Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Tucson, AZ

000 
WGUS75 KTWC 122343
FFSTWC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
443 PM MST SAT JUL 12 2008

AZC003-130100-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080713T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCHISE AZ-
443 PM MST SAT JUL 12 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MST FOR
EASTERN COCHISE COUNTY...

AT 435 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN 
IN AND AROUND THE CHIRICAHUA MOUNTAINS AREA. THE STRONGEST STORMS 
WERE LOCATED NEAR PARADISE AND PORTAL ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE 
MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS JUST NORTH OF RUCKER CANYON. RADAR RAINFALL 
ESTIMATES RANGED FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PORTAL...
PARADISE AND CHIRICAHUA NATIONAL MONUMENT

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF WASHES 
AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES.

LAT...LON 3217 10951 3218 10905 3147 10906 3155 10955

$$

MEYER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
145 PM MST SAT JUL 12 2008

.SYNOPSIS...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR WESTERN ARIZONA WILL WEAKEN
AND LIFT NORTH THIS WEEKEND. IT WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH SUNDAY AS HIGH TEMPERATURES REMAIN
BELOW NORMAL DUE TO CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS AND WIDESPREAD SHOWERS.
A MORE TYPICAL JULY MONSOON PATTERN IS EXPECTED MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
WITH A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...PLENTY UNSTABLE WITH PROXIMITY OF LOW AND UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENT PATTERN OVERHEAD. PLENTY OF MOISTURE AS WELL WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER STILL HANGING IN THE 1.75 INCHES RANGE AND
SURFACE DEWPTS IN THE 60S. ONLY TAKING A COUPLE OF HOURS OF HEATING
TO ENHANCE CONVECTION THIS MORNING. VERY WEAK FLOW...MAIN CONCERN IS
ONCE AGAIN HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIAL LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS.
COVERAGE SHOULD END UP HEAVY SCATTERED TO LOW END NUMEROUS THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS WITH SCATTERED POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

OTHERWISE LOW FILLS THEN SHEARS OUT OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND FLOW
PICKS UP ONCE AGAIN FROM THE SOUTH AS HIGH CENTER WOBBLES AND
RECONSOLIDATES EAST. NORMAL TO HEAVY SUMMER THUNDERSTORM SEASON
ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO THE NEW WEEK...WE LOOSE THE
INFLUENCE OF THE LOW BUT NICE H7 THETA E RIDGE WRAPS AROUND THE NEW
HIGH POSITION RIGHT INTO SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. PROBABLY KNOCK THE 60
PERCENT COVERAGE BACK TO THE 30 TO 50 PERCENT RANGE BY MONDAY OR SO.

&&

.AVIATION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO
SUNDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY NIGHTTIME HOURS.
CLOUD DECKS WILL GENERALLY BE 5-7KFT AGL...WITH LOWER CEILINGS IN
HEAVY RAIN. VISIBILITIES AT TIMES WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS AS LOW
AS 1 MILE OBSCURING MOUNTAINS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...PLENTY OF MOISTURE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE COMING WEEK.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1102 PM MST FRI JUL 11 2008

AZZ019-029>035-120715-
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION-
TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY-
1102 PM MST FRI JUL 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.