Advisory 11, NWS Juneau, AK

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 141339
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
439 AM AKST WED JAN 14 2009

AKZ022-141445-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0011.090114T2100Z-090115T0900Z/
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
439 AM AKST WED JAN 14 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

IT WILL BECOME LOCALLY WINDY THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER, WIND GUSTS
WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ017-150115-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0011.090115T0000Z-090115T1200Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
439 AM AKST WED JAN 14 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 AM
AKST THURSDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
3 AM AKST THURSDAY. 

GUSTY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TO AROUND 40 MPH ALONG THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST GUSTS WEST OF YAKUTAT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

PSS

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 150036
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
336 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2009

AKZ017-150815-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-090115T1200Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
336 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST THURSDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST THURSDAY. 

GUSTY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TO AROUND 40 MPH ALONG THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST GUSTS
WEST OF YAKUTAT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 PM AKST WEDNESDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 150542
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
842 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2009

AKZ017-151500-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-090115T1500Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
842 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST THURSDAY WEST OF YAKUTAT...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST THURSDAY WEST
OF YAKUTAT.

GUSTY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT ALONG THE COAST WEST OF YAKUTAT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM AKST THURSDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 150716
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1016 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2009

AKZ028-029-151515-
/X.NEW.PAJK.FG.Y.0001.090115T0716Z-090115T1800Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
1016 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2009

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THURSDAY. 

LOCALLY DENSE FOG WILL PERSIST OVER THE AREA THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS.

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT DENSE FOG IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT.

ALL TRAVEL SHOULD BE DONE WITH EXTREME CAUTION.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM AKST THURSDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

AKZ017-151500-
/X.CON.PAJK.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-090115T1500Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
1016 PM AKST WED JAN 14 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST THURSDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST THURSDAY. 

GUSTY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT ALONG THE COAST WEST OF YAKUTAT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OR FREQUENT GUSTS
WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 40 AND 60 MPH.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM AKST THURSDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

000 
WWAK77 PAJK 151336
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
436 AM AKST THU JAN 15 2009


AKZ028-029-151445-
/X.CAN.PAJK.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090115T1800Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
436 AM AKST THU JAN 15 2009

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE
FOG ADVISORY. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ017-151445-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-090115T1500Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
436 AM AKST THU JAN 15 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1228 PM AKST TUE JAN 13 2009

.SHORT TERM... TWO HUGE FEATURES DOMINATE THE WEATHER FOR SE
ALASKA 1)MAJOR UPR LOW CENTERED NEAR 48N 170W AND 2)THE U.S. WEST
COAST RIDGE WHICH IS ASSOCIATED WITH A 590 HPA HIGH CENTER JUST
OFF KSFO. A MONDO JET AT 250 MB IS CONTINUOUS FROM THE MIDDLE
EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN JAPAN TO AN EXIT NEAR 30N 150W. IT IS NO
SURPRISE THAT THE PLANETARY LOW IS IN THE UPR LEFT QUAD OF THIS
JET OVR A 964 MB STORM. ALL THIS MEANS IS HIGH HEIGHTS FOR WARM
TEMPS OVR US IN THE UPR RIDGE BUT ENOUGH FETCH OF SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE TO GET US WET AT TIMES. NO WARNINGS OUT NOW BUT GOT ALL
THE IMPACTS OF WATER ON SNOWPACK COVERED IN A WELL WRITTEN SPS
FROM YESTERDAY. MOIST CONDITIONS OVR SNOW GOT US THINKING ABOUT
FOG TONIGHT AFTER THE RAIN FROM THE WARM FRONT. BY TRANSITION
TIME THU AFTERNOON SFC RIDGE AXIS OVR INSIDE WATERS TO YAKUTAT
WITH A HECK OF A LOW LEVEL FETCH AIMED AT THE EASTERN GULF COAST
FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF GALES AND SHOULD BE A MONDO SWELL. WAS ABLE
TO ACCEPT THE AK-GFS-40 TODAY AND CONFIDENCE HIGH IN THE
AFTERNOON FORECAST SET.

.LONG TERM...ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE LONG RANGE PACKAGE.
GOOD CONFIDENCE THAT THE UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK,

LARGE-SCALE BLOCKING PATN OVR HAS SET UP WITH 500 MB CENTRAL
RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST FM THE STATE OF CA TO ALG THE
PNHDL.  LOWS TO EAST AND WEST DO NOT QUITE FORM THE CLASSIC
OMEGA SHAPE, BUT THIS PATN WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE.  THE RIDGE
WILL TAKE FOUR DAYS TO MOVE OVER THE EASTERN BORDER OF B.C.,
BUT DURING THIS DRIFT EASTWARD WILL CHANGE THE PANHANDLE FROM
A CLOUDY WITH LOW QPF OR CHC POPS TO PRECIP LIKELY WITH RAIN
AT LEAST INCLUDED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST DOMAIN.

THE POLAR FRONT ZONE IS MERIDIONALLY ORIENTED INTO THE CENTRAL
AND WESTERN GULF THRU AT LEAST THU, WITH THE WAVES ON THIS
FRONTAL ZONE GENERALLY TRACKING NNW.  BY 00Z SAT THE WAVES
ON THE POLAR FRONT WILL BE TRACKING N TO THE EASTERN AND
CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA.

MODELS: FRONTAL WAVE TIMING SOLUTIONS FALL OUT OF SYNC AFTER
WED NIGHT, BUT ON THE LARGER SCALE THE ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS
HAVE A GOOD CONSENSUS FOR SATURDAY ONWARD AS PER THE HPC
DISCUSSION FOR AK.  THE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST PACKAGE
IS GOOD THROUGH AT LEAST THIS WEEKEND.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 12 PM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT AKST WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR AKZ017-022.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ052.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ043-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031>036-041-042.

JCC/JBT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
135 PM AKST TUE JAN 13 2009

AKZ017>029-131800-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-JUNEAU
BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-INNER CHANNELS FROM
KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-SOUTHERN INNER
CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY...HAINES
...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...PORT
ALEXANDER...ANGOON...JUNEAU...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...
CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
100 PM AKST MON JAN 12 2009

...CONTINUED WARM WITH PERIODS OF RAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA
THIS WEEK...

ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND PERIODS OF RAIN WILL PERSIST THIS
WEEK ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA. WATER LEVELS ARE HIGH FOR LOW LYING
ROADS...PARKING LOTS...DRAINS...DITCHES...AND SMALL STREAMS.
WATER MAY INTRUDE BASEMENTS...GARAGES AND CRAWL SPACES.

THE WEIGHT OF THE EXISTING DEEP SNOWPACK WILL CONTINUE INCREASING
THIS WEEK MAKING FOR HEAVIER LOADS ON ROOFS...GUTTERS...SHEDS
...BOATS...BOAT SHELTERS...AND PIERS. ON TUESDAY MORNING...THE
WATER EQUIVALENT OF THE SNOWPACK AT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICES WAS 6.2 INCHES FOR JUNEAU AND 6.1 INCHES FOR YAKUTAT.

PROPERTY OWNERS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT AGAINST RISING
WATER LEVELS AND HEAVIER SNOW LOADS. BEWARE OF HEAVY SNOW FALLING
OR SLIDING OFF OF ROOFS.

MONDAY WAS THE WETTEST DAY ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. LESSER RAINFALL
RATES ARE OCCURRING TUESDAY DUE TO A WARM FRONT MOVING FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH OVER THE PANHANDLE. SNOW WILL ALSO CONTINUE ALONG HIGHER
ELEVATIONS BUT FREEZING LEVELS ARE RISING UP TO 4000 FEET INLAND
AND UP TO 7000 FEET ALONG THE OUTER COAST.

BECAUSE THE WEATHER FRONTS ARE COMING FROM THE TROPICS
...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE ALL WEEK WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. NIGHT TIME
TEMPERATURES MAY BRIEFLY FALL TO NEAR FREEZING ESPECIALLY FROM
JUNEAU NORTHWARD CAUSING WET SURFACES TO TURN ICY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER NEWS AND WEATHER
SOURCES FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

JC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
225 PM AKST TUE JAN 13 2009

AKZ017>029-142300-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-JUNEAU
BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-INNER CHANNELS FROM
KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-SOUTHERN INNER
CHANNELS-MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY...HAINES
...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...PORT
ALEXANDER...ANGOON...JUNEAU...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...
CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA...HYDER
100 PM AKST MON JAN 12 2009

...CONTINUED WARM WITH PERIODS OF RAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA
THIS WEEK...

ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND PERIODS OF RAIN WILL PERSIST THIS
WEEK ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA. WATER LEVELS ARE HIGH FOR LOW LYING
ROADS...PARKING LOTS...DRAINS...DITCHES...AND SMALL STREAMS.
WATER MAY INTRUDE BASEMENTS...GARAGES AND CRAWL SPACES.

THE WEIGHT OF THE EXISTING DEEP SNOWPACK WILL CONTINUE INCREASING
THIS WEEK MAKING FOR HEAVIER LOADS ON
ROOFS...GUTTERS...SHEDS...BOATS...BOAT SHELTERS...AND PIERS. ON
TUESDAY MORNING...THE WATER EQUIVALENT OF THE SNOWPACK AT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES WAS 6.2 INCHES FOR JUNEAU AND
6.1 INCHES FOR YAKUTAT.

PROPERTY OWNERS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT AGAINST RISING
WATER LEVELS AND HEAVIER SNOW LOADS. BEWARE OF HEAVY SNOW FALLING
OR SLIDING OFF OF ROOFS.

MONDAY WAS THE WETTEST DAY ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. LESSER RAINFALL
RATES ARE OCCURRING TUESDAY DUE TO A WARM FRONT MOVING FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH OVER THE PANHANDLE. SNOW WILL ALSO CONTINUE ALONG HIGHER
ELEVATIONS BUT FREEZING LEVELS ARE RISING UP TO 4000 FEET INLAND
AND UP TO 7000 FEET ALONG THE OUTER COAST.

BECAUSE THE WEATHER FRONTS ARE COMING FROM THE TROPICS
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE ALL WEEK WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. NIGHT TIME
TEMPERATURES MAY BRIEFLY FALL TO NEAR FREEZING ESPECIALLY FROM
JUNEAU NORTHWARD CAUSING WET SURFACES TO TURN ICY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER NEWS AND WEATHER
SOURCES FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

JC