Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2009

Storm Warning 189, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 1, 2009

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 1, 2009, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 1, 2009, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 3, 2009, 4:00 AM AKST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 011254
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-020300-
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 981 MB N PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO NEAR 53N 169E SUN EVENING AND
STRENGTHENS TO 977 MB NEAR 59N 170W MON NIGHT. A SECOND 999 MB 
N PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO NEAR 50N 177E MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SOUTH OF 56N...SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT INCREASING TO S 40 TO 
50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 TO 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. NORTH OF 56N...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 TO 16 FT. S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 
18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 TO 50 KT BECOMING S TO SW 40 TO 50 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 TO 21 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...WEST OF 174W...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. EAST OF
174W...VARIABLE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...WEST OF 175W...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 35 TO 45 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 TO 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
EAST OF 175W...S TO W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W WIND 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-020300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 11 TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$
8 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK62 PAFC 020020
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-021500-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 991 MB LOW NEAR 51N 164E STRENGTHENS TO 977 MB NEAR 57N 178E MONDAY
AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS TO 985 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 59N 168W
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR 52N 176W AT
986 MB TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ411-021500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO
20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-021500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING SW 55 KT WEST OF 175W DURING
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 TO 22 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.

.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-021500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WEST OF 175W...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT. EAST OF 175W...VARIABLE WIND 20
KT...BECOMING S 25 KT TOWARDS MORNING. 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT...BECOMING SW 50 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
TO 20 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-021500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT INCREASING TO 35 KT WEST OF 167W IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK62 PAFC 021240
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-030300-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 987 MB LOW NEAR 54N 171E STRENGTHENS TO 977 MB NEAR 57N 179E MON
AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS TO 985 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 57N 163W
TUE AFTERNOON. THE LOW THEN RESTRENGTHENS TO NEAR 978 MB TUE EVENING
NEAR 57N 168W BEFORE BECOMING ABSORBED INTO A FRONT. A NORTH PACIFIC
LOW MOVES TO NEAR 50N 178E AT 991 MB TUESDAY MORNING...THEN
STRENGTHENS TO 966 MB WHILE MOVING TO NEAR 52N 160W TUE NIGHT.
ANOTHER 981 MB LOW NEAR 58N 168E MOVES TO 59N 175E BEFORE DISSIPATING
TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NORTH OF 57N...E TO SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.
RAIN. SOUTH OF 57N...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 TO 50 KT BECOMING SW 20 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 TO 19 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE TO SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18.  RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...WEST OF 175W...SE WIND 35 TO 45 KT BECOMING W 40 TO 50 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 TO 19 FT. RAIN. EAST OF 175W...SE WIND 15
TO 25 KT INCREASING TO S TO SW 30 TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE TO S WIND 10 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SOUTH OF 57N...E TO SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. NORTH OF 57N...S TO SW WIND 30 TO 40 KT BECOMING 
W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK62 PAFC 021242 CCA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

CORRECT HEADLINE FOR ZONE 413

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-030300-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 987 MB LOW NEAR 54N 171E STRENGTHENS TO 977 MB NEAR 57N 179E MON
AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS TO 985 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 57N 163W
TUE AFTERNOON. THE LOW THEN RESTRENGTHENS TO NEAR 978 MB TUE EVENING
NEAR 57N 168W BEFORE BECOMING ABSORBED INTO A FRONT. A NORTH PACIFIC
LOW MOVES TO NEAR 50N 178E AT 991 MB TUESDAY MORNING...THEN
STRENGTHENS TO 966 MB WHILE MOVING TO NEAR 52N 160W TUE NIGHT.
ANOTHER 981 MB LOW NEAR 58N 168E MOVES TO 59N 175E BEFORE DISSIPATING
TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NORTH OF 57N...E TO SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.
RAIN. SOUTH OF 57N...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 TO 50 KT BECOMING SW 20 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 TO 19 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE TO SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18.  RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...WEST OF 175W...SE WIND 35 TO 45 KT BECOMING W 40 TO 50 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 TO 19 FT. RAIN. EAST OF 175W...SE WIND 15
TO 25 KT INCREASING TO S TO SW 30 TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE TO S WIND 10 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SOUTH OF 57N...E TO SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. NORTH OF 57N...S TO SW WIND 30 TO 40 KT BECOMING 
W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK62 PAFC 021250 CCB
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

CORRECTED ZONE 414

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-030300-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 987 MB LOW NEAR 54N 171E STRENGTHENS TO 977 MB NEAR 57N 179E MON
AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS TO 985 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 57N 163W
TUE AFTERNOON. THE LOW THEN RESTRENGTHENS TO NEAR 978 MB TUE EVENING
NEAR 57N 168W BEFORE BECOMING ABSORBED INTO A FRONT. A NORTH PACIFIC
LOW MOVES TO NEAR 50N 178E AT 991 MB TUESDAY MORNING...THEN
STRENGTHENS TO 966 MB WHILE MOVING TO NEAR 52N 160W TUE NIGHT.
ANOTHER 981 MB LOW NEAR 58N 168E MOVES TO 59N 175E BEFORE DISSIPATING
TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NORTH OF 57N...E TO SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.
RAIN. SOUTH OF 57N...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 TO 50 KT BECOMING SW 20 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 TO 19 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE TO SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18.  RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...WEST OF 175W...SE WIND 35 TO 45 KT BECOMING W 40 TO 50 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 TO 19 FT. RAIN. EAST OF 175W...SE WIND 15
TO 25 KT INCREASING TO S TO SW 30 TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE TO S WIND 10 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S TO SW WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK62 PAFC 021913 CCC
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

CORRECTED TYPOS ZONES 412 414

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-030300-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 987 MB LOW NEAR 54N 171E STRENGTHENS TO 977 MB NEAR 57N 179E MON
AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS TO 985 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 57N 163W
TUE AFTERNOON. THE LOW THEN RESTRENGTHENS TO NEAR 978 MB TUE EVENING
NEAR 57N 168W BEFORE BECOMING ABSORBED INTO A FRONT. A NORTH PACIFIC
LOW MOVES TO NEAR 50N 178E AT 991 MB TUESDAY MORNING...THEN
STRENGTHENS TO 966 MB WHILE MOVING TO NEAR 52N 160W TUE NIGHT.
ANOTHER 981 MB LOW NEAR 58N 168E MOVES TO 59N 175E BEFORE DISSIPATING
TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NORTH OF 57N...E TO SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.
RAIN. SOUTH OF 57N...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 TO 50 KT BECOMING SW 20 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 TO 19 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE TO SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT.  RAIN SHOWERS.  
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...WEST OF 175W...SE WIND 35 TO 45 KT BECOMING W 40 TO 50 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 TO 19 FT. RAIN. EAST OF 175W...SE WIND 15
TO 25 KT INCREASING TO S TO SW 30 TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-030300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE TO S WIND 10 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S TO SW WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK62 PAFC 030021
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-031500-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 975 MB LOW NEAR 57N 178E WILL WEAKEN TO 981 MB NEAR 57N 165W TUE
AFTERNOON AND WILL DISSIPATE NEAR 58N 157W WED AFTERNOON. A 1003 MB
LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL STRENGTHEN TO 989 MB LOW NEAR 52N
177W TUE AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO NEAR 53N 148W AND STRENGTHEN TO 944
MB WED AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ411-031500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
60 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 15 TO 20 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-031500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING W 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 65
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT EAST OF 175W DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-031500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 55 KT...GUSTING TO 65 KT...EXCEPT SW 45 KT EAST OF
173W DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50
KT IN THE EAST OF 175W DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 18 TO 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-031500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT EXCEPT BECOMING BECOMING SW 50 KT SOUTH OF
56N AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 60 KT SOUTH OF 56N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
55 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 17 TO 22 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK62 PAFC 030122 CCA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

CORRECTED ZONE 413

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-031500-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 975 MB LOW NEAR 57N 178E WILL WEAKEN TO 981 MB NEAR 57N 165W TUE
AFTERNOON AND WILL DISSIPATE NEAR 58N 157W WED AFTERNOON. A 1003 MB
LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL STRENGTHEN TO 989 MB LOW NEAR 52N
177W TUE AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO NEAR 53N 148W AND STRENGTHEN TO 944
MB WED AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ411-031500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
60 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 15 TO 20 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-031500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING W 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 65
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT EAST OF 175W DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-031500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 55 KT...GUSTING TO 65 KT...EXCEPT SW 45 KT EAST OF
173W DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50
KT EAST OF 175W DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 18 TO 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-031500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKST MON NOV 2 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT EXCEPT BECOMING BECOMING SW 50 KT SOUTH OF
56N AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 60 KT SOUTH OF 56N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
55 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 17 TO 22 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK62 PAFC 031840 CCA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

CORRECTED TYPO ZONE 414

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-040300-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 985 MB LOW NEAR 57N 168W INTENSIFIES TO 968 MB WED MORNING NEAR 
58N 161W AND IS THEN ABSORBED INTO A GULF LOW. A 996 MB LOW NEAR 
50N 176E INTENSIFIES TO 960 MB WED MORNING NEAR 52N 155W AND THEN
CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST.

$$

PKZ411-040300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NORTH OF 56N...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13 FT. SOUTH
OF 56N...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-040300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW TO SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-040300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...EAST OF 175W...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. WEST OF 175W...SW TO W WIND 25 KT. 
SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-040300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 3 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SOUTH OF 57N...W WIND 20 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 TO 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. NORTH 57N...
VARIABLE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 1, 4:00 AM AKST, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 1, 4:00 AM AKST, 0 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 1 2009

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN GREAT AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FIRST 48 HOURS...THEN
DIFFER A BIT WITH RESPECT TO THE ARRIVAL OF A LOW AND ASSOCIATED
FRONT THAT BEGINS TO AFFECT THE SOUTHWEST COAST AND THE GULF MONDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. THE GFS MODEL WAS PREFERRED FOR THIS
PACKAGE WITH RESPECT TO THIS FEATURE AND RESULTING TRIPLE POINT
CYCLOGENESIS NEAR KODIAK ISLAND TUESDAY MORNING OR AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE END OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...MODELS ARE CONTINUING TO BE QUITE CONSISTENT IN A
FAST-MOVING LOW THAT STRENGTHENS SUBSTANTIALLY AS IT MOVES WEST TO
EAST UP THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN AND ENTERS THE SOUTHWEST GULF. SINCE THE
GFS AND EUROPEAN MODELS HAVE SHOWN REMARKABLE CONSISTENCY...AND WERE
NOT TOO FAR OFF ON THE STRENGTH OF THIS STRONG LOW IN THE GULF
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...WE USED A BLEND OF THE TWO MODELS IN THE
MIDDLE TO EXTENDED RANGE.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A CLOSED UPPER LOW AND WEAK SURFACE LOW CONTINUE TO SPIN NEARLY
STATIONARY IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. ASSOCIATED DISTURBANCES
CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THIS FEATURE...BRINGING OCCASIONAL ISOLATED
OR WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND
SOUTHEASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND REGIONS. THESE LOWS WILL BEGIN TO
MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND THE YUKON TERRITORY DURING
THE DAY ON MONDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE
NORTHERN COASTAL REGION CUTS OFF AND THE FLOW OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA
BECOMES MORE PROGRESSIVE. THIS WILL FINALLY ALLOW LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEMS TO WORK THEIR WAY EASTWARD TO AFFECT THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS...THE ALASKA PENINSULA...AND THE SOUTHWESTERN MAINLAND OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE FIRST LOW WILL MOVE FROM WEST OF ATTU ISLAND
TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH AN ASSOCIATED
FRONT TO ITS SOUTHEAST BRINGING GALE FORCE WINDS AND SNOW AND RAIN.
THE FOLLOWING SYSTEM ON ITS HEELS DEVELOPS NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
MONDAY NIGHT AND THEN QUICKLY MOVES EASTWARD UP THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN TO
NEAR KODIAK ISLAND EARLY WEDNESDAY. THERE ARE STRONG INDICATIONS THAT
WILL LOW WILL BE OF SIGNIFICANT STRENGTH THAT WIDESPREAD STRONG GALES
TO STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL BE LIKELY FOR A PORTION OF WEDNESDAY INTO
FRIDAY FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE GULF AND OUTSIDE COASTAL WATERS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTH AND EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...

IT IS A MUCH QUIETER MORNING THAN USUAL ACROSS THE SOUTHCENTRAL
REGION. WINDS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES
TO RELAX BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND WEAKENING LOW
PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. SOME GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE TO BLOW
THROUGH THE THOMPSON PASS AND VALDEZ AREAS ON OCCASION...BUT EVEN
THESE SHOULD STAY NEARLY STEADY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE THE LOW
IN THE GULF MOVES OUT AND WEAKENS. AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
TO BE BELOW NORMAL UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION...SAVE
FOR SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS ALONG THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA REGION
WITH A MINOR DISTURBANCE ROTATING AROUND THE WEAK GULF LOW. THIS
DISTURBANCE COULD LATER AFFECT THE EASTERN END OF KODIAK ISLAND THIS
AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED OR SCATTERED SHOWERS AS IT MOVES TO THE
SOUTH.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...

A WEAKENING NORTHEASTERLY JET OVER THE REGION THIS MORNING WILL
CONTINUE TO FILTER DOWN OCCASIONALLY GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TO
AROUND 15 OR 20 KNOTS ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION IN THE CONTINUED COLD
ADVECTION REGIME. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR TODAY...THEN INCREASING
CLOUDS WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA AS A 972 MB LOW
APPROACHES THE DELTA REGION WITH A GALE-FORCE FRONT THAT MOVES ONTO
THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY. AS WARM AIR MOVES
IN ALOFT AND COLD AIR GETS TRAPPED BENEATH AN INVERSION AT THE
SURFACE ON TUESDAY...THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME FREEZING RAIN IN
INTERIOR VALLEYS OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA IS CERTAINLY A POSSIBILITY AND
WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED. OTHERWISE...THERE SHOULD BE A MIX OF SNOW
AND RAIN GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE RAIN AS WARM MARITIME AIR MOVES ITS
WAY ONSHORE TUESDAY...BEFORE COLD ADVECTION SETS BACK IN ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE LOW AND FRONT AND TURNS THE PRECIPITATION BACK TO SNOW
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA/ALASKA PENINSULA...

THE BIG ISSUE OUTSIDE OF PRECIPITATION WITH ASSOCIATED FRONTS AND
LOWS WILL BE FORECASTING THE WINDS FOR MARINE ZONES AND FOR CHANNELED
TERRAIN IN THE PUBLIC ZONES AS THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. A
SECOND LOW THAT DEVELOPS JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS MONDAY
NIGHT WILL INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AS IT RACES ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF THE
ISLAND CHAIN AND TOWARDS THE GULF BRINGING A PERIOD OF STRONG AND
GUSTY WINDS NEAR THE PATH OF THE LOW TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL BE ALMOST A
COMPLETE OPPOSITE OF THAT EXPERIENCED THE LAST FEW DAYS. A LARGE LOW
WITH GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ENCOMPASS MOST OF THE GULF OF
ALASKA WITH A STRONG UPPER LOW THAT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO ALL OF THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE STATE FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...120 172 175
         STORM WARNING...176
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

CC NOV 09

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 31, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC14 hr
Oct 31, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC14 hr
Oct 31, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC14 hr
Oct 31, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC14 hr
Oct 31, 4:00 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC14 hr
Oct 31, 4:00 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC14 hr
Oct 31, 4:25 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC49 hr
Oct 31, 4:25 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Oct 31, 4:25 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC37 hr
Nov 1, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Nov 1, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC3 days
Nov 1, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 1, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Nov 1, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2009Every storm warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.