Storm Warning 279, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 070726 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

UPDATED ZONE 171

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-071500-
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 958 MB LOW 275 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ATKA WEAKENS TO 972 MB AS IT MOVES TO 50 NM NORTH OF
ATKA MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW IS THEN ABSORBED BY A 973 MB LOW THAT
WILL DEVELOP 150 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA AND MOVE TO 285 NM NORTHWEST OF
SHEMYA AT 983 MB TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-071500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 29 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-071500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 35 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E... SE WIND 45 KT
DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-071500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-071500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-071500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-071500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT BERING SIDE...34 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT BERING SIDE... 32 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT BERING SIDE...24 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-071500-
UNALASKA BAY
1025 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
STRONGER GUSTS 60 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-071500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 50 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS
20 FT BERING SIDE...32 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. E OF SEGUAM
ISLAND...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT BERING SIDE...30 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-071500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-071500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-071500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 18 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-071500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
STRONGER GUSTS 65 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 071248 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

CORRECTED 179 TO ADD WIND GUSTS

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-080300-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 965 MB LOW PRESSURE 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA WEAKENS TO 973 MB AS
IT MOVES TO 100 NM NORTH OF ATKA THIS AFTERNOON...THEN IS ABSORBED 
BY A 973 MB LOW DEVELOPING 150 NM NORTH OF ATTU. THIS LOW WEAKENS AS
IT MOVES TOWARD SIBERIA. A 983 MB LOW MOVES NORTH TO 200 NM SOUTH OF
AMCHITKA TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-080300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
28 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-080300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 33
FT SUBSIDING TO 26 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-080300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-080300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 50 KT
DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-080300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT...EXCEPT 35 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-080300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT BERING SIDE...33 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. BERING
SIDE...SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC
SIDE...SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-080300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-080300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. E OF SEGUAM
ISLAND...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT BERING SIDE...28 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT
BERING SIDE...22 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT BERING SIDE...17 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-080300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-080300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-080300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 21 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 24 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 22 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-080300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST MON DEC 7 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AKST SUN DEC 6 2009

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN REMAINS IN
PLACE WITH STRONG BLOCKING RIDGE EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST PACIFIC
TO EASTERN MAINLAND ALASKA AND A TROUGH FROM EASTERN RUSSIA
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE BERING AND NORTH PACIFIC TO ABOUT 30N LATITUDE.
A 135 KT JET IS FLOWING SE TO NW ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
AROUND THE HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE.

AN ESTIMATED 958 MB LOW IS JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WITH
AN ASSOCIATED OCCLUSION STRETCHING SOUTHWARD UNDER THE JET STREAM.
WIDESPREAD STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LOCATED FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC TO
THE BERING SEA WITH HURRICANE GUSTS ALONG THE CHAIN NOT TOO UNCOMMON.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
TUESDAY AND FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS STILL PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
TODAY BUT AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS WEST OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS AS WELL AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE  BUILDING OVER THE NORTH GULF
COAST...WE SHOULD START TO SEE THOSE CLOUDS ERODE. ABNORMALLY WARM
AIR ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK
RESULTING IN AN INCREDIBLE TEMPERATURE INVERSION WITH TEMPERATURES
BELOW FREEZING AT THE SURFACE BUT WELL INTO THE MID 40S AT BETWEEN
2000 AND 5000 FT. AS THE MID CLOUDS ERODE AWAY...HAVE TO CONSIDER THE
POSSIBILITY OF FOG OR STRATUS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT UNDER THAT STRONG
INVERSION. AT THIS POINT...THINKING IS THAT IT WILL BE MAINLY ALONG
THE INLET AND NOT WIDESPREAD IF IT DOES DEVELOP.

CONDITIONS REMAIN STAGNANT THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK...POSSIBLY NOT
UNTIL THE WEEKEND WHEN THE COLD AIR RETURNS. MODELS HAVE THE RIDGE
AXIS FINALLY SHIFT BACK TO THE WEST ALLOWING A VERY COLD AIRMASS FROM
NORTHERN CANADA TO SPILL SOUTHWEST IN TO THE ALASKA MAINLAND.

SOUTHWEST INTERIOR...THE SOUTHEAST FLOW ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE IS
RESULTING IN VERY STRONG WINDS AND WARM TEMPERATURES FROM BRISTOL BAY
UP TO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. WIDESPREAD GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE FOUND
IN THIS REGION WITH LOCAL GUSTS AS HIGH AS 65 MPH THROUGH CHANNELED
TERRAIN. THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY WHEN
THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT SHIFTS WEST AND THE AFFECTS OF THE HIGH
PRESSURE SPREAD OVER THE REGION. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE
THROUGH THE WEEK WITH A SLOW DRYING TREND IN ADDITION TO THE
DIMINISHED WINDS.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...THE ACTIVE WEATHER REMAINS OUT WEST WHERE THE
WIND IS SCREAMING AROUND THE LARGE OCCLUDED LOW. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 78
MPH TODAY HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT DUTCH HARBOR WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO
65 MPH. HIGH WIND WARNINGS FOR THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS WILL REMAIN IN AFFECT WHILE A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE
PRIBILOFS WILL BE ISSUED WITH THIS AFTERNOONS PACKAGE. A SHORT WAVE
FLOWING TO THE NORTH ALONG THE JET STREAM WILL HELP FOCUS THE WIND
ALONG THE BOUNDARY MONDAY AFTERNOON. WILL ALSO HAVE TO CONSIDER A
WATCH FOR THE WESTERN CAPES UP TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AS GUSTS TO 75
MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION AS WELL.

CONDITIONS IMPROVE RAPIDLY LATE MONDAY NIGHT AS ALL OF THE ENERGY
MOVES NORTH. ANOTHER GALE FORCE STORM AND ASSOCIATED BOUNDARY SETS UP
ALONG THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY BUT NOTHING NEARLY AS POTENT AS
THE CURRENT SYSTEM.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 181 185.
         HIGH WIND WATCH 191.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...150 155 160 165 170 172 179 180 185.
         GALE WARNING...132 138 140 171 175 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AB DEC 09