Small Craft Advisory 39, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 101732 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
832 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-110300-
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 984 MB LOW 330 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WEAKENS TO 1001 MB AS IT
MOVES 130 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY SUN NIGHT. A SECOND 998 MB LOW WILL
DEVELOP FRI NIGHT 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK...AND STRENGTHEN TO 995
MB SAT NIGHT 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND. A THIRD LOW AT 962 MB
WILL BE 500 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-110300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
705 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE AFTERNOON. 
WIND SHIFTING TO SW 30 KT SOUTH AND EAST OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-110300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
705 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAND POINT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-110300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-110300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-110300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-110300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
705 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-110300-
UNALASKA BAY
705 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-110300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-110300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-110300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-110300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-110300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 110058
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-111500-
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 993 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY MOVES LITTLE SAT NIGHT AND THEN
STRENGTHENS TO 992 MB 90 NM NORTH OF COLD BAY SUN NIGHT BEFORE MOVING
INLAND MON. A LARGE COMPLEX 970 MB LOW 550 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA SUN
STRENGTHENS TO 964 MB AS IT MOVES TO 450 NM SOUTH OF ADAK MON.
$$

PKZ150-111500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE WIND 25 KT NORTH OF THE SEMIDI
ISLANDS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-111500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E WIND 20 KT NORTH AND EAST OF THE
SANAK ISLANDS. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR
THE COAST.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E WIND 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-111500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-111500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-111500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-111500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E WIND 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-111500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE WIND 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-111500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-111500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.

.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-111500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-111500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-111500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 111300
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-120300-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1000 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR TOGIAK
SUN NIGHT AT 995 MB. A 965 MB LOW 780 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO
550 NM SOUTH OF ATKA MON NIGHT. A 994 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 400 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT SUN AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE INLAND NEAR
CORDOVA MON EVENING AT 997 MB.

$$

PKZ150-120300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-120300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-120300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-120300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-120300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-120300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-120300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-120300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-120300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-120300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-120300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-120300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 11 2009

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
410 AM AKST SAT JAN 10 2009

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A 980S LOW SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT CURRENTLY
STRETCHING FROM THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA IS
MAKING THE FIRST INTRUSION INTO THE AK PENN AND SOUTHCENTRAL IN
WEEKS. TEMPERATURES ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE 20S
AND 30S OVERNIGHT. THE SYSTEM IS BRINGING SNOW WITH IT. COLD AIR IS
STILL FIRMLY ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE BERING AND INTERIOR AK BUT THE
RIDGE OVER NORTHEAST AK AND WESTERN CANADA IS SHOWING THE FIRST SIGNS
OF WEAKENING. CLOUD COVER IS BEGINNING TO EXTEND ALONG THE NE GULF
COAST THIS MORNING AND IF THE NORTHERLY FLOW WEAKENS AT ALL ALONG THE
KENAI TODAY..SHOULD PUSH FARTHER INLAND.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE HAVING A VERY DIFFICULT TIME RESOLVING THE PATTERN CHANGE.
THEY HAVE BEEN TRYING TO PUSH WARMER AIR INTO THE INTERIOR FOR THE
PAST WEEK AND A HALF WITH NO SUCCESS. SO CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW AS TO
JUST HOW MUCH OF A REGIME CHANGE MAY TAKE PLACE THIS WEEKEND. THE
MODELS ARE NOT SURE WHERE OR WHEN TO WEAKEN THIS LOW ALTHOUGH MOST
PUSH IT THROUGH KODIAK ISLAND.

THEREFORE JUST DID A SMALL BLEND TOWARD THE EC THROUGH DAY 8.
BELIEVE MOST OF THE PROBLEMS SHOULD RESOLVE THEMSELVES AFTER SUN
NIGHT BUT IN THE MEANTIME LEANED TOWARD A WEAKER SOLUTION BLENDING
THE NAM AND THE EC IN THE IMMEDIATE TERM.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

IN THE WEST...NORTHEAST TO NORTH FLOW WILL BRING A FEW SNOW SHOWERS
TO THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE LOW MOVING SOUTH OF THE
ISLANDS BRINGS SNOW...WIND...AND INCREASING WARMTH TO THE SOUTHERN
AREAS TODAY AND SUNDAY. ON MON TEMPERATURES AGAIN COOL AND SNOW
SHOWERS RETURN AS THE LOW MOVES EAST BEFORE THE NEXT LOW BEGINS ITS
TREK SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS ON TUE AND WED.

FOR SW AK...THE LOW WILL BRING MORE SNOW..SNOW SHOWERS AND WIND TO
THE AK PENN AND BRISTOL BAY TODAY. THE WIND WILL CAUSE SOME WIND
CHILL ADVISORY CONDITIONS IN THE Y-K DELTA BY THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS PERSIST...WITH SNOW MOVING INTO THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA ON SUN. BY MON THE LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR
THESE EVENTS WEAKENS IN THE GULF AND PRECIPITATION DIMINISHES.

SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AK RANGE...A FRONT WILL BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS
TO KODIAK ISLAND TODAY. FOR NOW WILL KEEP THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL
DRY WITH NORTHERLY FLOW CONTINUING TO DOMINATE TODAY. HOWEVER THERE
IS A CHANCE THAT THE PATTERN WILL BREAK AND WE MAY SEE SOME SNOW
SHOWERS ALONG THE GULF COAST BY THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE REST
OF THE WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...WARMER..WET AND POTENTIALLY WINDY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALES 132 138 150
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 125 130 140 141 165 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

RNW JAN 09