Storm Warning 270, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 012142 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1240 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

RETRANSMISSION

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT MOVES FROM THE CENTRAL GULF TO SOUTHEAST
ALASKA BY TUE NIGHT. A 981 MB LOW 75 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT HEIDEN TUE
NIGHT MOVES INLAND NEAR KING SALMON EARLY WED AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-020300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
1055 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-020300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-020300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
1055 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF SEAL
ISLAND. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-020300-
PASSAGE CANAL
1055 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-020300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-020300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-020300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-020300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-020300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 020024
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021500-
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST
ALASKA TUE NIGHT. A 977 MB LOW NEAR COLD BAY WILL MOVE ON SHORE NEAR
DILLINGHAM AT 990 MB WED AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
GULF THU.
$$

PKZ120-021500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT...DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-021500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-021500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-021500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
45 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ130-021500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-021500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 23 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-021500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT.  
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-021500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 2 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT S 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
7 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.  
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-021500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 021247
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED DEC 2 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030300-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 2 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-030300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED DEC 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-030300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 2 2009

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-030300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED DEC 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO S 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF SEAL ISLAND. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-030300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST WED DEC 2 2009

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-030300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST WED DEC 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-030300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED DEC 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-030300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED DEC 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-030300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 2 2009

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-030300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 2 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AKST TUE DEC 1 2009

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM EASTERN SIBERIA TO JUST WEST OF THE
ALCAN THIS MORNING WITH A RIDGE OVER SE AK. AT THE SURFACE A SLOWLY
WEAKENING LOW IS BETWEEN COLD BAY AND DUTCH HARBOR. A STRONG
NORTH-SOUTH WEATHER FRONT IS AIMED AT PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. WATER
VAPOR SATPIX SHOWS A STRONG TROPICAL MOISTURE FEED EXTENDING FROM
WEAKENING TYPHOON NIDA IN THE WESTERN PACIFIC TO THE NORTH GULF
COAST. A WAVE IS DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT. THE ALEUTIAN LOW MOVES INTO
BRISTOL BAY WED MORNING AND THEN INLAND TO NORTHWEST AK ON THU.
RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE BERING UNTIL A NORTH PACIFIC LOW APPROACHES
ADAK ON FRI. IN THE MEANTIME THE MOISTURE STREAM AND ASSOCIATED
PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE STRAIGHT NORTH OVER THE GULF TODAY. THE WAVE
MOVING NORTH ALONG THE FRONT WILL CAUSE THE FRONT TO CHANGE TO A
NORTHWEST/SOUTHEAST ALIGNMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...WHICH WILL SERVE TO MOVE THE MOISTURE STREAM TO THE WEST.
ON WEDNESDAY THE FRONT DRIFTS TO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST AND THE
MOISTURE STREAM TAKES AIM AT SOUTHEAST AK. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON
THE NAM AND GFS IN THE EARLY PERIODS AND THEN THE GFS/EC FOR THE
REMAINDER.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

IN THE WEST...COLD AIR RETURNS WITH SNOW SHOWERS AND GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING WINDS AS THE LOW WEAKENS AND MOVES INLAND. BY WED HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE BERING AND SHOWERS END. THE NEXT NORTH
PACIFIC LOW REACHES ADAK FRI AFTERNOON AFTER SPREADING SNOW AND RAIN
AND STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE CHAIN BEGINNING THU.

FOR SOUTHWEST AK...SNOW SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH THU
MORNING. AT THAT TIME THE LOW MOVES NORTH AND THE RIDGE BUILDS INTO
THE AREA. SNOW MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE NEXT PACIFIC LOW THU
NIGHT AND MIXES WITH RAIN FRI.

SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AK RANGE...HEAVY SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE KENAI PENINSULA AND NORTH GULF COAST ZONES WITH RAIN AT LOWER
ELEVATIONS WILL FINALLY TAPER OFF TUE NIGHT. SNOW OVER THE NORTHERN
AK RANGE AND TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS TODAY WILL MOVE TO THE WESTERN AK
RANGE TONIGHT AS THE FRONT CHANGES ORIENTATION AND MOVES TO THE COAST
TUE MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH TUE NIGHT INTO WED AND THEN
ANOTHER ROUND WILL AFFECT THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL COAST AS THE
ALEUTIAN LOW MOVES INLAND WED AND WED NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE THEN
BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY FRI.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

THE PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE WEST FROM ADAK BRINGING STORMS AND RAIN TO
ALL OF THE BERING AND SW AK THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND. THE
EASTERN FLANK OF THIS STORM WILL ALSO WARM ALL AREAS SE OF THE AK
RANGE DURING THE WEEKEND AND CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 135
         WINTER STORM WARNING 145
MARINE...STORM 120
         GALE 121 125 129 132 165 170 179 185
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DS DEC 09