High Wind Watch 1, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WWUS74 KTSA 130209
NPWTSA

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
909 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

OKZ054>067-131015-
/O.CON.KTSA.WI.Y.0021.080913T1200Z-080914T1200Z/
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...
BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER
909 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM CDT
SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM CDT
SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...
ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER.

HURRICANE IKE WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS WITHIN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. ONCE OVER LAND IT WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND IS
EXPECTED TO BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS
FAR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA SATURDAY EVENING AND EVENTUALLY INTO
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY SUNDAY MORNING.

WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHEASTERLY AND INCREASE IN SPEED SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS ALL OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY NIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053-068>076-131015-
/O.CON.KTSA.HW.A.0001.080913T1200Z-080914T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-
PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...
MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
909 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...
SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE.

HURRICANE IKE WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS WITHIN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. ONCE OVER LAND IT WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND IS
EXPECTED TO BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS
FAR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA SATURDAY EVENING AND EVENTUALLY INTO
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY SUNDAY MORNING.

STRONG WINDS COULD DEVELOP OVER FAR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AS EARLY
AS SATURDAY MORNING...WITH THE STRONG WINDS EXPANDING NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. WIND GUSTS NEAR 60
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR INCREASING WINDS
ON SATURDAY. LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

$$

000 
WWUS74 KTSA 130912
NPWTSA

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
412 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

OKZ054>059-131015-
/O.CAN.KTSA.WI.Y.0021.080913T1200Z-080914T1200Z/
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...
VINITA...MIAMI...PAWNEE
412 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS CANCELED THE WIND
ADVISORY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...OTTAWA...PAWNEE.

WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. WIND SPEEDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA HOWEVER...THUS THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELED. WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH WILL BE COMMON TONIGHT...AND
CAUTION IS STILL ADVISED.

$$

ARZ029-OKZ049-053-076-131715-
/O.UPG.KTSA.HW.A.0001.080913T1200Z-080914T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KTSA.HW.W.0002.080913T1800Z-080914T1200Z/
SEBASTIAN-PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...HUGO...
POTEAU
412 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
CDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM CDT
SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...LE FLORE.

HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL THIS MORNING NEAR GALVESTON
TEXAS...AND WILL TURN NORTH TODAY WHILE WEAKENING TO A TROPICAL
STORM BY LATE AFTERNOON. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS EVENING AND INTO
NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS SUNDAY MORNING WHILE WEAKENING TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS BY EVENING AS A
RESULT. WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH ARE LIKELY...WITH SOME STRONGER
SQUALLS POSSIBLE.

PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR INCREASING
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING. LOCALIZED WIND
DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE. 

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-OKZ068>075-131715-
/O.UPG.KTSA.HW.A.0001.080913T1200Z-080914T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KTSA.WI.Y.0021.080913T1800Z-080914T1200Z/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-CHEROKEE-
ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...
MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON
412 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM CDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...
HASKELL...LATIMER.

HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL THIS MORNING NEAR GALVESTON
TEXAS...AND WILL TURN NORTH TODAY WHILE WEAKENING TO A TROPICAL
STORM BY LATE AFTERNOON. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS EVENING AND INTO
NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS SUNDAY MORNING WHILE WEAKENING TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHEASTERLY AND INCREASE IN SPEED
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 40 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY NIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

OKZ060>067-131715-
/O.EXT.KTSA.WI.Y.0021.080913T1800Z-080914T1200Z/
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...
BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER
412 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
CDT SUNDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN OKLAHOMA...
TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER.

HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL THIS MORNING NEAR GALVESTON
TEXAS...AND WILL TURN NORTH TODAY WHILE WEAKENING TO A TROPICAL
STORM BY LATE AFTERNOON. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS EVENING AND INTO
NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS SUNDAY MORNING WHILE WEAKENING TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHEASTERLY AND INCREASE IN SPEED
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY NIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1053 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE. EARLIER UPDATE REFLECTED
ADJUSTING POPS DOWN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA WHERE COVERAGE OF TRAINING RAINFALL HAS SHIFTED IN TO
SE/SC KANSAS. BRIEF AREA OF SUBSIDENCE WILL KEEPS THINGS RELATIVELY
TRANQUIL TODAY...BUT HAVE OPTED TO LEAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN FOR
THE AFTERNOON. CHANGES BEYOND FIRST PERIOD MAINLY INVOLVE TWEAKING
OF THE WIND AND WIND GUST GRIDS TO REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK
OF IKE.

BEYOND THE FIRST PERIOD...A COLD FRONT ALONG WITH IMPACTS OF IKE
WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT SE OK TONIGHT AS AREAL COVERAGE OF RAIN AND
WINDS START TO INCREASE. IKE IS ANTICIPATED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG
THE SE TX COAST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...AND ITS FORWARD SPEED WILL
INCREASE AS IT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH AND NORTHEAST. WINDY AND RAINY
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT EXPECTED FOR ERN OK AND OF NW/WC
ARKANSAS ANTICIPATED AS THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION APPROACHES THE RED
RIVER BY SATURDAY EVENING. WINDY CONDITIONS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL EXPECTED OVERNIGHT SATURDAY AS THE CENTER LIFTS ACROSS SE
OK AND WC AR OVERNIGHT...AND INTO NW AR SHORTLY AFTER DAY BREAK
SUNDAY MORNING. RAINFALL AND WIND WILL DECREASE DURING THE DAY
SUNDAY AS IKE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT LIFTS QUICKLY INTO THE
MIDWEST.

UPDATED ZFP/PFM/AFM OUT 1620Z.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-
     OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-
     OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-
     OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-
     ARZ010-ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

LONG TERM....18
SHORT TERM...23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
503 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
450 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...HEAVY RAIN AND HIGH WINDS EXPECTED WITH PASSAGE OF IKE...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT DUE TO VERY MOIST TROPICAL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR RECEIVING ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL BEFORE MORNING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST FORECAST BRINGS THE CENTER OF IKE INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA OR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AS A TROPICAL STORM EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY... WITH
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES LIKELY. LOCAL AMOUNTS COULD
BE AROUND 10 INCHES OR MORE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. GIVEN THE FORECAST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS... IN ADDITION TO A THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING...
SEVERAL AREA RIVERS WILL LIKELY REACH MINOR TO MODERATE FLOOD
CONDITIONS.

SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 40 MILES AN HOUR WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING AS THE
CENTER OF CIRCULATION APPROACHES. THERE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT FOR BRIEF
ISOLATED TORNADOES.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
ALL CONCERNED SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND TRACK
ADJUSTMENTS FOR IKE.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.