Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 709

July 20, 20087 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 20, 2008, 2:11 PM EDT for 7 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2008, 2:11 PM EDT (18:11 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2008, 10:11 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 48 counties

Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Cheshire County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Washington County, NY, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Pike County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Providence County, RI, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

35 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 2:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Seneca, Yates54 min
Jul 20, 3:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOneida55 min
Jul 20, 3:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXEssex, Middlesex, Norfolk, Suffolk24 min
Jul 20, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Onondaga25 min
Jul 20, 3:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXMiddlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk13 min
Jul 20, 3:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Chenango, Cortland, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga and 2 more38 min
Jul 20, 3:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXNorfolk, Plymouth22 min
Jul 20, 3:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Oneida61 min
Jul 20, 4:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region13 min
Jul 20, 4:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Chenango, Cortland, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga and 3 more50 min
Jul 20, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region45 min
Jul 20, 4:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Herkimer, Montgomery54 min
Jul 20, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXBristol, Norfolk, Plymouth34 min
Jul 20, 4:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCheshire, Hillsborough30 min
Jul 20, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHerkimer, Montgomery55 min
Jul 20, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYSaratoga39 min
Jul 20, 4:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Cortland, Madison, Oneida, Otsego66 min
Jul 20, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXMiddlesex, Worcester48 min
Jul 20, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXHillsborough31 min
Jul 20, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Herkimer, Montgomery24 min
Jul 20, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXMiddlesex, Worcester20 min
Jul 20, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady, Washington50 min
Jul 20, 5:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Otsego64 min
Jul 20, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Montgomery, Schenectady, Schoharie30 min
Jul 20, 6:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Greene, Schoharie58 min
Jul 20, 6:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWashington55 min
Jul 20, 6:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBennington, Windham44 min
Jul 20, 7:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCheshire46 min
Jul 20, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampshire, Worcester21 min
Jul 20, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWindham31 min
Jul 20, 7:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCheshire, Hillsborough40 min
Jul 20, 8:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWindham46 min
Jul 20, 8:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester39 min
Jul 20, 8:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire45 min
Jul 20, 8:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex, Worcester47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2008-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 237 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2008-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
237 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-70 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
906 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 7:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
Jul 20, 12:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkshire, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester2 hr
Jul 20, 4:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkshire, Franklin, Hampshire, Middlesex, Worcester2 hr
Jul 20, 12:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Chemung, Erie, Genesee and 7 more7 hr
Jul 20, 11:29 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford and 8 more61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2008Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Massachusetts, 2008Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2008Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.