Severe Thunderstorm Warning 732, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
328 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

.DISCUSSION...
YET ANOTHER IN A SEEMINGLY ENDLESS SERIES OF STORM COMPLEXES HAS
DEVELOPED OVER SOUTHERN KANSAS AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS
AFTERNOON. SATELLITE INDICATIONS SUGGEST THAT THE NEXT MCS IS IN
ITS EARLY DEVELOPMENT STAGES OVER COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO. WE
EXPECT THE FIRST MCS TO BRING RAIN TO MUCH OF OUR FORECAST AREA...
WITH THE PROBABLE EXCEPTION OF OUR FAR SOUTHWEST COUNTIES IN
TEXAS... AND A FEW OF THE ASSOCIATED STORMS MAY BE SEVERE. THE
SECOND MCS IS LIKELY TO MOVE INTO OKLAHOMA AND... LATER... NORTH
TEXAS... LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. BETWEEN THE TWO
EVENTS... RATHER HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE LIKELY FOR FAVORED
LOCATIONS. SINCE IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WITH THE
FIRST MCS WILL BE FARTHER NORTHEAST THAN THAT OF THE SECOND...
WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HYDROLOGICAL WATCHES FOR NOW.

THE UPPER FLOW DOES NOT REALLY CHANGE ALL THAT MUCH OVER THE NEXT
WEEK... ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE SUBTLE SHIFTS IN FAVORED AREAS AND
TIMES OF MCS ACTIVITY. IN GENERAL... HAVE LEFT IT UP TO THE
STANDARD GFS INITIALIZATION TO HIGHLIGHT THE RAIN PATTERNS OF THE
NEXT WEEK... AFTER TONIGHT.

THE ZONE FORECAST WILL INCLUDE A PRE-FIRST PERIOD TO DEAL WITH THE
DETAILS OF THE CURRENT SITUATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  67  88  67  89 /  70  20  10   0
HOBART OK         67  92  67  91 /  70  20  20  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  68  90  69  92 /  70  20  10  10
GAGE OK           62  90  60  89 /  70  20  30  10
PONCA CITY OK     66  87  64  88 /  60  20  10   0
DURANT OK         69  86  68  87 /  70  40  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

26/23

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
153 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

OKZ005-191915-
WOODS OK-
153 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR WOODS COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALVA AT 153 PM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

PEOPLE IN WOODS COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF ALVA...SHOULD MONITOR
THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT
FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

..SPEG.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
158 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

OKZ006-191915-
ALFALFA OK-
158 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR ALFALFA COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER CHEROKEE AT 158 PM CDT...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

PEOPLE IN ALFALFA COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

..SPEG.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
335 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

OKZ008-192100-
KAY OK-
335 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR KAY COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BRAMAN AT 335 PM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 23 MPH.  PECKHAM AND NEWKIRK ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

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