Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS New York, NY

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 110150
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
850 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...

.A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY
MORNING. A MORE SIGNIFICANT ICING EVENT IS EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AS COASTAL LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTH AND THEN PASSES TO THE EAST OF THE AREA...WITH COLDER AIR
FILTERING IN FROM THE NORTH.

CTZ009-NYZ071-110300-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.081211T1100Z-081212T1100Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
850 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK
WITH PLAIN RAIN THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...THEREFORE THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ067-068-111100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0003.081211T1100Z-081212T1100Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-
850 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO
6 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO
6 AM EST FRIDAY. 

A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW MAY ALSO MIX IN
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO
BE THE PRIMARY PRECIPITATION TYPES. BETWEEN 1/2 AND 1 INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

CTZ006-NJZ003-004-NYZ069-070-111100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.081211T1100Z-081212T1100Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
850 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY
TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO
6 AM EST FRIDAY. 

A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES MAY WARM JUST
ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE AFTERNOON THURSDAY...CHANGING
PRECIPITATION OVER TO PLAIN RAIN. HOWEVER...COLDER AIR WILL
RETURN THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN RETURNING THURSDAY NIGHT. BETWEEN 1/10 AND 1/4 INCH OF ICE
AND SLEET ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 110958
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
458 AM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA TODAY INTO TONIGHT...

.A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE IN SPOTS EARLY
THIS MORNING. A MORE SIGNIFICANT ICING EVENT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
AS COASTAL LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH AND THEN PASSES
TO THE EAST OF THE AREA...WITH COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE
NORTH.

CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ068-112200-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0003.081211T1100Z-081212T1100Z/
/O.EXA.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.081211T1100Z-081212T1100Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-
458 AM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE IN SPOTS THIS
MORNING...AS TEMPERATURES COOL TO AROUND FREEZING. RAIN IS
EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY...BEFORE COLDER AIR RETURNS
TONIGHT WITH A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...SNOW AND POSSIBLY
SLEET. UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED
BY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

CTZ006-111100-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.081211T1100Z-081212T1100Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-
458 AM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK
WITH PLAIN RAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT. THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ067-112200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0003.081211T1100Z-081212T1100Z/
ORANGE-
458 AM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. 

A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE IN SPOTS THIS
MORNING...AS TEMPERATURES COOL TO AROUND FREEZING. RAIN IS
EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY...BEFORE COLDER AIR RETURNS
TONIGHT WITH A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...SNOW AND POSSIBLY SLEET.
UP TO HALF AN INCH OF ICE AND SLEET ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY
FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ003-004-NYZ069-070-112200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.081211T1100Z-081212T1100Z/
BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
458 AM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE IN SPOTS THIS
MORNING...AS TEMPERATURES COOL TO AROUND FREEZING. RAIN IS
EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY...BEFORE COLDER AIR RETURNS
TONIGHT WITH A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...SNOW AND POSSIBLY SLEET.
UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY
FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 111609
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1109 AM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...

.A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE IN SPOTS
THIS AFTERNOON. A MORE SIGNIFICANT ICING EVENT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AS
COASTAL LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH AND THEN PASSES TO
THE EAST OF THE AREA...WITH COLDER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE
NORTH.

NYZ067-120015-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081212T1100Z/
ORANGE-
1109 AM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY. 

TEMPERATURES WILL BASICALLY REMAIN STEADY THIS AFTERNOON AROUND 30
DEGREES ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY. AS A RESULT...FREEZING RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. ENOUGH LOW LEVEL WARM AIR
MAY WORK INTO SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY TO CHANGE THE
PRECIPITATION TO RAIN AT TIMES...BEFORE COLDER AIR RETURNS
TONIGHT. THIS COLDER AIR...WILL CAUSE THE FREEZING RAIN...TO MIX
WITH SLEET AND SNOW OVERNIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATIONS BY FRIDAY MORNING
WILL RANGE FROM AROUND AN INCH ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF
ORANGE COUNTY TO UP TO A HALF AN INCH ACROSS FAR SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

CTZ005-NJZ002>004-NYZ068>070-120015-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-081212T1100Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-
ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1109 AM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND WHERE THE TEMPERATURE
IS ABOVE FREEZING...RAIN...IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
TEMPERATURES REMAINING STEADY AROUND THE FREEZING MARK THROUGH THE
DAY. COLDER AIR RETURNS TONIGHT WITH A MIXTURE OF FREEZING
RAIN...SNOW AND POSSIBLY SLEET. UP TO A QUARTER TO A HALF AN INCH
OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH HIGHEST
AMOUNTS ACROSS FAR WESTERN PASSAIC...NORTHERN PUTNAM...AND
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD COUNTIES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

MALOIT

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 112030
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
330 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE LOWER HUDSON 
VALLEY...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT INTO 
FRIDAY MORNING...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK OVER CENTRAL LONG ISLAND
TONIGHT...THEN LIFT NORTHEAST INTO MAINE. THE NORTHERLY FLOW ON
ITS BACKSIDE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP PUMPING COLD AIR INTO THE
REGION...KEEPING FREEZING RAIN GOING IN COLDER VALLEYS INTO THIS
EVENING. THEN AS THE LOW BEGINS TO PULL AWAY OVERNIGHT...EVEN
COLDER AIR WORKS INTO THE REGION...WITH PRECIPITATION MIXING WITH
OR CHANGING TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING FRIDAY MORNING.

NJZ003-004-112130-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-081212T1100Z/
BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-
330 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

PRECIPITATION HAS CHANGED TO RAIN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...AND
WITH ONLY UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING...NO MORE
WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED IN AMOUNTS REACHING ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BERGEN AND
EASTERN PASSAIC COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ067-120430-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
ORANGE-
330 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL BASICALLY REMAIN STEADY INTO THIS EVENING AROUND
FREEZING ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY FALL THIS
EVENING...THEN COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN ALOFT TOWARDS MORNING. THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR PREDOMINATELY FREEZING RAIN...WITH RAIN IN AREAS
ABOVE FREEZING...TO CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BEFORE
MIXING WITH THEN CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY MORNING...WITH
THE SNOW POSSIBLY LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES. SOME SLEET MIGHT MIX IN
FROM TIME TO TIME AS WELL. TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS FROM ONE-THIRD
AN INCH OVER FAR SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE COUNTY TO THREE-QUARTERS
OF AN INCH OVER FAR NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY ARE EXPECTED
BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY MORNING. 1 TO
3 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL ON TOP OF THE ICE (HIGHEST
AMOUNTS NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE COUNTY)...BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS
OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ068>070-120430-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
330 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...AND WHERE THE TEMPERATURE IS
ABOVE FREEZING...RAIN...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. THEN ENOUGH COLD AIR WILL MOVE IN DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS
FOR ALL PRECIPITATION TO MIX WITH THEN CHANGE TO SNOW FRIDAY
MORNING. SOME SLEET MIGHT MIX IN AT TIMES AS WELL. UP TO A
QUARTER TO A HALF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY
FRIDAY MORNING...WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS FAR WESTERN
PASSAIC...AND FAR NORTHERN PUTNAM AND FAIRFIELD COUNTIES. UP TO AN
INCH OF SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO FALL ON TOP OF ANY ICE FRIDAY
MORNING...BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS TO SNOW SHOWERS BY LATE FRIDAY
MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

MALOIT

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 112153
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
453 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE LOWER HUDSON 
VALLEY...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT INTO 
FRIDAY MORNING...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK OVER CENTRAL LONG ISLAND
TONIGHT...THEN LIFT NORTHEAST INTO MAINE. THE NORTHERLY FLOW ON
ITS BACKSIDE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP PUMPING COLD AIR INTO THE
REGION...KEEPING FREEZING RAIN GOING IN COLDER VALLEYS INTO THIS
EVENING. THEN AS THE LOW BEGINS TO PULL AWAY OVERNIGHT...EVEN
COLDER AIR WORKS INTO THE REGION...WITH PRECIPITATION MIXING WITH
OR CHANGING TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING FRIDAY MORNING.

NJZ003-004-112300-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-081212T1100Z/
BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-
453 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

PRECIPITATION HAS CHANGED TO RAIN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...AND
WITH ONLY UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING...NO MORE
WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED IN AMOUNTS REACHING ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BERGEN AND
EASTERN PASSAIC COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ067-120600-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
ORANGE-
453 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL BASICALLY REMAIN STEADY INTO THIS EVENING AROUND
FREEZING ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY FALL THIS
EVENING...THEN COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN ALOFT TOWARDS MORNING. THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR PREDOMINATELY FREEZING RAIN...WITH RAIN IN AREAS
ABOVE FREEZING...TO CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BEFORE
MIXING WITH THEN CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY MORNING...WITH
THE SNOW POSSIBLY LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES. SOME SLEET MIGHT MIX IN
FROM TIME TO TIME AS WELL. TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS FROM ONE-THIRD
AN INCH OVER FAR SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE COUNTY TO THREE-QUARTERS
OF AN INCH OVER FAR NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY ARE EXPECTED
BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY MORNING. 1 TO
3 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL ON TOP OF THE ICE (HIGHEST
AMOUNTS NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE COUNTY)...BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS
OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ068>070-120600-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
453 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...AND WHERE THE TEMPERATURE IS
ABOVE FREEZING...RAIN...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. THEN ENOUGH COLD AIR WILL MOVE IN DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS
FOR ALL PRECIPITATION TO MIX WITH THEN CHANGE TO SNOW FRIDAY
MORNING. SOME SLEET MIGHT MIX IN AT TIMES AS WELL. UP TO A
QUARTER TO A HALF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY
FRIDAY MORNING...WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS FAR WESTERN
PASSAIC...AND FAR NORTHERN PUTNAM AND FAIRFIELD COUNTIES. UP TO AN
INCH OF SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO FALL ON TOP OF ANY ICE FRIDAY
MORNING...BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS TO SNOW SHOWERS BY LATE FRIDAY
MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

MALOIT

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 120442
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1142 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER STORM TO CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE LOWER HUDSON
VALLEY...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK OVER CENTRAL LONG ISLAND
OVERNIGHT...THEN LIFT NORTHEAST INTO MAINE. THE NORTHERLY FLOW ON
ITS BACKSIDE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP PUMPING COLD AIR INTO THE
REGION...KEEPING FREEZING RAIN GOING IN COLDER VALLEYS OVERNIGHT.
PRECIPITATION MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING FRIDAY
MORNING.

NYZ067-121245-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
ORANGE-
1142 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. 

SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY FALL OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH WARM
AIR WILL REMAIN ALOFT. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR PREDOMINATELY FREEZING
RAIN TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH RAIN IN AREAS ABOVE FREEZING.
THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH THEN CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW FRIDAY MORNING.
SOME SLEET MIGHT MIX IN FROM TIME TO TIME AS WELL. TOTAL ICE
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE-HALF OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
COUNTY BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION MIXES WITH OR CHANGES TO SNOW. 1
INCH OR LESS OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL ON TOP OF THE ICE
(HIGHEST AMOUNTS NORTHWEST PARTS OF THE COUNTY)...BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ068>070-121245-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1142 PM EST THU DEC 11 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...AND WHERE THE TEMPERATURE IS
ABOVE FREEZING...RAIN...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. THEN ENOUGH COLD AIR WILL MOVE IN DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS
FOR PRECIPITATION TO MIX WITH AND POSSIBLY CHANGE TO SNOW FRIDAY
MORNING. SOME SLEET MIGHT MIX IN AT TIMES AS WELL. UP TO A TENTH
OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE AREA...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE COLDER VALLEY
LOCATIONS. LITTLE SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION TAPERS TO WIDELY SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BY LATE
FRIDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 121017
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
517 AM EST FRI DEC 12 2008

...WINTER STORM TO CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE LOWER HUDSON
VALLEY AND NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY EARLY THIS MORNING...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING...BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEAST INTO NEW ENGLAND BY MIDDAY. 
THE NORTHERLY FLOW ON ITS BACKSIDE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP PUMPING
COLD AIR INTO THE REGION...KEEPING POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN GOING
IN COLDER VALLEYS EARLY THIS MORNING. PRECIPITATION MAY MIX WITH
OR CHANGE TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING LATER THIS MORNING.

CTZ005-NYZ069-070-121130-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-081212T1500Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
517 AM EST FRI DEC 12 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO HOVER FROM JUST ABOVE TO SEVERAL DEGREES
ABOVE FREEZING.

$$

NYZ067-121300-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081212T1300Z/
ORANGE-
517 AM EST FRI DEC 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

POCKETS OF COLDER TEMPERATURES...MAINLY IN VALLEYS...CONTINUE TO
RESULT IN FREEZING RAIN...WITH RAIN IN AREAS ABOVE FREEZING. 
SOME SNOW AND SLEET MAY ALSO MIX IN AS THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS
OFF EARLY THIS MORNING. AS MUCH AS ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF
AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED...MAINLY IN COLDER VALLEYS.
LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED LATER THIS MORNING IN
SNOW SHOWERS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ002-NYZ068-121300-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-081212T1300Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-
517 AM EST FRI DEC 12 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MO
$$

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 121108
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
608 AM EST FRI DEC 12 2008

...STEADY PRECIPITATION HAS EXITED THE REGION...

.AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS ACROSS THE REGION...PRECIPITATION HAS
TAPERED OFF. LINGERING SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING AS
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SLIDES ACROSS THE REGION.

NYZ067-121215-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-081212T1300Z/
ORANGE-
608 AM EST FRI DEC 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

THE STEADY PRECIPITATION HAS COME TO AN END. THERE WILL BE A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE MORNING. THIS WILL FALL AS
RAIN...BUT COULD MIX WITH SNOW AND SLEET. THERE MAY ALSO BE A FEW
POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN IN SOME OF THE COLDER VALLEYS.

$$

NJZ002-NYZ068-121215-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-081212T1300Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-
608 AM EST FRI DEC 12 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THE STEADY PRECIPITATION HAS COME TO AN END. THERE WILL BE A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE MORNING. THIS WILL FALL AS
RAIN...BUT COULD MIX WITH SNOW AND SLEET. THERE MAY ALSO BE A FEW
POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN IN SOME OF THE COLDER VALLEYS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1242 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION TODAY AND
THEN PASS THROUGH TONIGHT. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE GULF COAST STATES TODAY...THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO NEAR THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW MOVES TO THE CANADIAN
MARITIME PROVINCES BY LATE FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR THE
WEEKEND. THE HIGH PASSES TO OUR EAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MEAN TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...WITH SHORTWAVE
ENERGY RIDING NE INTO QUEBEC THIS MORNING. MAIN SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
OVER EASTERN GREAT LAKES TRACKS N INTO CANADIAN MARITIMES BY THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH TRAILING COLD FRONT WITH MULTIPLE WEAK WAVES RIDING
UP ALONG IT AND SLOWLY APPROACHING THE REGION...PUSHING INTO WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE REGION LATE IN THE DAY.

DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THIS SETUP...ACCENTUATED BY 55-60 KT
LLJ AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUMP WARM AIR AND
MOISTURE(1.5 PWATS)INTO THE REGION.

BEST UPPER LEVEL FORCING WILL MOVE BE WELL NORTH OF THE
REGION...WITH MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT
PROVIDING MAIN LIFT FOR A BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SLOWLY
MOVING OVER THE REGION FROM W TO E TODAY. HEAVIEST QPF AXIS WILL
LIKELY BE ACROSS NORTHERN AND NW ZONES WITH ENHANCEMENT FROM
OROGRAPHIC LIFT OF MOIST LLJ.

GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 40 MPH...BUT WITH STRONG LOW-LEVEL INVERSION WINDS SHOULD STAY
BELOW WIND ADVISORY. STRONGEST WINDS ALONG IMMEDIATE COAST AND
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

TEMPS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S IN
STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH SYNOPTICS DURING THIS
PERIOD...BUT STILL SOME DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND TRACK OF NEXT LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM.

COLD FRONT SLOWLY SINKS SE THROUGH THE REGION NW TO SE THIS EVENING
INTO OVERNIGHT AS MEAN TROUGH EVER SO SLOWLY PUSHES EAST. THIS WILL
PUSH THE MAIN LIFT/MOISTURE AXIS SE OF THE REGION LATE
TONIGHT...WITH RAIN TAPERING TO SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY FROM NW TO
SE. SOME UNCERTAINTY ON HOW FAR SE THE COLD FRONT PUSHES WITH MEAN
LAYER FLOW ALIGNED WITH THE COLD FRONT...BUT THINKING IS THAT IT
WILL PUSH SE OF ENTIRE AREA BY THURS MORNING...BUT WITH OVERRUNNING
WILL STILL KEEP LIKELY POPS FAR SE PORTIONS OF THE REGION TO
CHANCE NW.

ONE IMPORTANT INGREDIENT IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BE
LOW-LEVEL CAA TONIGHT INTO THURS AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS QUEBEC AND WINDS TURN TO THE N. THIS SHOULD HAVE TEMPS
SLOWLY DROPPING TOWARDS FREEZING ACROSS FAR NW PORTIONS OF THE
REGION AS COLD AIR DRAINS DOWN THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY BY LATE TONIGHT.

WITH THIS SAID MAY HAVE SCT FREEZING RAIN SHOWERS IN
ORANGE...PUTNAM...AND PASSAIC COUNTIES BY LATE TONIGHT. CONFIDENCE
TOO LOW AT THIS POINT THOUGH FOR ANY TYPE OF ADVISORY...BUT TEMP
AND PRECIP TRENDS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED.

THEREAFTER...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH CUTOFF LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE GULF COAST THIS EVENING...GRADUALLY BEING ABSORBED INTO THE
NORTHERN STREAM FLOW AND SHEARING NE TOWARDS THE REGION THURSDAY
INTO THURS NIGHT. IN RESPONSE...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY TRACKS
NE...WHILE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING...FROM THE GULF COAST THURS MORNING
TO MID ATLANTIC COAST THURS EVE...AND THEN NEAR LI FRI MORNING.

A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LLJ THURS AFTERNOON AND MORE SO THURS NIGHT
NE/E OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PUMP GULF/ATLANTIC MOISTURE OVER THE
AREA. THIS ALONG WITH STRENGTHENING FRONTOGENIC FORCING AND RIGHT
REAR QUAD UPPER JET DYNAMICS OVER THE REGION WILL HAVE MODERATE TO
HEAVY PRECIP OVERSPREADING THE AREA FROM SE TO NW THURS AFTERNOON
INTO THURS NIGHT AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE. PRECIP TAPER OFF FRI MORNING
FROM SW TO NE AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS SOMEWHERE OVER OR JUST EAST OF
THE AREA AND THEN INTO GULF OF MAINE. GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY
RAIN ALONG THE COAST.

WITH GULF MOISTURE...1 1/2 TO 2 1/2 INCHES OF QPF EXPECTED WITH
THIS SYSTEM THURS AFTERNOON THRU THURS NIGHT..TAPERING OFF FRI
MORNING. EXACT TRACK OF LOW PRESSURE AND SETUP OF COASTAL FRONT
WILL DETERMINE PLACEMENT OF BEST MESOSCALE DYNAMICS AND THEREFORE
HEAVIEST RAIN AXIS. STILL TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS SYSTEM TO
PINPOINT.

IN TERMS OF P-TYPE...VERTICAL PROFILE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA
LOOKS TO BE TOO WARM THURS AFTERNOON AT THE START FOR ANYTHING BUT
LIQUID PRECIP. ONLY EXTREME WESTERN ORANGE COUNTY MAY BE COLD
ENOUGH ALOFT FOR A WINTRY MIX.

THE QUESTION WILL BE HOW MUCH COLD AIR WILL DRAIN DOWN THE HUDSON
RIVER VALLEY AT LOW-LEVELS FOR FZRA BY LATE THURS INTO THURS
NIGHT. MODELS DO NOT HANDLE THIS WELL...BUT BASED ON THE
SETUP...AND EVENTUAL EXISTENCE OF A TIGHT THERMAL GRADIENT...WOULD
THINK TEMPS WILL BE DROPPING BELOW FREEZING AT THE SURFACE ACROSS
ORANGE COUNTY AND THEN LIKELY FURTHER DOWN THE CHAIN INTO
PUTNAM...N WESTCHESTER...N ROCKLAND...AND PERHAPS W. PASSAIC COUNTIES.
IT IS POSSIBLE FREEZING AIR COULD WORK FURTHER EVEN FURTHER SOUTH
THAN THAT.

WITH THIS COULD SAID COULD BE LOOKING AT AROUND A HALF INCH OF
ICE AND SLEET IN ORANGE COUNTY...WITH BETWEEN 1/4 AND 1/2 INCH OF
ICE AND SLEET ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OTHER MENTIONED ZONES. SINCE
THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON THE TRACK AND COASTAL FRONT...DO NOT
HAVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO EXPAND THE CURRENT WATCH. WILL LEAVE IT
UP FOR ORANGE COUNTY WHERE THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE EXISTS FOR
REACHING WARNING THRESHOLD ICING...BUT ADVISORY LEVELS MAY BE
REACHED IN THE MENTIONED ZONES.

PRECIP TAPERS OFF FRI MORNING FROM SW TO NE...WITH PERHAPS A BRIEF
END AS SNOW FAR NW...AND PERHAPS WINTRY MIX ACROSS REST OF
INTERIOR.

THEN DRYING CONDS AND MODERATE CAA ON GUSTY NW FLOW FRI IN WAKE OF
SYSTEM.

TEMPS BELOW NORMAL THURS THROUGH FRI.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HAVE GENERALLY FOLLOWED HPC GUIDANCE IN THE LONG TERM SINCE THE GFS
HAS BEEN THE OUTLIER IN COMPARISON TO OTHER MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AND
IS NOW TRENDING MORE TOWARDS THE FASTER ECMWF WITH THE LOW RIDING UP
THE COAST ON THU. THIS MAKES FOR A BETTER TRANSITION INTO FRI NIGHT
AS STORM SHOULD BE NEAR NEWFOUNDLAND BY THIS TIME WITH STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. DRY AND COLD FRI NIGHT THROUGH
SAT NIGHT. SAT NIGHT WILL LIKELY BE THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE PERIOD
WITH THE HIGH OVERHEAD...POSSIBLY LEADING TO OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS. RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS ON SUN AS THE HIGH MOVES
OFFSHORE WITH WARMING TEMPS. NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP IS MON NIGHT
INTO TUE AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. IT CURRENTLY
LOOKS WARM ENOUGH TO FALL ENTIRELY AS LIQUID.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH BETWEEN 20Z AND 00Z FROM WEST TO EAST.
MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS PREVALENT IN LIGHT RAIN WITH THE FRONT. WIND
SHEAR IMPROVES AS LOW LEVEL JET MOVES EAST. SOUTHERLY WINDS TURN
TO THE SW WITH THE FRONT...THEN SETTLE TO THE NORTH TONIGHT. MVFR
CIGS WITH LITTLE RAIN EXPECTED. FRONT REMAINS TO THE SOUTH OF THE
AREA TONIGHT...THEN BEGINS TO MOVE TO THE NORTH TOWARD THE COAST
THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. RAIN MOVES BACK IN...AND IFR LIKELY.
KSWF SHOULD BE COLD ENOUGH FOR FZRA. GUSTY NE WINDS THURSDAY.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA LATE THURSDAY
AND THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN PASS WELL TO THE NORTHEAST FRIDAY. SUB
VFR WILL OCCUR INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN VFR THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS. THE HIGH PASSES TO THE EAST MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
A STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS BETWEEN AN OFFSHORE HIGH AND A SLOWLY APPROACHING FRONTAL
SYSTEM.

GALE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT  TODAY.
AN INVERSION WILL STRENGTHEN WITH STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WHICH WILL LIMIT GUSTS...BUT APPEARS GRADIENT WINDS
THEMSELVES WILL BE CLOSE TO GALE ON THE OCEAN. ALTHOUGH GRADIENT
WINDS WILL BE A BIT WEAKER OVER HARBOR/BAYS AND SOUND...SLIGHTLY
BETTER MIXING SHOULD BE ABLE TO BRING DOWN LOW END GALE GUSTS.

SEAS EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 10 TO 13 FT RANGE ON THE OCEAN WATERS
DURING THIS TIME. WILL HAVE TO WATCH SWELL PERIOD AS HIGH SURF
PROBLEMS MAY ARISE. WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HIGH SURF ADVISORY AS
CONDITIONS APPEARS TO BE MARGINAL AT BEST.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW TURNS TO THE NW...THEN NORTH
AS THE FRONT PUSHES JUST EAST OF THE WATERS.

HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS TO THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY...HOWEVER
WINDS MAY BUILD BACK UP TO SCA LEVELS THURS INTO THURS NIGHT LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG COLD FRONT AND WORKS TOWARDS THE WATERS. ANY
WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON EXACT TRACK OF THIS
LOW...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN UP THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT AS
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS IN PLACE.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA WATERS ON SATURDAY...HOWEVER SCA
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AS WINDS AND SEAS GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. THEN
QUIET THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
QPF OF HALF AN INCH TO AN INCH EXPECTED AHEAD OF AND WITH THE
FRONT TODAY.

AN ADDITIONAL 1 1/2 TO 2 1/2 INCHES EXPECTED THURSDAY INTO FRI
MORNING. NO FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME AS FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
VALUES WILL NOT BE REACHED IN THE 18 HRS PERIOD THE RAIN IS
EXPECTED. A PORTION OR MUCH OF THE RAIN COULD BE IN THE FROZEN
FORM ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY...AND POSSIBLY SURROUNDING COUNTIES.
MINOR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP AN EYE ON TIDAL DEPARTURES TODAY. WE NEED
AROUND 1.5 FT FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. RIGHT NOW...NGM GUIDANCE
IS HANDLING THE SITUATION BETTER THAN THE GFS...WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE
NO HANDLE ON THE SITUATION. TIDAL DEPARTURE TRENDS HAVE COME UP A
BIT THIS MORNING...HOWEVER NOT ENOUGH TO POSE ANY PROBLEMS.

WE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP ANY EYE ON DEPARTURES FOR THURSDAY MORNINGS
HIGH TIDE. TIDAL DEPARTURES THURSDAY MORNING LOOK TO BE SLIGHTLY
LOWER THAN TODAY...AROUND 1.2. WATER LEVEL TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO
BE MONITORED FOR ANY COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR CTZ005.
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR NYZ067-068.
NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR NJZ002.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ330-335-338-
     340-345-350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NV
NEAR TERM...NV
SHORT TERM...NV
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...BC/PW
MARINE...BC
HYDROLOGY...NV
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
416 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

NJZ005-006-011-NYZ072>081-111115-
ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
416 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

 FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ009-NYZ071-111115-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
416 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EST
FRIDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

HEAVY RAIN THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING MAY RESULT IN
FLOODING OF RIVERS AND STREAMS. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED LATER
TODAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-111115-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
416 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005-NJZ002-NYZ067-068-111115-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-
416 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EST
FRIDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
 WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ006-NJZ003-004-NYZ069-070-111115-
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
416 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EST
FRIDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ007-111115-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
416 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

 FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ008-010>012-111115-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
416 PM EST WED DEC 10 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

 FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.