Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2009

Gale Warning 196, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 18, 2009

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 18, 2009, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 18, 2009, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Feb 19, 2009, 4:00 AM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 181229
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190300-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF WED
NIGHT. A 1024 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 50 NM WEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU
AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO 50 NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 1023 MB FRI
MORNING.

$$

PKZ120-190300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-190300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-190300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-190300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-190300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-190300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-190300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-190300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT EXCEPT S 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-190300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
4 follow-up statements
634 
FZAK51 PAFC 182355
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191500-
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF WED NIGHT. A 1024 MB
LOW WILL DEVELOP 50 NM WEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU AFTERNOON AND
MOVE TO 25 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT 1015 MB FRI AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-191500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-191500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-191500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-191500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-191500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-191500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-191500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...S WIND 20 KT.  RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.  RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 

$$

PKZ141-191500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$
000 
FZAK51 PAFC 190158 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA...CORRECTED
500 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

CORRECTED AREA 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191500-
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF WED NIGHT. A 1024 MB
LOW WILL DEVELOP 50 NM WEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU AFTERNOON AND
MOVE TO 25 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT 1015 MB FRI AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-191500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-191500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-191500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-191500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-191500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-191500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-191500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...S WIND 20 KT.  RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.  RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 

$$

PKZ141-191500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$
000 
FZAK51 PAFC 190814 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1111 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

UPDATED ZONE 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191500-
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF WED NIGHT. A 1024 MB
LOW WILL DEVELOP 50 NM WEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU AFTERNOON AND
MOVE TO 25 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT 1015 MB FRI AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-191500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-191500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-191500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
30 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-191500-
PASSAGE CANAL
1111 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-191500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-191500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-191500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
N OF KALGIN ISLAND...S WIND 20 KT.  RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.  RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 

$$

PKZ141-191500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED FEB 18 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$
000 
FZAK51 PAFC 191743 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2009

CORRECTED 140

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
400 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2009
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A WEATHER FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE
NORTHERN GULF AND DISSIPATE THU NIGHT. A 1025 MB LOW WILL FORM NEAR
MONTAGUE ISLAND THU NIGHT AND MOVE TO 150 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT SAT
MORNING.

$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2009

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2009

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2009

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2009

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2009

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...WEST WINDS 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND
PASSES. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES. 

.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU FEB 19 2009

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY MID MORNING. WINDS
BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 17, 5:00 PM AKST, 11 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 17, 5:00 PM AKST, 11 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AKST TUE FEB 17 2009

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE CENTER REMAINS NEAR PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND THIS AFTERNOON.  A 1032 MB HIGH CONTINUES TO MOVE FROM
OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA TOWARDS THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WITH RIDGING
EXTENDING THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE AKPENN.  ON THE BACK SIDE
OF THIS RIDGE...VERY STRONG WARM ADVECTION IS ONGOING OVER THE BERING
SEA AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS.  THIS FRONT EXTENDS NORTHWARD TO A SET OF STRONG
SURFACE LOWS ENCOMPASSING NEARLY ALL OF THE AREA NORTH AND WEST OF
SHEMYA TO THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA.

IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A BROAD TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL INTERIOR TO THE NORTH SLOPE.  THIS
FEATURE IS BRINGING MOSTLY SHOWERY ACTIVITY TODAY TO THE EASTERN HALF
OF THE STATE.  RAPIDLY BUILDING HEIGHTS ARE BUILDING INTO
SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA BEHIND THIS TROUGH FUELED BY THE STRONG WARM
ADVECTION OVER THE BERING SEA.  AN INTENSE UPPER VORTEX IS LOCATED
OVER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA.  A PARTICULARLY
STRONG SOUTHERLY PACIFIC JET RESIDES BETWEEN THE VORTEX AND THE
BUILDING RIDGE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN
BERING SEA PUMPING PLENTIFUL WARM AIR AND MOISTURE OVER THE REGION.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.  MADE
LITTLE CHANGES IN THE SHORT TERM WITH EXISTING GRIDS...WHICH WERE
PRIMARILY BASED ON THE 00Z GFS AND THE NAM.  ONCE PAST 12Z THURSDAY
MODELS ARE HAVING PROBLEMS WITH THE TIMING OF SHORTWAVES MOVING
THROUGH THE FAST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.  IN THE LONG TERM...THE MODELS
ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT...SO KEPT MOSTLY IN LINE WITH THE 00Z
AND 12Z ECMWF WHICH MATCHES HPC GUIDANCE FAIRLY WELL.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER THE AREA WILL SLOWLY MOVE
EASTWARD THIS EVENING...WITH THE SURFACE HIGH RAPIDLY BUILDING INTO
CENTRAL ALASKA SERVING TO RAPIDLY DRY US OUT.  BECAUSE OF THE RAPID
DRYING OUT AND RESIDUAL MOISTURE LEFT FROM THE PRECIPITATION FROM THE
LAST SEVERAL DAYS...FOG WILL BE A CONCERN FOR THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND
COOK INLET REGIONS.  WARM MOIST ADVECTION INTO THE REGION PICKS UP
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND STRENGTHENS THROUGH THE DAY AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST.  AS THIS WARM MOIST AIRMASS
IS ADVECTED INTO THE AREA IT WILL RIDE UP AND OVER THE COOLER AIR AT
THE SURFACE LEFT OVER FROM THE DEPARTING SURFACE RIDGE.  THESE
FACTORS...COMBINED WITH STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT ALOFT WITH STRONG
POSITIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION WILL ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
TO BREAK OUT ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHCENTRAL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND
EXTEND THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO A GOOD PART OF THE DAY THURSDAY.
WINDS THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM AND OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL NEED TO
BE WATCHED AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES AND THE STRONG PACIFIC
JET STREAK MOVES OVERHEAD WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

AS FOR PRECIP TYPE...IT APPEARS AS THOUGH THIS SYSTEM WILL FEATURE A
MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW...WITH GREATEST AMOUNTS OF RAIN FROM HOMER TO
CORDOVA.  FOR ANCHORAGE...THERE ARE MIXED SIGNALS AS TO WHICH PRECIP
TYPE MIGHT PREDOMINATE...WITH A LOT POSSIBLY DEPENDING ON THE
INTENSITY OF THE PRECIPITATION FALLING...WITH DEWPOINTS AS OF NOW
SLATED TO BE IN THE 20S THROUGHOUT THE DURATION...WOULD EXPECT THAT
THE STORM WOULD BE MOSTLY SNOW...PERHAPS BEGINNING AS A LIGHT RAIN OR
CHANGING TO RAIN WHEN THE INTENSITY WANES. INDEED...1000-850 MB LAYER
THICKNESS VALUES PEAK RIGHT AT OR JUST BELOW 1300 METERS ON THE
LATEST NAM AND GFS MODELS...WHICH WOULD MEAN THAT MOST IF NOT ALL OF
THE EVENT WOULD BE SNOW.  ONE CAVEAT TO THIS WOULD BE THAT MODELS
TEND TO UNDERESTIMATE THE AMOUNT OF WARM ADVECTION WHEN IT IS AS
STRONG AS IT IS CURRENTLY FORECASTED TO BE JUST AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND THUS CURRENT FORECASTED TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS MAY BE
TOO LOW.  HOPEFULLY TONIGHT'S MODEL RUNS WILL SHED MORE LIGHT ON THE
ANSWERS TO THE PRECIPITATION TYPE CHALLENGES FOR THE AREA.  IN THE
END...IT MAY COME DOWN TO HOW MUCH COLD AIR FROM THE SURFACE HIGH
OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR BECOMES ESTABLISHED EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE
WARM ADVECTION BEGINS.

AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN GULF...EXPECT LIGHT
SNOW TO DEVELOP OVER THE ANCHORAGE BOWL THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT OUT
AHEAD OF THE MAIN SHORTWAVE TROUGH.  BEHIND THE TROUGH...NORTHWEST
FLOW BUILDS INTO THE AREA...THOUGH ANOTHER SHORTWAVE SHOULD AT LEAST
BRING SOME CLOUDS FOR FRIDAY.  A RETURN TO COOLER TEMPERATURES SHOULD
BE IN ORDER FOR FRIDAY.

SOUTHWEST...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE PRIBILOFS UNTIL EARLY THIS
EVENING AS STRONG WARM ADVECTION PROVIDES MORE THAN SUFFICIENT
FORCING FOR SNOW...WHICH COMBINED WITH WINDS 30-45 MPH IS ALLOWING
FOR NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.  EXPECT THE SAME CONDITIONS TO AFFECT
THE COAST ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA REGION TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RAPIDLY RISE THROUGH THE EVENT...SUCH
THAT PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO RAIN AND END THE WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS AS THE FRONT MOVES RAPIDLY EASTWARD. FOR THE AKPEN...ONSET
OF WARM AIR RISING OVER THE RETREATING COLD AIRMASS COULD ALLOW FOR
SOME FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING FOR SEVERAL HOURS.  FURTHER INLAND
TOWARDS MCGRATH...EXPECT WITH STRONG DYNAMICS AND MOISTURE ADVECTION
THAT ALL OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL PICK UP SIGNIFICANT
SNOWFALL...THOUGH THERE WILL LIKELY BE A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN ALONG THE
COAST WEDNESDAY EVENING.  AFTER THE MAIN SYSTEM DEPARTS EARLY
THURSDAY ALONG THE COAST...WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
MOVING INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA THURSDAY NIGHT WHICH COULD POSSIBLY
BRING SOME MORE SNOW TO THE BETHEL AREA. BEHIND THE FRONT THE FLOW
REMAINS WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...MEANING
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN MILD FOR THE MIDDLE OF FEBRUARY.  FOR THE
CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS...EXPECT MILD TEMPERATURES AND RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS TO PERSIST UNTIL FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY WEDNESDAY.
BEHIND THE FRONT...EXPECTING FLOW TO GRADUALLY CHANGE FROM WESTERLY
TO SOUTHERLY IN RETURN FLOW AS A SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND AKPEN THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

THE SHARP SHORTWAVE TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND HEAD TOWARDS THE PANHANDLE.  A BUILDING RIDGE
OVER WESTERN ALASKA WILL BRING STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW TO MOST OF THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE STATE...WHILE STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL BRING VERY MILD WEATHER TO THE THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA.
MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN TAKING A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE
NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE WESTERN BERING SEA AND OVER FAR EASTERN
SIBERIA AND WEAKENING IT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.  THEREFORE...EXPECT
COOLER AND MUCH MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND FOR
SOUTHCENTRAL...AND MILD AND UNSETTLED WEATHER TO PERSIST ACROSS THE
ALEUTIANS AND THE SOUTHWEST COASTLINE THIS WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING...195 155
MARINE...GALE WARNING...130 132 150 155 160 165 170 172 175 176 180
                        352 411 413
         STORM WARNING...179 185 412 414
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...NONE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

CC FEB 09

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 17, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Feb 17, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 17, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Feb 17, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Feb 17, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Feb 17, 4:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 17, 4:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 17, 4:13 PM AKSTBlizzard WarningAFC26 hr
Feb 17, 4:13 PM AKSTFreezing Rain AdvisoryAFC11 hr
Feb 18, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Feb 18, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Feb 18, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Feb 18, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Feb 18, 4:54 AM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAFC37 hr
Feb 18, 5:29 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC25 hr
Feb 18, 6:57 AM AKSTFreezing Rain AdvisoryAFC9 hr
Feb 18, 7:54 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC8 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2009Every gale warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.