Severe Thunderstorm Warning 403, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 090314
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1015 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

OKC037-113-117-143-147-090400-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0403.000000T0000Z-080609T0400Z/
WASHINGTON OK-OSAGE OK-CREEK OK-TULSA OK-PAWNEE OK-
1015 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR PAWNEE...TULSA...NORTHERN CREEK...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 1013 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM BARTLESVILLE TO SKIATOOK TO JENNINGS...MOVING EAST AT
44 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...SKIATOOK...
WESTPORT...RAMONA...VERA...SPERRY...MANNFORD...COLLINSVILLE...
OWASSO...SAND SPRINGS...GRAY AND TULSA.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3670 9582 3619 9582 3599 9606 3615 9663
      3616 9664 3642 9621 3684 9612
TIME...MOT...LOC 0315Z 286DEG 38KT 3678 9597 3637 9603
          3616 9650

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 090331
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1032 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

OKC037-113-117-143-147-090400-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0403.000000T0000Z-080609T0400Z/
WASHINGTON OK-OSAGE OK-CREEK OK-TULSA OK-PAWNEE OK-
1032 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN PAWNEE...TULSA...NORTHEASTERN CREEK...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE
AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 1030 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF OCHELATA TO SKIATOOK TO
MANNFORD...MOVING EAST AT 44 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...COLLINSVILLE...
OWASSO...SAND SPRINGS...GRAY AND TULSA.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3670 9582 3618 9583 3599 9606 3609 9640
      3616 9638 3634 9609 3668 9600
TIME...MOT...LOC 0332Z 286DEG 38KT 3665 9583 3633 9593
          3612 9635

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 090354
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1053 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

OKC037-113-117-143-147-090403-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0403.000000T0000Z-080609T0400Z/
WASHINGTON OK-OSAGE OK-CREEK OK-TULSA OK-PAWNEE OK-
1053 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN PAWNEE...TULSA...
NORTHEASTERN CREEK...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES
EXPIRES AT 1100 PM CDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3670 9582 3618 9583 3599 9606 3609 9640
      3616 9638 3634 9609 3668 9600
TIME...MOT...LOC 0353Z 286DEG 38KT 3659 9556 3627 9567
          3606 9609

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
821 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM ARE APPROACHING AREA A LITTLE FASTER THAN EXPECTED.
UPDATED TO REFLECT THIS AND TO ADD AREAL COVERAGE WORDING SO
THOSE COUNTIES IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WOULD HAVE POPS
AND WEATHER REFLECTIVE OF THE RISK.  EXPECT THE EVENT TO SHIFT
FROM A SEVERE THREAT TO A FLASH FLOOD RISK OVERNIGH.  WILL LEAVE
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AS IS FOR THE TIME BEING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008/

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS STARTING TO DEVELOP ALONG COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE WIND GUSTS HAVE REMAINED BELOW 40
MPH AND THEREFORE HAVE CANCELED THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON.

MAIN CONCERN REMAINS FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL FOR LATE TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY. COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SLOWLY SOUTHEAST
OVERNIGHT...MOVING INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SHOULD
BE NEAR TULSA BY 12Z. ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN MODERATELY UNSTABLE
OVERNIGHT ALONG AND SOUTH OF BOUNDARY AND WITH INCREASING DEEP
LAYER SHEAR COULD HAVE A FEW SEVERE STORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST
DURING THE DAY MONDAY...HOWEVER COULD SEE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE
TO TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WITH A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THREAT. WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCHES IS
EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY 5 INCHES POSSIBLE IN AREAS. LOOKING AT THE
LATEST 18Z NAM...THESE TOTALS MAY NEED TO BE INCREASED WHEN
PRECIPITATION FORECAST BECOMES MORE CERTAIN. PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED TO FINALLY SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA MONDAY EVENING WITH A
DRY FORECAST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK. AGAIN STAYED FAIRLY
CLOSE TO THE 12Z ECMWF DURING THE EXTENDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   67  73  60  86 /  70  90  20  10
FSM   74  82  63  86 /  10  90  60  10
MLC   74  78  63  86 /  20  90  50  10
BVO   65  75  55  85 /  90  90  20  10
FYV   71  76  57  82 /  20  90  60  10
BYV   71  76  57  82 /  20  90  60  10
MKO   73  74  60  85 /  30  90  40  10
MIO   67  74  56  84 /  70  90  30  10
F10   72  72  60  85 /  30  90  40  10
HHW   75  84  66  87 /  10  70  60  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 7 PM MONDAY FOR OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ067.

AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
814 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
802 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY FOR NORTHEAST
   OKLAHOMA...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 2 AM FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST
   OKLAHOMA...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...LATE THIS EVENING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...LATE THIS EVENING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS FORMED ALONG A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT FROM NORTHEAST
KANSAS TO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING.  THESE THUNDERSTORMS WERE PROGRESSING EAST TOWARD NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.  THERE WILL BE A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS PRIMARILY ALONG AND TO THE NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE
44 THIS EVENING AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.  THE THUNDERSTORM
EVENT WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT FROM A SEVERE WEATHER RISK TO FLASH FLOODING
POTENTIAL AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES.  HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL
...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...DENSE FOG POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING MONDAY MORNING WITH HEAVY RAIN
BEING THE MAIN RISK.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY
ACROSS AREAS SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44 DURING THE DAY MONDAY.
HEAVY RAIN AGAIN WILL BE A BIGGER RISK.  RAINFALL TOTALS FROM
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY WILL LIKELY BE 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.  A FEW PLACES MAY SEE 5 INCHES OF RAIN. THE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LIKELY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF OUR AREA MONDAY EVENING.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
852 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

OKZ056-057-090245-
CRAIG OK-NOWATA OK-
852 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN CRAIG AND NORTHERN NOWATA

AT 852 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 22 MILES NORTHWEST OF LENAPAH TO 17 MILES WEST OF
LENAPAH TO 29 MILES WEST OF DELAWARE...MOVING EAST AT 33 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...DELAWARE...
LENAPAH...CENTRALIA...HOLLOW AND CENTRAILIA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3699 9521 3675 9529 3677 9582 3695 9580
      3695 9579 3700 9579
TIME...MOT...LOC 0152Z 267DEG 28KT 3709 9587 3690 9591
          3683 9615

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
934 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

OKZ055>058-090330-
CRAIG OK-NOWATA OK-OTTAWA OK-WASHINGTON OK-
934 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CRAIG...WESTERN OTTAWA...NOWATA AND WASHINGTON

AT 934 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES EAST OF WANN TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF WANN TO
2 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BARTLESVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 38 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...NOWATA...
DELAWARE...LENAPAH...WANN...BARTLESVILLE...DEWEY...COPAN...
NARCISSA...CENTRALIA...HOLLOW...PYRAMID CORNERS...BLUEJACKET...
CENTRAILIA AND WELCH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3699 9488 3671 9490 3666 9522 3665 9601
      3670 9601 3697 9592
TIME...MOT...LOC 0234Z 270DEG 33KT 3695 9567 3685 9576
          3672 9598