River Flood Advisory 3, NWS Tallahassee, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
935 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2008

.DISCUSSION...THE BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OUT AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT HAS CLEARED THE CWA TO THE SE THIS MORNING...WITH THE
COLD FRONT ITSELF NOW PUSHING THROUGH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
ANY REMAINING DENSE FOG IN THE ADVISORY AREA HAS NOW LIFTED AS
WELL...BUT AN EXTENSIVE LOW LEVEL CLOUD DECK IS LINGERING WELL OFF
TO THE N AND W BEHIND THE FRONT...AND IT MAY VERY WELL TAKE UNTIL AT
LEAST EARLY AFTERNOON TO BREAK OVER THE REGION. THEREFORE...THE
TEMPERATURE FCST MAY BE PROBLEMATIC IF THE CLOUDS HANG IN LONGER
THAN EXPECTED...SO WILL MAKE LATER ADJUSTMENTS IF NEEDED. OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS...WINDS ARE NOW SHIFTING TO THE NW OVER THE WESTERN
LEGS...AND THESE NW WINDS SHOULD REACH EASTERNMOST SECTIONS OF THE
MARINE AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. SEAS ARE ON TRACK AT 2
TO 4 FEET.

&&

.AVIATION...THE AREA OF RAIN HAS NOW EXITED OUR COUNTY WARNING AREA
AND NOW IS LOCATED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. AN AREA OF
EXTENSIVE IFR AND LOWER CIGS BLANKET A MAJOR PART OF THE SOUTHEAST
U.S. NORTH OF THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IN FLORIDA. THE COLD
FRONT APPEARS TO BE SITUATED JUST WEST OF A LINE FROM ABY TO AAF.
THE PROBLEM OF THE DAY IS WHEN WILL THE CIGS BEGIN TO BREAK AND BURN
OFF. WE ARE NOW SOMEWHAT SKEPTICAL THAT OUR AREA WILL BREAK OUT
UNTIL NEAR SUNSET. HOWEVER...VSBYS ARE GENERALLY FINE BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT AND WE ALSO EXPECT THE CIGS TO GRADUALLY RISE INTO THE
IFR AND MVFR CATEGORIES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE CLEARING
OUT THIS EVENING.

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...NONE.

GA...NONE.

FL...FIRE WX WATCH SUN AFTN ALL ZONES.

GM...NONE.

&&

GOULD/WATSON