Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2008
Tornado Watch 935
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 15, 2008, 1:25 PM EST for 39 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 15, 2008, 1:25 PM EST (18:25 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 15, 2008, 8:00 PM EST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 39 counties
Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1463 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -18 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 685 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 59 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 163 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 193 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.5
- Supercell composite
- 7.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 151827
SEL5
SPC WW 151827
NCZ000-CWZ000-160100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 935
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
125 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 125 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
GOLDSBORO NORTH CAROLINA TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 934...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING
EWD ACROSS CENTRAL NC WHERE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE. WITH
THE APPROACH OF THE VERY STRONG UPPER TROUGH FROM THE WEST AND
IMPRESSIVE DEEP LAYER SHEAR...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WILL INCREASE FROM W TO E ACROSS THE WATCH THIS
AFTERNOON. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS BUT ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH SUPERCELLS
THAT DEVELOP.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 10:25 PM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson | 8 hr |
| Nov 14, 11:53 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 33 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 15, 12:24 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Beaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chatham, Chowan and 41 more | 9 hr |
| Nov 15, 3:10 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden and 40 more | 95 min |
| Nov 15, 4:10 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 26 more | 65 min |
| Nov 15, 7:09 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 14 more | 66 min |
| Nov 15, 11:07 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bertie, Chowan, Edgecombe, Franklin, Gates, Granville and 12 more | 53 min |
| Nov 15, 12:29 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Craven and 27 more | 61 min |
| Nov 15, 6:15 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 13 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 15, 12:22 PM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Accomack, Amelia, Arlington, Brunswick, Caroline, Charles City and 65 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.