Coastal Flood Statement 3, NWS Miami, FL

000 
WHUS42 KMFL 110210
CFWMFL

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1010 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

...RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR COASTAL EROSION EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING FOR COLLIER COUNTY BEACHES...

FLZ069-111800-
/O.CON.KMFL.CF.S.0003.000000T0000Z-080911T1800Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-
1010 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ACROSS THE NEARSHORE
COASTAL AREAS OF COLLIER COUNTY WILL GRADUALLY CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE
THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY...AS HURRICANE IKE MOVES NORTHWEST
INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. THE RESULTING WAVE ACTION BUT
MOST IMPORTANTLY A 1 TO 3 FEET SWELL REACHING MAINLY PORTIONS OF
THE COLLIER COUNTY COAST FROM MARCO ISLAND NORTH WILL LEAD TO A
HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND POSSIBLE MINOR BEACH
EROSION. A FEW LOW COASTAL AREAS IN COLLIER COUNTY...INCLUDING
MARCO ISLAND... EVERGLADE CITY AND NAPLES MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE A
HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDE OF AROUND 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL PARTICULARLY
AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WHICH ARE AROUND 11 OR 12 EDT LOCAL TIME
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS COULD RESULT IN VERY MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING AROUND THESE AREAS.

$$

PS

000 
WHUS42 KMFL 111734
CFWMFL

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
134 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2008

...RIP CURRENTS REMAIN A THREAT FOR COLLIER COUNTY BEACHES...

FLZ069-111845-
/O.CAN.KMFL.CF.S.0003.000000T0000Z-080911T1800Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-
134 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2008

TIDE LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COAST AS HURRICANE IKE MOVES WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF
AND AWAY FROM FLORIDA. THIS WILL LEAD TO A DECREASING AMOUNT OF
ALREADY MINOR COASTAL EROSION, BUT WITH SWELLS OF 1 TO 3 FEET
STILL PROPAGATING TO THE SHORE, THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL
REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE EVENING FROM MARCO ISLAND NORTHWARD.



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
718 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

.AVIATION...
THE WINDS AT ALL OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA TAF SITES TODAY WILL BE FROM
THE EASTERLY DIRECTION AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND
25 KNOTS. THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT IS GOING ON
OVER APF TAF SITE THIS MORNING SHOULD CONTINUE TO SHIFT WEST INTO
THE GULF WATERS THIS MORNING..AS HURRICANE IKE MOVES FURTHER AWAY
FROM SOUTH FLORIDA. SO WILL CONTINUE THE VCTS FOR APF TAF SITE
ALONG WITH A TEMP GROUP BETWEEN 12Z AND 14Z OF VIS IFR CONDITIONS
FOR THE THUNDERSTORMS. THE EAST COAST WILL ALSO REMAIN DRY THROUGH
14Z THIS MORNING.

THIS AFTERNOON...THERE SHOULD BE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE CWA. SO WILL KEEP THE VCTS IN ALL OF THE TAF SITES FOR
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HOWEVER...THE TIMING OF THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS NOT KNOWN AT THIS TIME. SO WILL LEAVE THE CEILING
AND VIS IN THE VFR CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME...AND UPDATE WITH
ADMINS LATER IF NEED BE.

&&
.AVIATION...54/BNB

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 517 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008/

EXTENDED...SAT THROUGH TUE...A MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL CONVECTIVE
PATTERN DEVELOPS WITH NOCTURNAL POPS E AND DIURNAL INTERIOR AND W
AS A GENERAL DRIER EASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS.

MARINE...TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE GULF
WATERS BUT GUSTS EXCEEDING 40 KNOTS POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE OUTER
WATERS THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE IN
EFFECT FOR ALL MARINE ZONES AS WINDS WILL BE ABOVE 20 KNOTS FOR MOST
OF THE DAY. WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE ALL WATERS
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY EXCEPT OUTER GULF WATERS AS WINDS REMAIN ABOVE
20 KNOTS WITH SEAS REMAINING HIGH WITH A SW SWELL ADDING TO THE WIND
WAVES. HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS E COAST BEACHES TODAY. EFFECTS OF
IKE SENDING A 2 TO 3 FT SWELL TOWARD THE SW COAST AND A MODERATE
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR THERE.

FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  88  80  89  79 / 60 40 50 30
FORT LAUDERDALE  88  81  88  81 / 50 40 50 30
MIAMI            88  80  89  80 / 60 40 50 30
NAPLES           90  76  91  76 / 60 50 50 30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR AMZ610-
     AMZ630-AMZ650-AMZ651-AMZ670-AMZ671.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR GMZ676.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR GMZ656-
     GMZ657.

&&

LONG TERM...15/JR
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...18/GR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1110 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-110300-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
1110 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

...HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES THIS AFTERNOON...
...HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS GULF COAST BEACHES TONIGHT...
...SCATTERED STORMS ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ALL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS WILL PRODUCE A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS OVER THE
ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES
TODAY.

THERE IS ALSO A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
COLLIER COUNTY BEACHES OF SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT...DUE TO
INCREASING SOUTH WEST SWELLS.

AS A RESULT, SWIMMING IS DANGEROUS AND IS NOT RECOMMENDED FOR THE
EAST COAST BEACHES TODAY...AND OVER THE COLLIER COUNTY BEACHES OF
SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
OVER ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FROM
THE STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY WINDS, AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

WIND: THE STRONGEST STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

FLOODING: THE GROUNDS OVER THE WEST COAST METRO AREAS ARE ALREADY
SATURATED DUE TO THE RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IKE. ANY
STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER THIS AREA WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME MINOR FLOODING IN
LOW LYING AND POORLY DRAIN AREAS.

WAVES: SEAS IN THE GULF WATERS WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET NEAR-
SHORE AND UP TO 10 FEET WELL OFFSHORE BY TONIGHT. THE SEAS IN THE
ATLANTIC WATERS SHOULD DECREASE FROM 6 TO 8 FEET THIS AFTERNOON
DOWN TO 4 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

HURRICANE IKE EFFECTS OVER MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA CONTINUE TO
LESSEN THROUGH FRIDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...AND THEN BACK TO THE NORMAL SCATTERED COVERAGE EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THERE WILL ALSO BE AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR BOTH
THE EAST AND WEST COAST BEACHES OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER,
AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 INCHES OR GREATER.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

BAXTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
613 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

FLZ069-070-075-101130-
MAINLAND MONROE FL-COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY FL-INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL-
613 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

...OUTER RAIN BAND FROM HURRICANE IKE MOVING ACROSS WESTERN COLLIER
AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES...

AT 611 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUE TO
INDICATE AN OUTER RAIN BAND FROM HURRICANE IKE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM BELLE MEADE TO WILDERNESS WATERWAY SOUTH...MOVING NORTHWEST AT
20 MPH.

THIS RAIN BAND WILL AFFECT

ROYAL PALM HAMMOCK...
LELY...
SOUTH NAPLES...
EAST NAPLES...
NAPLES...
NORTH NAPLES...

AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACT WILL BE GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WHICH CAN
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

ALSO...THESE STORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES.

RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ON THE ALERT
FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

LAT...LON 2634 8160 2548 8093 2536 8108 2550 8121
      2555 8120 2565 8128 2570 8128 2573 8134
      2576 8134 2577 8138 2581 8138 2581 8135
      2582 8135 2587 8147 2589 8148 2584 8151
      2589 8156 2589 8163 2603 8178 2630 8185
TIME...MOT...LOC 1013Z 147DEG 17KT 2610 8167 2545 8102

BAXTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
928 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND FLAMINGO                25.15N 80.94W
09/10/2008  M39.00 MPH       MAINLAND MONROE    FL   MESONET

            MEASURED AT FLM HANDAR SITE.

0345 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND FLAMINGO                25.15N 80.94W
09/10/2008  M53.00 MPH       MAINLAND MONROE    FL   MESONET

            OBSERVED AT FLM HANDAR SITE.

0430 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND EVERGLADES CITY         25.86N 81.39W
09/10/2008  M50.00 MPH       COLLIER            FL   MESONET

            MEASURED AT EGC HANDAR SITE.

0446 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND FLAMINGO                25.15N 80.94W
09/10/2008  M51.00 MPH       MAINLAND MONROE    FL   MESONET

            MEASURED AT FLM HANDAR SITE.

0600 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND EVERGLADES CITY         25.86N 81.39W
09/10/2008  M45.00 MPH       COLLIER            FL   MESONET

            MEASURED AT EGC HANDAR SITE.

0630 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND EVERGLADES CITY         25.86N 81.39W
09/10/2008  M48.00 MPH       COLLIER            FL   MESONET

            MEASURED AT EGC HANDAR SITE.

&&

MOLLEDA