Storm Warning 62, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 171312 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

CORRECTED ZONE 165

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-180300-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 981 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL DEEPEN TO 956 MB 450 NM
NORTH OF SHEMYA TUE NIGHT. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH WED.
$$

PKZ150-180300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-180300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35
KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-180300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-180300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
$$

PKZ180-180300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 35 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-180300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO SEAS 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-180300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-180300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-180300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-180300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 20 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-180300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 35 KT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. 

$$

PKZ179-180300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 171928 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1030 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

UPDATED ZONES 171, 172, 176.

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-180300-
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 981 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL DEEPEN TO 956 MB 450 NM
NORTH OF SHEMYA TUE NIGHT. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH WED.
$$

PKZ150-180300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-180300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35
KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-180300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-180300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
$$

PKZ180-180300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 35 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-180300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO SEAS 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-180300-
UNALASKA BAY
1030 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-180300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
1030 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-180300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-180300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
1030 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-180300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 35 KT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. 

$$

PKZ179-180300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 19 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 180011
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-181500-
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 962 MB LOW 275 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE OVER THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA WED AFTERNOON. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH WED.
$$

PKZ150-181500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.  
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-181500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-181500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT...BECOMING SE WIND 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS AND RAIN.  
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-181500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT...INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-181500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-181500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT...BECOMING E 20 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-181500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-181500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT...BECOMING E 25 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-181500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-181500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-181500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT.  SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT...DIMINISHING TO 30 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ179-181500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
335 PM AKST SUN FEB 15 2009

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE STATE FUELED BY A BROAD UPPER
TROUGH WITH AXIS FROM THE SEWARD PENINSULA SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL
TROUGHS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WITH THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND ANOTHER OVER THE
ALASKA PENINSULA. A TRANSIENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS BUILDING OVER THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING SEA AHEAD OF WHAT WILL BECOME THE NEW
ANCHOR LOW NEAR KAMCHATKA PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

.AT THE SURFACE...
A 997 MB SURFACE LOW IS WEAKENING IN THE NORTHWEST GULF. THIS COUPLED
WITH A POTENT UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY
IS RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL. THE
DEFORMATION ZONE AND SNOW EXTENDS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE
AND INTO THE UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. ANOTHER POTENT SYSTEM SOUTH OF
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS HAS REACHED ITS MAXIMUM STRENGTH AND IS
WEAKENING AS IT HEADS INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF. OUT WEST...AN
IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE FETCH FROM THE MID LATITUDES IS FEEDING A
DEVELOPING SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS LOW AND ITS
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BRING THE STATE ITS NEXT ROUND OF
WEATHER MID WEEK.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

AGAIN...MODELS CONTINUE TO HANDLE ALL MAJOR FEATURES WELL AND ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM FORECAST. ONE FEATURE THAT THE
MODELS DID NOT INITIALIZE WELL ON IS THE SHORT WAVE IN THE NORTHERN
GULF. ALL MODELS DEPICTED THIS FEATURE AS AN OPEN TROUGH ALTHOUGH
SATELLITE IMAGERY IS CLEARLY SHOWING A CLOSED CIRCULATION AT MID TO
UPPER LEVELS. THIS IS THE MAIN REASON WHY PRECIPITATION IS HEAVIER
AND MORE WIDESPREAD THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL. AFTER THIS
INITIALIZATION HICCUP...NO REASON TO THINK MODELS ARE NOT HANDLING
THE EVOLUTION WELL IN THE SHORT TERM SO WILL BE MAKING ONLY MINOR
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...
THE BROAD TROUGH OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND WEAKENING LOW IN THE NORTHERN
GULF WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW INLAND AND MODERATE RAIN
AND SNOW ALONG THE COAST THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WHEN THE TROUGH
FINALLY SWINGS THROUGH THE AREA. THE DRYING ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS
TROUGH WILL HAPPEN QUICKLY AND BE SHORTLIVED AS THE NEXT SYSTEM
MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. DURING THIS TIME...THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE AND RECENT SNOWFALL WILL LIKELY LEAD TO AREAS OF FOG ALONG COOK
INLET FROM KACHEMAK BAY NORTHWARD INTO THE LOWER SUSITNA VALLEY.
CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE AGAIN WEDNESDAY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS A RESULT OF A FAVORABLE SOUTHERLY FLOW AT ALL
LEVELS. THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE INCREASING THE CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION AREA WIDE AS CONFIDENCE BUILDS WITH EACH MODEL RUN. ONE
QUESTION THAT STILL REMAINS IS THE ONSET OF THE SNOW AS MODELS
USUALLY ARE TOO SLOW WITH THE ISENTROPIC LIFT AND THE SOUTHERLY FLOW.
THIS FORECAST WILL TREND FASTER THAN THE MODELS ARE CALLING FOR SNOW
TO BEGIN BUT WE MAY STILL HAVE TO BUMP THAT UP IN SUBSEQUENT FORECAST
PACKAGES.

SOUTHWEST...COLD AIR IS ADVECTING SOUTH INTO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. A
WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE DELTA WHILE WINDS IN THE
UPPER KUSKO VALLEY WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS STRONG. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO DROP OVERNIGHT INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS TO NEAR NEGATIVE
30 INLAND BY TUESDAY NIGHT. OVERRUNNING MOISTURE WILL INITIATE
PRECIPITATION WELL AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY TUESDAY
NIGHT ALONG THE COAST AND SPREAD INLAND DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. THE
STRONG SOUTHERLY FETCH WILL USHER RELATIVELY WARM AIR INLAND WITH
THIS SYSTEM...CHANGING SNOW TO RAIN IN BRISTOL BAY WHILE THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WILL REMAIN ALL SNOW. THERE COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD
OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA BEFORE THE WARM AIR
ARRIVES...WILL HAVE TO MONITOR AND CONSIDER A BLIZZARD WATCH FOR THAT
ZONE.

BEHIND THE SYSTEM...COLD AIR QUICKLY SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION
CHANGING ALL PRECIP BACK TO SNOW AS THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES TO
THE EAST. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE WITH ONLY A PARTIAL CLEARING IS
EXPECTED UNTIL THE WEEKEND.

.ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA FORECAST...
THE FOCUS OUT WEST WILL BE A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING LOW SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS IS THE
SAME SYSTEM THAT WILL BRING ALL OF THE PRECIP TO SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA LATER IN THE WEEK. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY DEEPEN
FROM 980 MB TO NEAR 960 MB IN 12 HOURS. WINDS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
FRONT WILL STRENGTHEN TO HURRICANE FORCE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL
BERING SEA BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
FRONT AS IT PROGRESSES ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BRINGING THE
POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AHEAD OF THE WARM AIR TO THE
PRIBILOFS AND THE WESTERN CAPES AND KUSKO DELTA. OTHERWISE...STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MID WEEK AS THE LOW MOVES
TOWARD KAMCHATKA AND SLOWLY WEAKENS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WIND CHILL ADVISORY...ZONE 155
MARINE...GALE WARNING...120 130 132 150 160 170 171 172 175 176 179
180
         HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...185
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...130 138 150 155 160 165 179
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AB FEB 09