Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2008

Mesoscale Discussion 2421

December 9, 200831 counties in Arkansas; 17 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Dec 9, 2008, 1:20 AM CST for 31 counties in Arkansas; 17 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 25 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 9, 2008, 1:20 AM CST (07:20 UTC)
Expired
Dec 9, 2008, 1:45 AM CST
In force
25 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 55 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, White County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2008-12-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2008-12-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 648 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
809 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
648 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
738 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 090721
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090720 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-090745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2421
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0120 AM CST TUE DEC 09 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK AND WRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 943...

VALID 090720Z - 090745Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 943
CONTINUES.

THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS PERSISTS ACROSS NRN PART OF 943...WITH
ATTENDANT FAST MOVING BOW.  AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY EXTEND N
OF TORNADO WATCH 942 INTO SWRN PORTION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
943 DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

FAST MOVING LINE SEGMENT/BOW LOCATED OVER FAR SWRN MO/NWRN AR IS
TRACKING ENEWD AT 50+ KT.  ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINS WEAK
IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF THIS BOW...STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING
ATTENDANT TO VIGOROUS OK SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MAINTAIN LINEAR
STRUCTURE...AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM...WITH THREAT FOR DAMAGING
WINDS REMAINING IMMINENT.

REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED A STORM LOCATED OVER NRN PUSHMATAHA/SERN
LATIMER/SRN LE FLORE COUNTIES...THAT HAD PRODUCED DAMAGE JUST AFTER
05Z IN GRAYSON COUNTY TX...CONTINUED TO SHOW SOME UPDRAFT ROTATION. 
ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS WEAKER /MUCAPE 500-1000 J/KG/ OVER EAST
CENTRAL OK TO WRN AR...MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR
COMBINED WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR /40 KT/ AND EFFECTIVE SRH AROUND
250 M2/S2 SUGGEST A NON-ZERO POTENTIAL FOR STORMS MOVING NEWD INTO
ERN OK/WRN AR TO PRODUCE AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

..PETERS.. 12/09/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...

LAT...LON   34389341 34309416 34599504 34779552 35399533 35999509
            36749467 37129431 37609261 37739107 36139108 35069150
            34609297 34389341

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 8, 11:31 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCLittle River, Miller7 hr
Dec 9, 12:10 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Madison, Marion, Newton and 1 more35 min
Dec 9, 12:22 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 24 more4 hr
Dec 9, 2:17 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLittle River, Miller58 min
Dec 9, 3:41 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 36 more64 min
Dec 9, 4:11 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 25 more7 hr
Dec 9, 7:41 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 21 more64 min
Dec 9, 9:32 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Union6 hr
Dec 9, 10:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 10 more93 min
Dec 9, 2:18 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot87 min
Dec 8, 7:10 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Carter, Love, Marshall2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2008Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2008Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2008Every mesoscale discussion in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.