Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 99

March 4, 200812 counties in Maryland; 24 counties in North Carolina; 88 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 4, 2008, 5:53 PM EST for 12 counties in Maryland; 24 counties in North Carolina; 88 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 4, 2008, 5:53 PM EST (22:53 UTC)
Expired
Mar 5, 2008, 3:00 AM EST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 124 counties

Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Greene County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC, Albemarle County, VA, Alleghany County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bath County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Craig County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, Nelson County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 4, 6:11 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQLunenburg, Mecklenburg79 min
Mar 4, 7:51 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Bath, Botetourt, Craig, Floyd, Franklin and 8 more54 min
Mar 4, 8:09 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGoochland, Powhatan29 min
Mar 4, 8:15 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Campbell, Franklin, Henry and 4 more60 min
Mar 4, 8:47 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAlleghany, Bath, Bedford, Botetourt, Craig, Roanoke and 4 more50 min
Mar 4, 8:57 PM ESTTornado WarningAKQNorthampton33 min
Mar 4, 9:07 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista23 min
Mar 4, 9:13 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAlbemarle, Augusta, Nelson, City of Charlottesville, City of Waynesboro47 min
Mar 4, 9:23 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQGreensville, Southampton22 min
Mar 4, 9:41 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Appomattox, Buckingham, Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax and 2 more46 min
Mar 4, 10:07 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCumberland, Lunenburg, Mecklenburg, Prince Edward38 min
Mar 4, 10:25 PM ESTTornado WarningMHXDuplin50 min
Mar 4, 10:35 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBrunswick, Lunenburg, Nottoway25 min
Mar 4, 10:43 PM ESTTornado WarningAKQGates, Hertford32 min
Mar 4, 11:00 PM ESTTornado WarningAKQIsle of Wight, City of Suffolk30 min
Mar 4, 11:01 PM ESTTornado WarningMHXLenoir44 min
Mar 4, 11:04 PM ESTTornado WarningMHXDuplin, Onslow31 min
Mar 4, 11:35 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDuplin, Greene, Lenoir85 min
Mar 4, 11:44 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXMartin, Pitt76 min
Mar 4, 11:51 PM ESTTornado WarningMHXCraven, Jones29 min
Mar 4, 11:51 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFauquier, Prince William, City of Manassas28 min
Mar 4, 11:52 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCaroline, Charles City, Essex, Hanover, Henrico, James City and 4 more23 min
Mar 5, 12:04 AM ESTTornado WarningMHXBeaufort41 min
Mar 5, 12:08 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXLoudoun25 min
Mar 5, 12:09 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDuplin, Greene, Jones, Lenoir, Onslow, Pitt81 min
Mar 5, 12:11 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQSouthampton, Surry, Sussex, City of Franklin34 min
Mar 5, 12:24 AM ESTTornado WarningAKQBertie, Gates, Hertford36 min
Mar 5, 12:29 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCalvert, Saint Mary's34 min
Mar 5, 12:35 AM ESTTornado WarningAKQBertie25 min
Mar 5, 12:36 AM ESTTornado WarningMHXMartin, Washington26 min
Mar 5, 12:40 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort, Carteret, Craven, Hyde, Pamlico80 min
Mar 5, 12:43 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's47 min
Mar 5, 12:55 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXBaltimore, Harford, City of Baltimore50 min
Mar 5, 1:03 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCamden, Chowan, Gates, Pasquotank, Perquimans42 min
Mar 5, 1:11 AM ESTTornado WarningAKQChowan19 min
Mar 5, 1:12 AM ESTTornado WarningMHXBeaufort, Pamlico33 min
Mar 5, 1:12 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQIsle of Wight, York, City of Chesapeake, City of Hampton, City of Newport News, City of Norfolk and 4 more33 min
Mar 5, 1:29 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXCarteret46 min
Mar 5, 1:43 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCamden, Currituck, Pasquotank62 min
Mar 5, 1:58 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDare, Hyde77 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2008-03-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2008-03-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 189 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1040 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
189 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 042254
SEL9  
SPC WW 042254
DCZ000-MDZ000-NCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-050800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 99
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
550 PM EST TUE MAR 4 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
       MARYLAND
       EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       EASTERN AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 550
PM UNTIL 300 AM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
NEW BERN NORTH CAROLINA TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF WASHINGTON
DISTRICT OF COLUM.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 96...WW 97...WW 98...

DISCUSSION...VERY INTENSE VERTICAL MOTION FIELDS AND LOW/DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL OVERSPREAD THIS REGION THROUGH TONIGHT AS STRONG UPPER
SYSTEM BEGINS TO LIFT NEWD ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS.  ALTHOUGH
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN MEAGER...MOISTENING LOW LEVELS CONCURRENT
WITH 70+ KT SLY LLJ WILL ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOW LEVEL
ROTATION AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES.  ACTIVITY MAY OCCUR IN TWO
BANDS...ONE NOW MOVING INTO CENTRAL NC/VA AND ANOTHER SPREADING
ENEWD ALONG THE MAIN COLD FRONT LATER TONIGHT.  SEVERE/TORNADO
THREAT MAY PERSIST WELL INTO THE NIGHT UNTIL THE LATER BAND MOVES
OFFSHORE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.


...EVANS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 4, 6:33 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Chowan and 34 more87 min
Mar 4, 11:17 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuncombe, Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Henderson and 6 more118 min
Mar 4, 12:04 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBuncombe, Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Henderson and 5 more8 hr
Mar 4, 2:03 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Cabarrus, Cleveland, Gaston, Lincoln, Mecklenburg and 2 more117 min
Mar 4, 2:30 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Jackson, Macon and 2 more90 min
Mar 4, 4:31 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery and 53 more8 hr
Mar 4, 5:48 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Robeson57 min
Mar 4, 6:27 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson7 hr
Mar 4, 2:27 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBland, Buchanan, Carroll, Dickenson, Giles, Grayson and 12 more6 hr
Mar 4, 4:11 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Dickenson, Wise, City of Norton94 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2008Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2008Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.