Flash Flood Warning 77, NWS Raleigh, NC

427 
WGUS72 KRAH 061456
FFSRAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1056 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

NCC065-083-127-191-195-061502-
/O.EXP.KRAH.FF.W.0077.000000T0000Z-080906T1445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WAYNE NC-WILSON NC-EDGECOMBE NC-NASH NC-HALIFAX NC-
1056 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR HALIFAX...NASH...
EDGECOMBE...WILSON AND WAYNE COUNTIES...

HEAVY RAINS HAVE MOSTLY EXITED NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. RAIN IS 
EXPECTED TO END IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SOME STANDING WATER WILL 
CONTINUE ON SOME ROADS INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. MOTORISTS AND 
RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT TO THIS DANGER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF 
THE MORNING. 


LAT...LON 3600 7739 3591 7734 3582 7735 3579 7748
      3557 7782 3516 7784 3518 7816 3528 7831
      3535 7816 3558 7807 3560 7813 3582 7825
      3628 7795 3650 7792 3648 7766 3640 7755
      3632 7757 3632 7745 3621 7738 3610 7723

$$

14

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
425 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM HANNA HAS MOVED ONSHORE NEAR NORTH
MYRTLE BEACH AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
COASTAL PLAIN OF NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 335 AM EDT SATURDAY...

HANNA MAKING LANDFALL NEAR NORTH MYRTLE BEACH AND WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN OF NORTH CAROLINA. WHILE WIND
SPEEDS SO FAR HAVE NOT REACHED HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA...HAVE
RECEIVED REPORTS OF SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND REPORTS OF TREES
DOWN IN PLACES. WITH HANNA STILL TO OUR SOUTH AND ITS RELATIVELY
FAST NORTHWARD TRANSLATION....RELUCTANT TO CANCEL THE HIGH WIND
WARNING AT THIS TIME. PREFER TO LEAVE WIND ADVISORY/HIGH WIND
WARNINGS AS IS UNTIL CENTER OF HANNA HAS PROGRESSED FARTHER NWD
AND WINDS IN OUR REGION HAVE BACKED TO A MORE W-NW FLOW.

NEXT CONCERN THROUGH AT LEAST 12Z (AND PROBABLY FOR A FEW HOURS
BEYOND) WILL BE HEAVY RAIN. BAND OF HEAVY RAIN CURRENTLY ALONG THE
HIGHWAY 1 CORRIDOR PRODUCING RAINFALL RATES OF 1.5 INCHES PER
HOUR. MAX UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER REGION AT THIS TIME AND THIS
FEATURE PROGGED TO LIFT NWD BY 12Z. BULK SHEAR IN THE 850-300MB OF
30-40KTS STILL GENERALLY ALIGNED ALONG THE TRACK...FAVORING A HEAVY
RAIN AXIS NEAR OR TO THE LEFT OF THE TRACK. THUS...APPEARS HEAVY
RAIN AXIS OVER THE PIEDMONT INTO SANDHILLS AND WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH DAYBREAK THEN LIFT NWD. EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 2-4
INCHES ON TOP OF THE 1 TO 3 INCHES THAT HAS LIKELY ALREADY FALLEN.
THIS WILL LEAD TO FLOODING OF NUMEROUS CREEKS AND STREAMS. LITTLE
CHANGE REQUIRED TO NEAR TERM FORECAST.

FINALLY...WILL LIKELY SEE AN ENHANCED TORNADO THREAT OVER OUR FAR
SE-EASTERN COUNTIES NEXT FEW HOURS AS HANNA LIFTS NWD. 0-1KM STORM
RELATIVE HELICITY HAS INCREASED DRAMATICALLY AND IS IN EXCESS OF
400 M2/S2. HOWEVER LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY LACKING WITH MUCAPE LESS
THAN 500 J/KG. THUS ONLY ISOLATED WEAK TORNADOES EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

AS HANNA CIRCULATION MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN AT MID
DAY AND THEN INTO SE VA AFTER MID AFTERNOON...W-NW ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION WILL ADVECT DRIER AIR INTO
REGION. EXPECT RAIN TO DIMINISH SW TO NE THIS MORNING WITH CLOUDS
DEPARTING LATER IN THE DAY. LITTLE CHANGE TO TEMPS FROM EARLIER
FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 350 AM SATURDAY...

WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AND CLOUDS SLOWLY DEPART THIS EVENING. AIR MASS
DRIES OUT ENOUGH SUNDAY OVER MAJORITY OF FORECAST AREA TO EXCLUDE
MENTION OF POPS. EXCEPTION WILL BE THE FAR S-SE WHERE A LINGERING
SURFACE TROUGH AND RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED
CONVECTION. THICKNESSES SUPPORT MAX TEMPS ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.

ON MONDAY...MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS ENTERS REGION WITH INCREASING LOW
LEVEL INSTABILITY (-3 TO -4 BY AFTERNOON) ALONG WITH  MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AROUND 6 DEG C/KM. WILL MENTION SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR
NOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 420 AM SATURDAY...

HAVE MADE A FEW CHANGES TO THE FORECAST IN THIS PERIOD. BOTH ECMWF
AND GFS SLOWLY DRAG SURFACE BOUNDARY THROUGH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY THEN STALL BOUNDARY NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF AREA.
MEANWHILE DRY AIR RIDGE NOSES SWD FROM PARENT HIGH OVER NEW ENGLAND.
PARENT HIGH RATHER WEAK (1027MB) BUT PATTERN SIGNALS POTENTIAL FOR
CAD EVENT. 850MB FLOW REMAIN S-SE THROUGH EVENT WHICH SHOULD RESULT
IN OVERCAST SKIES AND POTENTIAL FOR SOME RAIN. IF MODEL GUIDANCE IN
LATER RUNS REMAIN CONSISTENT...WILL NEED TO INCREASE POPS. HAVE
LOWERED TEMPS A FEW DEGREES FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST BUT IF CAD EVENT
DOES MATERIALIZE...MAX TEMPS WED AND THU MAY END UP BEING 5-7
DEGREES COOLER THAN FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 200 AM SATURDAY...

HANNA IS VERY CLOSE TO MAKING LANDFALL NEAR THE MYRTLE BEACH SC.
HANNA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK QUICKLY NORTH/NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
COASTAL PLAIN THROUGH 15Z. WIDESPREAD LIFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MID TO LATE MORNING...WITH VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS
RESTRICTED TO IFR IN THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS. HIGH WINDS RANGING FROM
WIND GUSTS AS STRONG AS 40KTS AT FAY AND RWI TO 25 KNOTS AT GSO AND
INT WILL BE OF CONCERN AS WELL.

CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY IMPROVE TO VFR FROM SOUTH TO NORTH BY
MIDDAY...AS HANNA QUICKLY LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA.

MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS FORECAST FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT WITH EXCEPTION OF EARLY MORNING FOG RISK.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR NCZ042-077-078-085-
086-088-089.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ007>011-
021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR NCZ074>076-083-084.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ010-011-
026>028-041-043.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ007>009-024-
025-040.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BLAES
NEAR TERM...WSS
SHORT TERM...WSS
LONG TERM...WSS
AVIATION...BADGETT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
349 PM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

NCZ021>023-038-039-073-062000-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-STANLY-
349 PM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

FORMAL SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT.
SPOTTERS SHOULD STAY TUNED AND REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
INCLUDING FLOODING.

NCZ074>076-083-084-062000-
MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
349 PM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EDT
SATURDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

FORMAL SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT.
SPOTTERS SHOULD STAY TUNED AND REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
INCLUDING FLOODING.

NCZ007>009-024-025-040-062000-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-CHATHAM-
349 PM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EDT
SATURDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

FORMAL SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT.
SPOTTERS SHOULD STAY TUNED AND REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
INCLUDING FLOODING.

NCZ042-077-078-085-086-088-089-062000-
JOHNSTON-HARNETT-WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
349 PM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EDT
SATURDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

FORMAL SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT.
SPOTTERS SHOULD STAY TUNED AND REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
INCLUDING FLOODING.

NCZ010-011-026>028-041-043-062000-
WARREN-HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-WILSON-
349 PM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EDT
SATURDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING AND
POSSIBLY INTO EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

FORMAL SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT.
SPOTTERS SHOULD STAY TUNED AND REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
INCLUDING FLOODING.

DJF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1213 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

NCZ010-011-026>028-041>043-075>078-084>086-088-089-060630-
CUMBERLAND-EDGECOMBE-FRANKLIN-HALIFAX-HARNETT-HOKE-JOHNSTON-LEE-
MOORE-NASH-RICHMOND-SAMPSON-SCOTLAND-WAKE-WARREN-WAYNE-WILSON-
1213 AM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

...BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE COASTAL
PLAIN... SANDHILLS... AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN PIEDMONT...

BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN WERE OVERSPREADING THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHEAST
AS OF 1213 AM. THE LEADING BAND OF HEAVY RAIN EXTENDED FROM NEAR
WADESBORO AND SOUTHERN PINES TO NEAR DURHAM AND HENDERSON... MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 40 MPH. RAINFALL RATES OF NEARLY 1.5 TO 2.0 INCHES PER
HOUR WERE OCCURRING WITH THIS BAND. THE LEADING BAND OF HEAVY RAIN
WILL REACH NEAR ALBEMARLE... TROY... SEAGROVE... BURLINGTON AND
ROXBORO BETWEEN 100 AM AND 130 AM.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN BANDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION AFTER THIS
INITIAL RAIN BAND... WITH RAINFALL RATES IN THE 2 TO 3 INCH PER HOUR
RANGE. THIS WILL LIKELY PROMPT FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED OR IF
FLOODING IS OBSERVED.

BADGETT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
257 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0234 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 ESE FAYETTEVILLE      35.05N 78.86W
09/06/2008                   CUMBERLAND         NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NORTH KING STREET AND GROVE STREET IN DOWNTOWN
            FAYETTEVILLE IS IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

CBL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
303 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SW RALEIGH            35.79N 78.68W
09/06/2008                   WAKE               NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SULLIVAN DR BETWEEN DAN ALLEN AND VARSITY DR ON THE NC
            STATE CAMPUS HAS BEEN CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0255 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 SW RALEIGH            35.77N 78.69W
09/06/2008                   WAKE               NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            AVENT FERRY RD NEAR TRAILWOOD DR IS BEING CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING

&&

JFB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
402 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 AM     FLASH FLOOD      RAEFORD                 34.98N 79.22W
09/06/2008                   HOKE               NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORT FLOODING IN THE RAEFORD GREEN
            APARTMENTS. WATER IS UP TO 3 FEET DEEP IN SEVERAL
            BUILDINGS.

&&

JBLAES