Gale Warning 287, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 102344 RRA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

RETRANSMITT

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-111400-
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEAK FRONT WILL CROSS THE GULF THROUGH TUE NIGHT. A 998 MB LOW 300
NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK WED WILL MOVE TO 85 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA
AT 990 MB THU.

$$

PKZ120-111400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 25 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 25 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-111400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.   

$$

PKZ125-111400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-111400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-111400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...N WIND 20 KT.
ELSEWHERE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-111400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-111400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-111400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-111400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 110019 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
420 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

UPDATED 129 130

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-111400-
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEAK FRONT WILL CROSS THE GULF THROUGH TUE NIGHT. A 998 MB LOW 300
NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK WED WILL MOVE TO 85 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA
AT 990 MB THU.

$$

PKZ120-111400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 25 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 25 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-111400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.   

$$

PKZ125-111400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-111400-
PASSAGE CANAL
420 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-111400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
420 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...N WIND 20 KT.
ELSEWHERE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-111400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-111400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-111400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-111400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 111142
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT WED MAR 11 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-120200-
400 AM AKDT WED MAR 11 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1005 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY EARLY THIS MORNING
STRENGTHENS TO 995 MB AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TO 230 NM SOUTHWEST 
OF YAKUTAT LATE TUE NIGHT. THE LOW THEN MOVES ONSHORE AT 988 MB 
NEAR YAKUTAT THU EVENING WHILE A 994 MB LOW DEVELOPS NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ISLAND.
$$

PKZ120-120200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED MAR 11 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W OF CAPE CLEARE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. E OF CAPE CLEARE...E WIND 20 KT SHIFTING
TO N 20 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-120200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED MAR 11 2009

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-120200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED MAR 11 2009

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-120200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED MAR 11 2009

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-120200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED MAR 11 2009

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. NEAR KAMISHAK BAY...NE WIND 25 KT 
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-120200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED MAR 11 2009

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 
10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...VARIABLE 
WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-120200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED MAR 11 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT OR LESS BECOMING NW 25 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-120200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED MAR 11 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. S OF KALGIN
ISLAND...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SW 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-120200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED MAR 11 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 10 2009

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT FROM THE 12Z
RUN UNTIL AROUND 72 HOURS. ONE ITEM TO WATCH IS THAT THE 18Z RUN OF
THE NAM IS BRINGING THE LOW INTO THE GULF WED NIGHT QUITE A BIT
FARTHER WEST THAN ANY OF THE 12Z RUNS. THE NEXT FEW RUNS WILL NEED TO
BE WATCHED TO SEE IF THIS IS A GLITCH OR IF THE OTHER MODELS AND RUNS
START TO MOVE IT IN THIS DIRECTION. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT IS
THE IT WOULD BRING THE LOW INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THURSDAY. THE
CURRENT TRACKS BRING IT BETWEEN CORDOVA AND YAKUTAT SO THERE IS A BIT
OF DIFFERENCE IN WHAT WEATHER IT WOULD BRING. AT THIS TIME WE ARE
GOING WITH THE MORE EASTERLY SOLUTION.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE CURRENT UPPER LEVEL PATTERN HAS A
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND A RIDGE OVER THE ALCAN BORDER.

THE TROUGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD AND BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE BY
THURSDAY. A WEAK FRONT IS POSITIONED BETWEEN THESE FEATURES AND IS
BRINGING SOME SNOW TO AREAS AROUND THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGE IN
THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND KUSKOKWIM VALLEY.

THE JET STREAM WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE EASTERN PART OF THE AREA BUT
WILL BE A FACTOR IN THE WEATHER IN THE WESTERN AREAS. THE 250 MB JET
IS CURRENTLY RIDING OVER UN UPPER RIDGE IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA BUT
WILL FLATTEN OUT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH WESTERLY FLOW BETWEEN
140 AND 180 KT OVER THE ALEUTIANS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THERE IS A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA AREA WITH RAIN IN THE KODIAK AREA AND MOSTLY SNOW IN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND.
THE SNOW ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AND ALEUTIAN RANGE AS FAR WEST AS
KING SALMON LOOKS TO PERSIST WELL INTO TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY MORNING.
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH THE
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...BIG QUESTION WILL CENTER OVER THE LOW MOVING
INTO THE NORTH GULF COAST THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING SOME SNOW INTO
THE AREA BUT HOW FAR WEST WILL BE THE BIG CONCERN.
AFTER THE LOW MOVES INTO EASTERN ALASKA AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE INTERIOR INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. THIS WILL BRING
COLDER TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE ALASKA MAINLAND THIS WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

MAR 09