Alert archive / Michigan / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 6

January 7, 200811 counties in Indiana; 18 counties in Michigan; 13 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 7, 2008, 9:22 PM EST for 11 counties in Indiana; 18 counties in Michigan; 13 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 7, 2008, 9:22 PM EST (02:22 UTC)
Expired
Jan 7, 2008, 11:56 PM EST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 42 counties

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Grant County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Bay County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Huron County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Midland County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Sanilac County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Tuscola County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Henry County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH, Wood County, OH

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 7, 9:22 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, Marshall, Miami, Wabash38 min
Jan 7, 9:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXHillsdale45 min
Jan 7, 9:56 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLivingston, Washtenaw64 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2008-01-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 179 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2008-01-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 333 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
179 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
633 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
333 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
353 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

513 
WWUS20 KWNS 080222
SEL6  
SPC WW 080222
INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-LHZ000-080700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 6
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
920 PM EST MON JAN 7 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHEAST INDIANA
       EASTERN LOWER MICHIGAN
       NORTHWEST OHIO
       LAKE ERIE
       LAKE HURON

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 920 PM UNTIL
200 AM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH OF FORT WAYNE
INDIANA TO 10 MILES NORTH OF BAD AXE MICHIGAN.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...WW 2...WW 3...WW
4...WW 5...

DISCUSSION...STRONG DEEP UNIDIRECTIONAL WSW FLOW DEPICTED IN VWP
DATA OVER SRN MI AND NRN IL SUGGEST LEWPY NRN IND/SRN MI SQUALL LINE
SHOULD CONTINUE ENE TOWARD DTX/TOL.  WHILE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WILL
ENCOUNTER GRADUALLY DECREASING SFC-BASED INSTABILITY...STRENGTH OF
WIND FIELD AND EXISTING LEWP STRUCTURES SUGGEST A CONTINUED THREAT
FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25050.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 7, 7:01 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCCass, Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange, LaPorte and 7 more5 hr
Jan 7, 8:03 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Benton, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 29 more117 min
Jan 8, 1:22 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Daviess, Dubois, Floyd, Gibson and 16 more83 min
Jan 8, 2:11 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Gibson, Perry, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh and 1 more2 hr
Jan 8, 2:26 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCClark, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Gibson, Harrison and 10 more8 hr
Jan 8, 5:03 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison, Perry, Spencer, Warrick117 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Michigan, 2008Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2008Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.