Gale Warning 413, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 191520 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
715 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

UPDATE TO ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200200-
400 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1005 MB LOW 80 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD WILL MOVE TO KODIAK ISLAND AT
1011 MB SUN AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING.
$$

PKZ120-200200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE WIND 20 KT BY NOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200200-
RESURRECTION BAY
715 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS SOUTH OF
SEAL ISLAND. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-200200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N
WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-200200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 192319
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201400-
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A SERIES OF WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE CENTERS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-201400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-201400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SOUTH OF CAINES
HEAD...E WIND 20 KT.  SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-201400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT
SUBSIDING. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-201400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-201400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS...N WIND 15 KT. EAST OF BARREN
ISLANDS...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-201400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-201400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN APR 19 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT APR 18 2009

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN HAS NOT CHANGED
MUCH THE LAST FEW DAYS. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN CENTERED JUST EAST OF
KODIAK ISLAND WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA.
THIS PATTERN IS NOW SLOWLY PROGRESSING EASTWARD WITH THE RIDGE
EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA BY
MONDAY. THE CURRENT UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE GULF WILL WEAKEN AS THE
RIDGE BECOMES THE DOMINATE FEATURE OVER THE STATE IN THE FIRST HALF
OF NEXT WEEK.
ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE LIES THE NEXT FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM. THE LOW COMPLEX IS WELL WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT THE
FRONT WILL MAKE IT INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND THEN
CONTINUE TO MOVE STEADILY EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA
MONDAY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS ARE ROTATING AROUND THE
LOW IN THE GULF. SOME OF THESE COULD CHANCE TO SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE
GULF COAST OVERNIGHT. THE STRONGEST DISTURBANCE ROTATING AROUND THIS
LOW WILL MOVE UP ALONG THE COAST BY MIDNIGHT AND THEN INTO THE COOK
INLET AND KODIAK AREAS AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE AFTERNOON FORECAST WILL
INCREASE THE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT IN THE ENTIRE COOK
INLET REGION DUE TO THE STRENGTH OF THIS EASTERLY WAVE.
CLEARING SKIES IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA MAY DROP TEMPERATURES INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS AGAIN OVERNIGHT IN THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA.
THE NORTHERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA. THERE IS A
CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF STRATUS IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING SEA
WHICH IS ENHANCED BY THE COLD AIR FLOWING OFF THE ICE EDGE WHICH IS
UNUSUALLY EXTENSIVE AND FAR SOUTH FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE
EASTERN BERING SEA AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA MONDAY. THE RIDGE WILL THEN
MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD REACHING THE ALCAN BORDER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS
WILL KEEP MOST OF THE MAINLAND PART OF THE STATE IN SPRINGLIKE
WEATHER DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. A STRONG FRONT WITH DEEP
MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE RIDGE AND BRING PRECIPITATION BACK
INTO THE AREA LATER IN THE WEEK.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
TUESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 172 175 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

APR 09