Gale Warning 284, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 091120
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100200-
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE OVER KODIAK ISLAND THIS MORNING MOVES INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF BEFORE DISSIPATING. A WEATHER FRONT IN THE CENTRAL 
GULF THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES EASTWARD. 
A SECOND FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF MONDAY NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-100200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT E 30 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-100200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2009

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-100200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-100200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.  
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.   
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-100200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NE 35 KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-100200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-100200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2009

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-100200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-100200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON MAR 9 2009

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2009

.MODEL DISCUSSION...USING GFS TODAY. NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM THE PATTERN
OF THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS. MODERATE STORM DRIFTING OVER THE
NORTHWEST BERING NEAR 180. NEXT SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TO NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF ST MATHEW ISLAND MON
AFTERNOON. ONLY EXPECT GALES WITH THIS THING. HOWEVER, THERE MAY BE
BRIEF STORMS IN THE ALUTIANS THIS EVENING.
HIGH CONTINUES TO SLIDE AWAY IN TO CANADA AND LEAVES A MILDER
SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN ALASKA, STRONGEST WEST OF
THE ALASKA RANGE OUT TO THE COAST. EXPECT LIGHT PRECITATION MAINLY
ALONG WINDWARD TERRAIN AS THE WEAKENING FRONT DRIFTS EAST. FRONT
SHOULD MOVE TO LIE ALONG 147W CURVING NORTHWEST ACROSS THE SUSITNA
VALLEY BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON MONDAY.

.LONGER RANGE...SYSTEMS THIS WEEK WILL BE MUCH MUCH WEAKEN ACROSSW
THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING THAN THEY HAVE BEEN FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF
WEEKS. GFS MODEL TAKES A LOW NORTHWARD FROM THE PACIFIC AND MOVES IT
TO NEAR OR JUST WEST OF MIDDLETON ILSE THURSDAY MORNING. AT THIS
POINT LOOKS LIKE ONLY MINIMUM GALES WITH THIS KODIAK AND THE NORTH
GULF COAST WITH THE CENTRAL PRESSURE FALLING TO ABOUT 994 MB. THIS
CHANGE WILL ALLOW COLDER AIR FROM THE ARCTIC TO SPREAD BACK OVER THE
EASTERN BERING AND BRISTOL BAY AS WELL AS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
INTERIOR BY LATE IN THE WEEK AND THE WEEK END.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...130 155 165 170 171 172.

DPERCY MAR 09