Flash Flood Warning 18, NWS Tucson, AZ

000 
WGUS75 KTWC 131522
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
822 AM MST SUN JUL 13 2008

AZC023-131645-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.W.0018.000000T0000Z-080713T1645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SANTA CRUZ AZ-
822 AM MST SUN JUL 13 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM MST FOR
WESTERN SANTA CRUZ COUNTY...

AT 815 AM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM 
NEAR NOGALES NORTHWARD ALONG INTERSTATE 19 TO AMADO. A SPOTTING 
IN NOGALES EARLIER REPORTED 1 INCH OF RAINFALL IN 20 MINUTES. THE 
STRONGEST STORM WAS LOCATED BETWEEN TUBAC AND AMADO NEAR INTERSTATE 
19 WHERE RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES WERE AT 1 TO 2 INCHES IN LESS THAN 
AN HOUR. STORM MOVEMENT WAS VERY SLOW...ABOUT 5 MPH TO THE NORTHWEST.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF WASHES 
AND STREAMS...ROADS AND UNDERPASSES.

LAT...LON 3152 11131 3152 11114 3172 11114 3168 11085
      3133 11078 3133 11109

$$

MEYER

000 
WGUS75 KTWC 131557
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
857 AM MST SUN JUL 13 2008

AZC023-131645-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.W.0018.000000T0000Z-080713T1645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SANTA CRUZ AZ-
857 AM MST SUN JUL 13 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM MST FOR
WESTERN SANTA CRUZ COUNTY...

AT 850 AM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE AN AREA OF STRONG SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS 
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS WESTERN SANTA CRUZ COUNTY. THE STRONGEST 
STORMS WERE NOTED AROUND TUBAC AND AMADO. A RAIN GAGE IN TUBAC 
REPORTED 1.93 INCHES HAD FALLEN. RUNOFF WAS ALSO CONTINUING FROM 
EARLIER HEAVY RAIN FURTHER SOUTH IN NOGALES. STORM WAS TO THE 
NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 MPH.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF WASHES 
STREAMS...ROADS AND UNDERPASSES.

LAT...LON 3152 11131 3152 11114 3172 11114 3168 11085
      3133 11078 3133 11109

$$

MEYER

000 
WGUS75 KTWC 131645
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
945 AM MST SUN JUL 13 2008

AZC023-131653-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FF.W.0018.000000T0000Z-080713T1645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SANTA CRUZ AZ-
945 AM MST SUN JUL 13 2008

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 945 AM MST FOR WESTERN
SANTA CRUZ COUNTY...

AT 940 PM MST...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAD WEAKENED AND MOVED OFF 
TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST. WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED 
THIS MORNING THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. 
HEAVY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WASHES AND STREAMS THROUGH THE 
DAY...WITH MORE RAINFALL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.

LAT...LON 3152 11131 3152 11114 3172 11114 3168 11085
      3133 11078 3133 11109

$$

MEYER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
230 AM MST SUN JUL 13 2008

.SYNOPSIS...A MOIST AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA
THIS WEEK. EXPECT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY NIGHTTIME HOURS TO OCCUR.

&&

.DISCUSSION...KEMX WSR-88D DETECTED ISOLATED MOSTLY LESS THAN 30 DBZ
ECHOES OVER NRN COCHISE COUNTY AT 0925Z. A MUCH STRONGER CELL HAD
DEVELOPED IN THE VICINITY OF REDINGTON PASS ADJACENT THE EAST SIDE
OF THE CATALINA MOUNTAINS DURING THE PAST 25 MINUTES. THE REST OF SE
AZ WAS VOID OF PRECIP ECHOES AT THIS TIME. IR SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATED CLEAR SKIES ACROSS FAR WRN PIMA COUNTY...WITH BROKEN-
OVERCAST LOWER AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ELSEWHERE. CLOUD TOPS WERE
WARMING RAPIDLY OVER FAR WEST TX/SWRN NM.

AUGUST-LIKE OR AUGUST-TYPE REGIME TO PREVAIL DURING THE EARLY PART
OF THE WEEK AS ABUNDANT MOISTURE REMAINS ACROSS SE AZ. WILL OPT FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL/ERN SECTIONS TODAY
AND MONDAY WITH LESSER CHANCES ACROSS WRN LOCALES. NUMEROUS SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. STEERING FLOW TO BE
QUITE WEAK THUS THE MAIN THREAT SHOULD TRANSLATE INTO BRIEF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. PER COORD WITH WFO PSR/FGZ HAVE DEPICTED A SLIGHT
DRYING TREND AND THUS SOMEWHAT DECREASED PRECIP CHANCES DURING THE
MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. WILL ESSENTIALLY
FORECAST A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY NIGHTTIME HOURS ERN SECTIONS...WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF POPS FROM THE TUCSON METRO AREA WESTWARD DURING THE TUE-
SAT PERIOD. DAYTIME HIGH TEMPS DURING THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF
THE WEEK TRENDING CLOSE TO NEAR-NORMAL VALUES FOR MID JULY.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY NIGHTTIME HOURS INTO MONDAY. CLOUD DECKS
WILL GENERALLY BE 5-7KFT AGL...WITH LOWER CEILINGS IN HEAVY RAIN.
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS AS LOW AS 1 MILE
OBSCURING MOUNTAINS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN COMBINATION WITH DAYTIME
HEATING WILL LEAD TO MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEK.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON