Storm Warning 187, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 270415 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
815 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

UPDATED ZONE 179.

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-271400-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A LOW COMPLEX OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL DISSIPATE MON NIGHT. A LOW
NEAR JAPAN WILL MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF ATTU WITH A 964 MB CENTER
WED AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ150-271400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-271400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT BY LATE EVENING.
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-271400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-271400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-271400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-271400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-271400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-271400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS
7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-271400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-271400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 33 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-271400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-271400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
815 PM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 271204
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-280200-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A WEAK 1011 MB LOW WILL DISSIPATE NEAR COLD BAY TODAY. A TRANSIENT
RIDGE WILL BUILD AND MOVE ACROSS THE BERING THROUGH WED NIGHT. A
STRONG WESTERN PACIFIC LOW NEAR JAPAN WILL MOVE NEAR SHEMYA AT 973 MB
WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-280200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-280200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-280200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-280200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-280200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-280200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-280200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-280200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-280200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-280200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE WIND 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 34 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-280200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-280200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 272301
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-281400-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN
BERING AND THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA WED. A 954 MB LOW 680 NM WEST OF
ATTU WILL WEAKEN TO 984 MB 70 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA THU AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ150-281400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-281400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-281400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-281400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-281400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-281400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-281400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-281400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. EAST OF
ATKA...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-281400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-281400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 
FT BUILDING TO 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-281400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-281400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 281205
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-290200-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A TRANSIENT RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL MOVE TOWARDS 
THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA WED.  A 954 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF
SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 994 MB 200 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA THU NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-290200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-290200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-290200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-290200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-290200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-290200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-290200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-290200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-290200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 19
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-290200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-290200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-290200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 282303
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-291400-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 963 MB LOW 200 NM WEST OF ATTU WILL MOVE TO 220 NM NORTHWEST OF
ADAK AND WEAKEN TO 1003 MB FRI AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
EASTERN BERING WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRI. 

$$

PKZ150-291400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-291400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-291400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-291400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-291400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-291400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-291400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-291400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT E 20 KT EAST OF ATKA. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-291400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-291400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-291400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-291400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 28 2009

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AKDT MON OCT 26 2009

CORRECTION FOR TYPOS

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
OVERNIGHT...THE MODELS IN THE IMMEDIATE SHORT TERM WERE NOT
INITIALIZING WELL IN HANDLING A LOW MOVING TOWARDS YAKUTAT. ALL OF
THE MODELS SEEMED TO BE TOO FAST WITH WINDS THAT WERE GENERALLY
UNDERDONE. OUT WEST THE MODELS SEEMED TO HAVE A PRETTY GOOD HANDLE ON
A SERIES OF LOWS OVER THE BERING. THE OVERALL PACKAGE HAD HEAVY GFS
THROUGHOUT THE MAJORITY OF THE PACKAGE. BEYOND THE SHORT TERM ...
DIFFERENCES START TO DEVELOP...AND THOSE DETAILS ARE DISCUSSED IN THE
LONG TERM FORECAST BELOW.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
ALASKA REGION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A HIGH AMPLITUDE LONG-WAVE TROUGH. A
WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE BERING IS DIPPING SOUTH. A
SHORTWAVE WEST OF THE KENAI PENINSULA IS WEAKENING AND A STRONG
VORT-MAX ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE LOW IS POISED TO EJECT OUT OF
THE CYCLONIC ROTATION INTO THE EASTERN BERING. AT THE SURFACE A
STACKED LOW NEAR YAKUTAT IS MOVING ONSHORE. MEANWHILE AN EAST - WEST
ORIENTED TROUGH EXTENDS TO THE WEST OF THE LOW THROUGH PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND.  A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH AND LOW LEVEL ARCTIC FRONT ARE SLOWLY
PIVOTING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST RESULTING IN CONTINUED RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION. A CLOSED UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO DROP
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING. MULTIPLE SURFACE LOWS HAVE
FORMED IN RESPONSE TO THE SHORT-WAVE ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER
CENTER.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
A WEAK LOW IN WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL BE DEVELOPING THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS LOW...COUPLED WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION AND AN
ADVANCING SHORTWAVE WILL HELP TO BRING SNOW TO THE ANCHORAGE AREA.
WHILE NOT AS IMPRESSIVE AS IT LOOKED YESTERDAY...SNOW WILL BE SEEN
ALONG TYPICAL UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE HILLSIDE TODAY. EVEN THOUGH THE
FREEZING LEVELS JUMPED CLOSE TO 1000 FEET OVERNIGHT...THE MID LEVELS
CONTINUE TO COOL ANYWHERE FROM 2 TO 4 DEGREES IN 12 HOURS. IT WILL
TAKE A WHILE TO COOL ANCHORAGE ENOUGH TO HAVE SNOW ACCUMULATE ... A
WINTERY MIX OF RAIN MIXING WITH SNOW WILL BE NOTED THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. THE BRUNT OF THE ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
VORT-MAX IS NOW FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST THAN LAST NIGHT...BRINGING
DOWN THE ACCUMULATION TOTALS TO AN INCH OR LESS. MID WEEK AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL EXIT THE REGION LEADING TO A DRYING TREND ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL.

OUT WEST....THE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH SITTING OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA CONTINUES TO PIVOT NORTHEASTWARD ...RESULTING IN
CONTINUED AREAS OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF IT.
THE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL COMPLETELY SHEAR APART TODAY AS THE STRONG
BERING SHORT-WAVE SHOOTS THROUGH THE AREA INTO THE GULF. WESTERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL INCREASE SO THAT AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL LIKELY
PERSIST ALONG THE UPSLOPE OF THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES.
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WOULD APPEAR TO SUPPORT MAINLY SNOW ACROSS THE
REGION...BUT IT IS STILL EARLY IN THE SEASON AND SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S ARE RESULTING IN A WARM MARINE LAYER
THEREFORE...EXPECT A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW. RIDGE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND
THE LOW COMPLEX...PROVIDING A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WEATHER BEFORE A
MAJOR STORM FORCE LOW MOVES TO THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS MID
WEEK.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE LONG TERM GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE PLAGUED BY UNCERTAINTY. BEYOND
THURSDAY ... GLOBAL MODELS STRUGGLE WITH HOW TO HANDLE THE REMNANTS
OF TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IN THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THE LATEST RUNS OF
THE GFS FULLY DIVERGE FROM EACH OTHER WITH THE 25/12Z GFS DRIFTING
SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN...THE 26/00Z GFS DRIFTING INTO THE BERING
AND THE 26/06Z GFS DRIFTING NORTH TOWARDS SHEMYA. THE GFS ALWAYS HAS
AN INHERENT PROBLEM OF BREAKING DOWN FAIRLY WELL ESTABLISHED RIDGES.
MEANWHILE THE ENSEMBLE MEAN GUIDANCE IS MUCH CLOSER TO THAT OF THE
LATEST 06Z SOLUTION...BUT THE INDIVIDUAL MEMBERS ARE ALL OVER...AND
THE 500MB HEIGHT ENSEMBLE STANDARD DEVIATION REMAINS MANY DEVIATIONS
BEYOND THE NORM...LEAVING LITTLE FAITH IN DETAILS. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN
A LITTLE MORE STABLE FROM RUN TO RUN...EVENTUALLY WORKING THE STORM
UP THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE ... TOWARDS SHEMYA BEFORE
DISSIPATING...SIMILAR TO THE LATEST GFS SOLN. PROBLEMS ARE NOT AS
EVIDENT OUT EAST AS THEY ARE IN THE WEST...BUT ALL BIG ISSUES ARE
DERIVED FROM THE INABILITY TO ACCURATELY DEAL WITH LUPIT. WHILE
CONFIDENCE IS SLOWLY INCREASING WITH A TREND TOWARDS STABLE
SOLNS...IT STILL REMAINS LOW BEYOND THE END OF THE WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...130 132 136 141 150 155 170
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

SHEA OCT 09