Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 121

March 15, 200825 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 15, 2008, 6:59 PM EDT for 25 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 15, 2008, 6:59 PM EDT (22:59 UTC)
Expired
Mar 15, 2008, 11:25 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 25 counties

Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Gates County, NC, Greene County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wilson County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 15, 7:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDuplin, Lenoir32 min
Mar 15, 7:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXOnslow39 min
Mar 15, 8:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXCraven, Jones31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2008-03-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2008-03-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 50 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
992 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 152302
SEL1  
SPC WW 152302
NCZ000-CWZ000-160500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 121
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF ELIZABETH CITY
NORTH CAROLINA TO 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW BERN NORTH CAROLINA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 119...WW 120...

DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINES/SMALL CLUSTERS OF EMBEDDED SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS NOW OVER ERN PARTS OF THE NC PIEDMONT AND
SANDHILLS MAY MOVE/DEVELOP ENE ACROSS THE ERN NC CSTL PLN LATER THIS
EVENING AS 90+ KT TN MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX CONTINUES EWD.  WHILE
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN WEAK...INTENSE SHEAR...INCREASING UVV IN
EXIT REGION OF JET STREAK...AND PRESENCE OF EXISTING STORMS SUGGEST
AN ENE SPREAD OF SVR WIND/ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 15, 3:57 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Clay93 min
Mar 15, 11:30 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender and 4 more60 min
Mar 15, 2:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Craven, Cumberland and 16 more84 min
Mar 15, 4:36 PM EDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAnson, Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Cumberland, Harnett and 14 more8 hr
Mar 15, 6:35 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 17 more25 min
Mar 15, 7:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnson, Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Cumberland, Duplin and 15 more64 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.