Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 362, NWS Springfield, MO

June 15, 2008Morgan County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2008, 2:43 PM CDT for Morgan County, Missouri. It was in force for 62 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2008, 2:43 PM CDT (19:43 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2008, 3:45 PM CDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Morgan County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 15, 3:34 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 50	Gravois Mills, MO
Jun 15, 3:35 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	1 Ne Laurie, MO	TREE DOWN NEAR HIGHWAY O NEAR INDIAN ROCK GOLF COURSE. TIME APPROXIMATE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 3 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 20 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 15, 1:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 510 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -312 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1578 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 29 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KSGF 151944
SVRSGF
MOC141-152045-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0362.080615T1943Z-080615T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
243 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT.

* AT 239 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF STOVER...OR 13 MILES
  SOUTH OF SEDALIA...MOVING EAST AT 32 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF
  PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF    
  70 MPH. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WINDS TO 70          
  MPH...CAUSING DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER POLES IN COLE CAMP.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  STOVER BY 300 PM CDT.
  VERSAILLES BY 315 PM CDT.

THE TOWN OF BARNETT IS ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3868 9284 3860 9285 3843 9265 3835 9265
      3834 9270 3822 9270 3822 9275 3819 9277
      3819 9296 3823 9293 3823 9296 3818 9301
      3820 9302 3822 9300 3825 9302 3827 9308
      3870 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 277DEG 28KT 3851 9314

$$

WISE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 1:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 1:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
133 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

.DISCUSSION...

LARGE STORM COMPLEX OVER NORTHERN MISSOURI EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
CONTINUES TO BARREL SOUTHWARD TOWARD OUR FORECAST AREA. WE ARE
STARTING TO SEE SOME STORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE MAIN OUTFLOW JUST
NORTH OF ST. CLAIR COUNTY. AS EXPECTED WE HAVE DESTABILIZED
GREATLY WITH SURFACE BASED CAPES ALREADY EXCEEDING 3000 J/KG.
LATEST SOUNDING SHOWS THAT MOISTURE DEPTH HAS INCREASED OVER THE
AREA ALSO. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS ALREADY BEEN POSTED
JUST NORTH OF OUR AREA AND EXPECT AN EXTENSION SOUTHWARD SOON.

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...

THE MAIN SHOW FOR THE SHORT TERM IS ALREADY ONGOING SO FOCUSED ON
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TONIGHT AND ATTEMPTED TO TIME THE HIGHER
POPS/QPF WITH THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS AFTERNOONS MCS. PLAN TO
LEAVE THE FLOOD WATCH GOING AS IS...BUT COULD SEE SOME MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS WITH TIMING.

AS FAR AS ENDING THE PRECIP CHANCES...ALL MODEL GUIDANCE HAS
SLOWED SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION OF QPF AS MAIN COLD FRONT LAGS ABOUT
6-12 HOURS BEHIND PREVIOUS FORECAST. OTHERWISE...DID NOT MAKE MANY
CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST THROUGH MIDWEEK AS SURFACE HIGH BUILDS
SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. TEMPERATURES REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE AND KEPT
MID TO UPPER 50S FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS MOST AREAS.

TERRY
&&

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LARGE SCALE FEATURES IN THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...THERE ARE SOME SMALL DETAILS THAT THEY
DEFFER ON BUT OVERALL THEY AGREE. THEREFORE...HAVE GENERALLY
FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND GFS MODELS FOR THE LONG TERM
PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE WESTERN US WITH AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EAST COAST DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK. THIS WILL LEAVE THE AREA IN NORTHWEST FLOW...WITH A
FEW WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDING THE NORTHWEST FLOW INTO
THE AREA. IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT THE LONG TERM PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST WILL BE A COMPLETE WASHOUT...BUT THERE WILL BE SEVERAL CHANCES
FOR OFF AND ON AGAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. HAVE LEFT
SLIGHT POPS IN THE FORECAST FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT...AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES APPROACH THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL OVER THE LATTER HALF
OF THE WEEK...THE AREA REMAINS IN NORTHWEST FLOW.

WISE

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...HAVE ATTEMPTED TO TIME THE ARRIVAL OF STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE COMPLEX CURRENTLY AROUND KANSAS
CITY...BUT ALSO NEED TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE VERY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS OVER THE AIRPORTS THIS AFTERNOON. SO HAVE STARTED THE
FORECAST WITH VICINITY THUNDER AND THEN BROUGHT IN TEMPO GROUPS
FOR THE MAIN STORM COMPLEX. THEREAFTER WILL CARRY SOME
PREDOMINANT SHOWERS AND VICINITY THUNDER WITH PRECIPITATION
EXTENDING WELL BEHIND THE LEADING EDGE.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE PRETTY CHAOTIC WITHIN PRECIPITATION AREA
BUT EXPECTED MAINLY A SOUTHEAST FLOW UNTIL MAIN FRONT PUSHES IN
EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

TERRY
&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
     MORNING FOR MOZ066-067-077>079-088>090-093>095-101>104.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
     MORNING FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 1:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-161800-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
100 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OVER 70
  MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY
  RAINFALL LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44 FROM 3 PM TO
  MIDNIGHT...AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 FROM 6 PM TO MIDNIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

  A LARGE COMPLEX OF SEVERE STORMS OVER NORTHERN MISSOURI EARLY
  THIS AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD QUICKLY SOUTHWARD INTO THE
  MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING. VERY STRONG INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE STORM COMPLEX WILL
  ALLOW STORMS TO MAINTAIN THEIR STRENGTH OR INTENSIFY AS THE
  APPROACH THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR.

  THE GREATEST THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE WIND GUSTS OVER 70
  MPH. WIND SPEEDS THIS HIGH OR HIGHER HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED
  OVER NORTHERN MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

  IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WIND GUSTS...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF
  BALLS AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY
  RAINFALL WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW
  LYING AREAS THAT REMAIN SATURATED FROM HEAVY RAINFALL RECEIVED
  ON FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING OVER SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI.

  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH
  SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44
 THIS AFTERNOON AND OVER THE REST OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS EARLY
 THIS EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

TERRY

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 15, 1:49 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
149 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0146 PM     HAIL             3 S OSCEOLA             38.00N  93.70W
06/15/2008  E0.88 INCH       ST. CLAIR          MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

HATCH

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 2:03 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
203 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

MOZ055-067-068-152000-
HICKORY MO-ST. CLAIR MO-BENTON MO-
203 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR EASTERN ST. CLAIR...HICKORY AND
SOUTHERN BENTON COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM CDT...

AT 200 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WEAUBLEAU...OR 14 MILES WEST OF HERMITAGE...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WHEATLAND BY 225 PM CDT.
  HERMITAGE BY 235 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF ELKTON...NEMO...PRESTON AND CROSS TIMBERS ARE IN THE
PATH OF THIS STORM.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

WISE

Local storm report, Jun 15, 2:06 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
206 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     HAIL             OSCEOLA                 38.05N  93.70W
06/15/2008  E0.25 INCH       ST. CLAIR          MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

HATCH

Local storm report, Jun 15, 2:40 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
240 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0239 PM     TSTM WND GST     COLE CAMP               38.46N  93.20W
06/15/2008  E60 MPH          BENTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN.

&&

HATCH

Local storm report, Jun 15, 2:42 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
242 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0242 PM     HAIL             LINCOLN                 38.39N  93.33W
06/15/2008  E0.75 INCH       BENTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

HATCH

Local storm report, Jun 15, 2:43 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
243 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0242 PM     TSTM WND GST     COLE CAMP               38.46N  93.20W
06/15/2008  E70 MPH          BENTON             MO   STORM CHASER

&&

HATCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 15, 2:56 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	SGF	Barry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 23 more	34 hr
Jun 15, 10:00 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	SGF	Barton, Jasper, Lawrence	10 hr
Jun 15, 1:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	St. Clair	65 min
Jun 15, 1:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton	67 min
Jun 15, 2:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton, Hickory	58 min
Jun 15, 2:24 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Benton	5 hr
Jun 15, 2:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Hickory, St. Clair	59 min
Jun 15, 2:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton	41 min
Jun 15, 3:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cedar, St. Clair	48 min
Jun 15, 3:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden	56 min
Jun 15, 3:11 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Hickory, St. Clair	42 min
Jun 15, 3:12 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Camden, Morgan	32 min
Jun 15, 3:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Hickory	59 min
Jun 15, 3:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Miller, Morgan	44 min
Jun 15, 3:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Cedar, Dade	33 min
Jun 15, 3:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Dallas, Laclede, Polk	58 min
Jun 15, 3:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barton, Vernon	23 min
Jun 15, 4:08 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Camden, Dallas, Hickory	4 hr
Jun 15, 4:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dallas, Greene, Laclede, Polk, Webster, Wright	59 min
Jun 15, 4:37 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Camden, Dallas, Laclede, Miller, Polk, Webster and 1 more	6 hr
Jun 15, 4:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian, Greene, Stone	58 min
Jun 15, 4:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian, Douglas, Greene, Webster, Wright	78 min
Jun 15, 4:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Laclede, Pulaski, Texas, Wright	48 min
Jun 15, 5:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent, Phelps	41 min
Jun 15, 5:03 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Christian, Douglas, Greene, Webster, Wright	4 hr
Jun 15, 5:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian	35 min
Jun 15, 5:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Texas, Wright	33 min
Jun 15, 6:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Stone	61 min
Jun 15, 6:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Newton	57 min
Jun 15, 6:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Ozark, Taney	20 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.