Brisk Wind Advisory 32, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM AKDT SUN MAR 8 2009

.MODEL DISCUSSION...USING GFS TODAY. NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM THE PATTERN
OF THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS. MODERATE STORM DRIFTING OVER THE
NORTHWEST BERING NEAR 180. NEXT SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TO NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF ST MATHEW ISLAND MON
AFTERNOON. ONLY EXPECT GALES WITH THIS THING. HOWEVER, THERE MAY BE
BRIEF STORMS IN THE ALUTIANS THIS EVENING.
HIGH CONTINUES TO SLIDE AWAY IN TO CANADA AND LEAVES A MILDER
SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN ALASKA, STRONGEST WEST OF
THE ALASKA RANGE OUT TO THE COAST. EXPECT LIGHT PRECITATION MAINLY
ALONG WINDWARD TERRAIN AS THE WEAKENING FRONT DRIFTS EAST. FRONT
SHOULD MOVE TO LIE ALONG 147W CURVING NORTHWEST ACROSS THE SUSITNA
VALLEY BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON MONDAY.

.LONGER RANGE...SYSTEMS THIS WEEK WILL BE MUCH MUCH WEAKEN ACROSSW
THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING THAN THEY HAVE BEEN FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF
WEEKS. GFS MODEL TAKES A LOW NORTHWARD FROM THE PACIFIC AND MOVES IT
TO NEAR OR JUST WEST OF MIDDLETON ILSE THURSDAY MORNING. AT THIS
POINT LOOKS LIKE ONLY MINIMUM GALES WITH THIS KODIAK AND THE NORTH
GULF COAST WITH THE CENTRAL PRESSURE FALLING TO ABOUT 994 MB. THIS
CHANGE WILL ALLOW COLDER AIR FROM THE ARCTIC TO SPREAD BACK OVER THE
EASTERN BERING AND BRISTOL BAY AS WELL AS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
INTERIOR BY LATE IN THE WEEK AND THE WEEK END.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...130 155 165 170 171 172.

DPERCY MAR 09