Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 933

November 15, 200847 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 15, 2008, 12:24 AM EST for 47 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 15, 2008, 12:24 AM EST (05:24 UTC)
Expired
Nov 15, 2008, 9:03 AM EST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 47 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 15, 1:45 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Sampson45 min
Nov 15, 2:28 AM ESTTornado WarningRAHJohnston, Sampson47 min
Nov 15, 3:08 AM ESTTornado WarningRAHJohnston, Wayne, Wilson52 min
Nov 15, 3:34 AM ESTTornado WarningRAHEdgecombe, Nash41 min
Nov 15, 4:04 AM ESTTornado WarningRAHHalifax41 min
Nov 15, 4:28 AM ESTTornado WarningAKQBertie, Hertford, Northampton30 min
Nov 15, 4:37 AM ESTTornado WarningAKQBertie, Hertford38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 130 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2008-11-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1161 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2008-11-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 122 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1161 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
517 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
5.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 150527
SEL3  
SPC WW 150527
NCZ000-CWZ000-151300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 933
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1225 AM UNTIL 800 AM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST OF JACKSONVILLE
NORTH CAROLINA TO 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF ELIZABETH CITY NORTH
CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 931...WW 932...

DISCUSSION...BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS NOW OVER WRN PARTS OF THE SC CSTL
PLNS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NEWD...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS POSSIBLY
FORMING ON NRN SIDE OF CONVECTIVE SYSTEM AS IT INTERACTS WITH SW-NE
WARM FRONT OVER THE NC PIEDMONT.  FORCING FOR ASCENT...DEEP
SHEAR...AND LOW LVL SHEAR EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS WW LATER THIS
MORNING AS FL PANHANDLE UPR VORT ACCELERATES NEWD.  COUPLED WITH
INFLUX OF WRN ATLANTIC BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE...SETUP COULD YIELD
SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS/ADDITIONAL BROKEN LINE SEGMENTS THAT POSE A
THREAT FOR TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO DMGG WIND.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 10:25 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson8 hr
Nov 14, 11:53 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 33 more2 hr
Nov 15, 3:10 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden and 40 more95 min
Nov 15, 4:10 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 26 more65 min
Nov 15, 7:09 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 14 more66 min
Nov 15, 11:07 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Chowan, Edgecombe, Franklin, Gates, Granville and 12 more53 min
Nov 15, 12:29 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Craven and 27 more61 min
Nov 15, 1:25 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 33 more7 hr
Nov 15, 6:15 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 13 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.