Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 935

November 15, 200839 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 15, 2008, 1:25 PM EST for 39 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 15, 2008, 1:25 PM EST (18:25 UTC)
Expired
Nov 15, 2008, 8:00 PM EST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2008-11-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1463 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2008-11-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 163 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1463 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
685 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
163 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.5
Supercell composite
7.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 151827
SEL5  
SPC WW 151827
NCZ000-CWZ000-160100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 935
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
125 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       MUCH OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 125 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
GOLDSBORO NORTH CAROLINA TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 934...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING
EWD ACROSS CENTRAL NC WHERE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE.  WITH
THE APPROACH OF THE VERY STRONG UPPER TROUGH FROM THE WEST AND
IMPRESSIVE DEEP LAYER SHEAR...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WILL INCREASE FROM W TO E ACROSS THE WATCH THIS
AFTERNOON.  PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE  DAMAGING WINDS BUT ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH SUPERCELLS
THAT DEVELOP.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 10:25 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson8 hr
Nov 14, 11:53 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 33 more2 hr
Nov 15, 12:24 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chatham, Chowan and 41 more9 hr
Nov 15, 3:10 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden and 40 more95 min
Nov 15, 4:10 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 26 more65 min
Nov 15, 7:09 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 14 more66 min
Nov 15, 11:07 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Chowan, Edgecombe, Franklin, Gates, Granville and 12 more53 min
Nov 15, 12:29 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Craven and 27 more61 min
Nov 15, 6:15 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 13 more2 hr
Nov 15, 12:22 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAccomack, Amelia, Arlington, Brunswick, Caroline, Charles City and 65 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.