Severe Thunderstorm Warning 409, NWS Memphis, TN

000 
WWUS54 KMEG 272223
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
423 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

ARC031-037-055-075-111-272245-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0409.000000T0000Z-081227T2245Z/
CROSS AR-CRAIGHEAD AR-POINSETT AR-GREENE AR-LAWRENCE AR-
422 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE...SOUTHERN GREENE...POINSETT...CRAIGHEAD
AND CROSS COUNTIES...

AT 422 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM WHISKERVILLE TO RISHER TO 10 MILES WEST OF TILTON...OR ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF WALNUT RIDGE TO 13 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF BONO TO 6 MILES NORTH OF MCCRORY...MOVING EAST AT 40
MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
FONTAINE...WALNUT...CORNER...DOROTHY...FAULKNERVILLE...LIGHT...
BELT...HALLIDAY...NOXBURN...WYNNE...VANNDALE...TRUMANN...PARAGOULD...
OAK GROVE HEIGHTS...HARRISBURG...CHERRY VALLEY...BAY AND FARRVILLE.

.A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A STORM SHELTER OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3589 9096 3594 9095 3598 9093 3609 9091
      3616 9091 3615 9037 3516 9063 3519 9105
      3577 9104
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 276DEG 34KT 3611 9078 3576 9090
          3534 9112

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
126 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM NORTH-CENTRAL
ILLINOIS TO EAST TEXAS. HAVE BEEN IMPRESSED BY THE SUSTAINED WINDS
ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH AS WELL AS MAX TEMPS AND HIGH DEW POINTS GIVEN
THE END OF DECEMBER.

ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO ONGOING FORECAST THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. THE
LINE OF STORMS TO OUR WEST WILL BEGIN TO ENTER THE FORECAST AREA
SHORTLY AFTER 3 PM...AND CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD PROGRESSION. WIND
DAMAGE REPORTS OCCURRING OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI AS WELL AS OVER AREAS SURROUNDING ST. LOUIS. THREATS FOR
DAMAGING WINDS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA OVERNIGHT. A FEW
LINGERING SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY TOMORROW OVER
SOUTHEASTERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE CLEARING. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO BECOME NEAR NORMAL AFTER THE FRONT PASSES.

TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER
FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT BUT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL BE LACKING. THUS NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS
FRONT.

RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
AHEAD OF YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO START OFF NEXT WEEKEND.

AC

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE STRONG AND GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON.
FROPA...MEM 02-04JBR 23-01MKL 03-05TUP 04-06. SCT CELLS TO
DEVELOP AHEAD OF FRONT INTO +TSRA...SOME SEVERE. FRONT TO
PRODUCE WIND STORMS...POSSIBLE TORS. HOUR OR TWO OF RAIN AFTER
FRONTAL PASSAGE...THEN SKIES CLEAR OUT.  LEFT WITH NORTHWEST
WINDS AND COOLER TEMPS. AVN INTERESTS WILL HAVE TO WATCH AND
PLAN CAREFULLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  43  55  36  61 / 100  10   0   0
MKL  41  52  30  56 / 100  10   0   0
JBR  35  49  32  55 /  70  10   0   0
TUP  45  56  34  58 / 100  10   0   0

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
     CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-
     HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-
     OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1014 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-281815-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
1014 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL. THE MODERATE RISK IS ROUGHLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF A HAYTI TO BLYTHEVILLE TO JONESBORO LINE.

A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS FOR MUCH OF WEST
TENNESSEE...NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE REMAINDER OF EAST ARKANSAS.
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS ALONG AND WEST OF A LEXINGTON TO SELMER TO
PONTOTOC TO PITTSBORO LINE.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT AREAS WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY 5 PM. THE LINE OF STORMS WILL THEN SPREAD
INTO NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY HAZARD AS A SQUALL LINE DEVELOPS ALONG A SURFACE COLD
FRONT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT ACROSS THE ENTIRE MID SOUTH UNTIL
MIDNIGHT. SOUTH WINDS WILL PERSIST AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE MIDSOUTH AND BY MIDDAY ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
139 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG OLIVE BRANCH            34.95N 89.83W
12/27/2008                   DESOTO             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 45 MPH HAVE CAUSED POWER OUTAGES
            ACROSS DE SOTO COUNTY.

&&

JAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
319 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

ARZ008-017-272200-
RANDOLPH AR-LAWRENCE AR-
319 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...

  LAWRENCE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  RANDOLPH COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED FROM 24 MILES NORTH OF DALTON TO 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF
STRAWBERRY AT 319 PM CST...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE AND NO WARNINGS ARE
ANTICIPATED.

PEOPLE IN LAWRENCE AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR
BLACK ROCK...HOXIE...LAKE CHARLES STATE PARK...POCAHONTAS AND WALNUT
RIDGE...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ALERT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST.

.A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALERT AREA.