Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
455 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
455 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUG THIS EVENING. HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH
FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT STRETCHED FROM WESTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE ATMOSPHERE SOUTH OF THE FRONT HAS
BECOME UNSTABLE...AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED FROM
WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING...WITH A
FEW STRONG TO SEVERE CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. THE STRONG
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH 30-40 KNOTS OF WESTERLY MID-LEVEL WINDS
SUGGEST THAT DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT
THROUGH THE MID TO LATE EVENING.

THE SEVERE THREAT WILL TRANSITION MORE TOWARDS A HEAVY RAIN AND
FLASH FLOOD THREAT OVERNIGHT. A MOIST ATMOSPHERE WILL LEAD TO
EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS...MAKING HEAVY RAINFALL A
CONCERN WITH THE SLOW MOVING FRONT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE GREATEST ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WHERE
SOILS ARE VERY MOIST FROM RECENT RAINS. THE GREATEST RISK OF FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE NORTH OF A BRISTOW...WAGONER...WITTER LINE. REFER
TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH /OKCFFATSA/ FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE AREA ON SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AS THE FRONT
TRIES TO LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WEAK BOUNDARY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD INTO THE REGION DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK WITH
DECREASING RAIN CHANCES.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
825 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W CAVE SPRINGS        36.26N 94.25W
07/12/2008                   BENTON             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A 12 INCH DIAMETER TREE TOOK OUT A POWER LINE AND FELL
            ONTO HIGHWAY 264 1.5 MILES WEST OF CAVE SPRINGS.

&&

DMJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
829 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     TSTM WND DMG     W FAYETTEVILLE          36.06N 94.16W
07/12/2008                   WASHINGTON         AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES DOWN ON THE WEST SIDE OF FAYETTEVILLE

&&

DMJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
901 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

OKZ064-130300-
CREEK OK-
901 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL CREEK

AT 901 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES
WEST OF DRUMRIGHT...MOVING EAST AT 28 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL
BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...SHAMROCK...DRUMRIGHT...OILTON...
SILVER CITY AND KELLYVILLE.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AND
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

LAT...LON 3612 9661 3609 9630 3608 9629 3609 9622
      3608 9616 3586 9618 3582 9618 3591 9663
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 278DEG 25KT 3602 9672

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
910 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

OKZ064>066-130245-
CREEK OK-OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-
910 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     OKMULGEE AND SOUTHEASTERN CREEK

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL OKFUSKEE

AT 910 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM SLICK TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF PHAROAH...MOVING
EAST AT 29 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
INCLUDE...WILSON...PHAROAH...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...HENRYETTA...
DEWAR...GRAYSON...SCHULTER...MORRIS...PRESTON...BEGGS...BALD HILL...
HECTORVILLE AND SLICK.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

LAT...LON 3586 9632 3586 9603 3586 9581 3547 9585
      3547 9587 3539 9588 3540 9625
TIME...MOT...LOC 0210Z 269DEG 25KT 3577 9620 3547 9617

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