River Flood Warning 126, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
503 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
450 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...HEAVY RAIN AND HIGH WINDS EXPECTED WITH PASSAGE OF IKE...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT DUE TO VERY MOIST TROPICAL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR RECEIVING ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL BEFORE MORNING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST FORECAST BRINGS THE CENTER OF IKE INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA OR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AS A TROPICAL STORM EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY... WITH
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES LIKELY. LOCAL AMOUNTS COULD
BE AROUND 10 INCHES OR MORE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. GIVEN THE FORECAST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS... IN ADDITION TO A THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING...
SEVERAL AREA RIVERS WILL LIKELY REACH MINOR TO MODERATE FLOOD
CONDITIONS.

SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 40 MILES AN HOUR WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING AS THE
CENTER OF CIRCULATION APPROACHES. THERE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT FOR BRIEF
ISOLATED TORNADOES.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
ALL CONCERNED SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND TRACK
ADJUSTMENTS FOR IKE.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.