Severe Thunderstorm Warning 255, NWS St. Louis, MO

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 030432
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1132 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

ILC001-030442-
/O.CAN.KLSX.SV.W.0255.000000T0000Z-080603T0500Z/
ADAMS IL-
1132 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN ADAMS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED EAST INTO BROWN 
COUNTY.

LAT...LON 4005 9067 4003 9064 4003 9061 3999 9060
      3999 9051 3991 9054 3988 9058 3985 9058
      3985 9092 4006 9092 4008 9068
TIME...MOT...LOC 0432Z 273DEG 28KT 3990 9076

$$

ILC009-030500-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0255.000000T0000Z-080603T0500Z/
BROWN IL-
1132 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
FOR BROWN COUNTY...

AT 1130 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BUCKHORN...OR ABOUT 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
RUSHVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 32 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
VERSAILLES...RIPLEY AND COOPERTOWN.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 4005 9067 4003 9064 4003 9061 3999 9060
      3999 9051 3991 9054 3988 9058 3985 9058
      3985 9092 4006 9092 4008 9068
TIME...MOT...LOC 0432Z 273DEG 28KT 3990 9076

$$

CARNEY

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 030459
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1159 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

ILC009-030509-
/O.EXP.KLSX.SV.W.0255.000000T0000Z-080603T0500Z/
BROWN IL-
1159 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BROWN COUNTY EXPIRES AT
MIDNIGHT CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF 
THE WARNED AREA.  MORE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE 
COUNTY THROUGH THE NIGHT.  STAY ALERT FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND 
POSSIBLE WARNINGS.  ADDITIONALLY...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM.

LAT...LON 4005 9067 4003 9064 4003 9061 3999 9060
      3999 9051 3991 9054 3988 9058 3985 9058
      3985 9092 4006 9092 4008 9068
TIME...MOT...LOC 0459Z 273DEG 28KT 3989 9049

$$

CARNEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1006 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

.UPDATE...
/1005 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008/
LOOKS LIKE ITS GOING TO BE A LONG NGT AS WAA SHUD CONT TO FUEL STG
STORMS OVR THE NE HLF OF THE FA.  BLV DVLPMT WHICH OCRD FAIRLY
RPDLY OVR N SECTIONS OF THE FA BTWN 01-02Z IS SIMPLY ROUND 1.
EXPECT ANOTHER...AND MORE INTS...CLUSTER OF STORMS TO FIRE FURTHER
W AFT 06Z IN THE VCNTY OF THE MO-IA BDR NW OF IRK AS LO LVL JET
RAMPS UP...AND THINK THAT STGST STORMS WL BE ATTM. 00Z SNDGS
INDICATE VRY UNSTBL BUT CAPPED AMS OVR PLAINS...BUT AS LO LVL JET
ADVS THIS AMS INTO THE UNCAPPED AIR FURTHER E INTS CONVECTION WL
EVOLVE. THINK INITIALLY MAIN THRT WL BE HAIL...WITH DAMAGING WINDS
BCMG MORE OF A PROBLEM LTR ON. WHILE ABV SCENARIO PUTS UIN
SQUARELY IN THE TSRA BULLSEYE OVRNGT...MUCM MORE UNSURE ABT S
EXTENT OF STORMS. WHILE STORMS OVR N MO SHUD PRIMARILY MOVE
E...ORIENTATION OF THE LO LVL JET SUGGESTS A SWD DVLPMT FURTHER
E..SLCPLY ALG AND E OF MS RVR. IN GENL...BLV MOST OF THE TSRA WL
BE OCRG ALG AND N OF A MEXICO...ST LOUIS...NASHVILLE LN...AND
UPDATE REFLECTS THIS THINKING.

TRUETT

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/242 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008/
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE HAS SETTLED INTO THE REGION. AS A RESULT, SURFACE
WARM FRONTAL/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM SOUTHEAST MO INTO
EASTERN KS THIS AFTERNOON. BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE
OVERNIGHT AS MCS PASSES ACROSS THE AREA. BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO
DROP INTO NORTH MO EARLY ON TUESDAY AND THEN REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY BEFORE LIFTING TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA.
FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

850 MB MOISTURE WAS POOLED FROM CENTRAL KS INTO SOUTHWEST MO THIS
MORNING. THE VARIOUS MODELS VERIFIED FAIRLY CLOSE WITH WIND AND
MOISTURE FIELDS. MCS DEVELOPED LAST NIGHT IN RESPONSE TO STRONG
MOISTURE INFLOW AND CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS WEST MO.
DENSE BLOWOFF CLOUDS HAVE OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
RAIN HAS MOVED INTO CENTRAL MO AND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN OZARKS.
MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION IS FORECAST TO
BECOME ESTABLISHED INTO NORTH MO TONIGHT BY THE VARIOUS MODELS.
EXPECT MCS TO DEVELOP TO THE NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA LATER THIS
EVENING AND THEN SAG SOUTHEASTWARD.

THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE BEEN VERY SIMILAR PAST FEW DAYS IN
FORECASTING A DEEP UPPER TROF/CLOSED LOW WILL DIG ACROSS THE ROCKIES
ON THURSDAY. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN AND STILL IS STRONGER AND DEEPER
WITH SYSTEM WITH THE H5 LOW NEAR THE 4 CORNERS REGION THURSDAY
MORNING. AS A RESULT, DEEP SURFACE LOW FOR EARLY JUNE WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS KS ON THURSDAY. WITH STRONG DYNAMICS FORECAST WITH THIS
SYSTEM, EXPECT STRONG SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE ACROSS WEST MO THURSDAY
EVENING AND INTO THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.

BOTH MODELS THEN BUILD AN UPPER RIDGE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
TEMPS SHOULD BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE AS A RESULT.

TPS

&&

.AVIATION...
/1239 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008/
FOR THE 18Z TAFS...MCS OVER ERN KS AND WRN MO IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO MOVE SE ACROSS ERN MO. UIN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY
UNTIL LATE TONIGHT AS ANOTHER MCS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MOVE EWD ALONG THE WARMFRONT. ATMO ACROSS
CENTRAL...ERN AND SERN MO HAS DESTABILIZED THIS MORNING. EXPECT
TSRA TO REMAIN S AND E OF THE SUS...STL AREA. TSRA...SHRA ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER COU FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. CONVECTION
TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN N OF STL...SUS AND COU. HOWEVER...
MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT CONVECTION MAY PROPAGATE FURTHER S THAT
PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. GIVEN UNCERTAINTIES WITH HOW TODAYS
CONVECTION WILL IMPACT TONIGHTS...HAVE DECIDED TO HOLD OFF
MENTIONING TSRA FOR TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.

TILLY

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
315 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-031200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
315 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT. THE MOSTLY LIKELY LOCATIONS FOR SEVERE WEATHER
ARE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING...AND THEN OVER
NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO
EXPERIENCE THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER IS NORTHWEST OF I-44
IN MISSOURI AND I-70 IN ILLINOIS.

THERE IS A RISK OF ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY AS A STRONG LATE SPRING STORM SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE
ROCKIES.

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY ACROSS
MUCH OF EAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
603 PM CDT MON JUN 02 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0602 PM     HAIL             3 S SHELBINA            39.65N  92.04W
06/02/2008  E0.75 INCH       MONROE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00304

SIPPRELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
642 PM CDT MON JUN 02 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             CENTER                  39.51N  91.53W
06/02/2008  E0.75 INCH       RALLS              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00306

SIPPRELL