Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 47, NWS St. Louis, MO

March 17, 2008Lincoln County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 17, 2008, 10:11 AM CDT for Lincoln County, Missouri. It took effect at Mar 18, 2008, 3:25 AM CDT. It was in force for 57 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2008, 10:11 AM CDT (15:11 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 18, 2008, 3:25 AM CDT
Expired
Mar 20, 2008, 12:48 PM CDT
In force
57 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Flood severity
Minor

County Lincoln County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cuivre River at Troy (TRYM7). The gauge peaked at 24.02 ft at Mar 19, 2008, 9:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate1015202503/1703/1803/1903/2003/21
Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
21 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05514500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KLSX 171511
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1011 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI... 

     THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS BASED ON 1.50 IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-181511-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0047.080318T2253Z-080320T1500Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.080318T2253Z.080319T0600Z.080319T1500Z.NO/
1011 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY.
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.4 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21    6.6      13.5   22.2   11.7    8.2    7.2
11 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 180116
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
816 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AROUND 0.5 INCHES OF 
PRECIPITATION THE PAST 24 HOURS AND AROUND 1.5 INCHES FORECAST 
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEAST OVER CENTRAL 
AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AS WELL AS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 
AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EASTWARD OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  

STRONG SOUTHERLY MOIST AIR OUT OF THE GULF REGIONS WILL BUILD ALONG 
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LEADING TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
ALONG WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS ACROSS MANY BASINS IN MISSOURI AND 
ILLNOIS.
 
HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  

RESIDENTS LIVING IN THE REGION SHOULD BE AWARE OF POSSIBLE LOCALIZED 
FLOODING ON LOCAL CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. 

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-190116-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.080318T1500Z-080321T0000Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.080318T1500Z.080319T0600Z.080320T0000Z.NO/
816 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 7:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MORNING ON TUESDAY AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   13.1      19.9   23.3   15.7   10.1    7.8
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 180656
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
156 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF  INCHES OF PRECIPITATION THE 
PAST 24 HOURS AND  INCHES FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC127-190656-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-080320T1012Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.080318T0147Z.080318T1200Z.080319T1012Z.NO/
156 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.8 FEET BY THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.

$$

MOC113-190656-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.080318T0825Z-080320T0700Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.080318T0825Z.080318T1800Z.080319T0700Z.NO/
156 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.3 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          16   19.5      19.8   15.7   11.8   10.7   10.4

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   20.5      21.8   19.5   14.6   10.1    7.8
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 181009
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
509 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 
  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION THE 
PAST 24 HOURS AND 0.25 TO 0.75 INCHES FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
FOR THE CUIVRE RIVER BASIN AND UP TO 0.25 INCHES FOR THE NORTH RIVER
BASIN...

RAIN HEAVIER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE
EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL
MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS
CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC127-191009-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-080320T0745Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.080318T0147Z.080318T1200Z.080319T0745Z.NO/
509 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY.
* AT 4:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 20.7 FEET THIS
  MORNING AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.4 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 341, NORTH OF PALMYRA, BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD.

$$

MOC113-191008-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080319T1708Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.080318T0706Z.080318T1200Z.080318T1708Z.NO/
509 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 4 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 22.2 FEET THIS
  MORNING AND SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          16   20.0      14.8   11.3   10.6   10.3   10.3

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   21.7      16.1   10.9    8.6    7.8    7.2
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 181556
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1056 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 
       THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 1 TO 2 INCH OF RAINS IN THE PAST
24 HOURS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-191556-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080320T1923Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.080318T0706Z.080319T0000Z.080319T1923Z.NO/
1056 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY

* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 23.0 FEET THIS EVENING AND 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   22.1      22.3   16.8   11.8    7.2    6.9
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 181916
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
216 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF EXCESSSIVEW RAINFALL...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-191916-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080320T0215Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.080318T0706Z.080318T1245Z.080319T0215Z.NO/
216 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.

$$

MOC113-191915-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0057.080320T0600Z-080321T1800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.080320T0600Z.080320T0600Z.080320T1800Z.NO/
216 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:48 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.

$$

MOC127-191915-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-080320T0738Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.080318T0147Z.080318T1200Z.080319T0738Z.NO/
216 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 333, EAST OF PALMYRA, BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   21.8      19.8   15.7   11.8   10.2    9.7
  OLD MONROE       24   20.0      23.0   24.0   22.7   21.1   19.9

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          16   16.3      15.2   12.6   11.8   11.7   11.6
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 181958
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
258 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 1.5 TO 2 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION 
THE PAST 24 HOURS AND AN ADDITIONAL 1 INCH FORECAST IN THE NEXT 
24 HOURS...

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGHOUT THE BASIN
THRU TONIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY.  ALREADY EXCESSIVE RAINS HAVE FALLEN
WITH AN ADDITIONAL AVERAGE OF 0.5 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS.

THIS WILL LEAD TO EXPANSION IN EXISTING FLOODING...OR ESCALATION TO 
FLOODING IN INUNDATION FOR THE AREAS THAT ARE ONLY EXPERIENCING 
MINOR FLOODING AT THE MOMENT.

AS SUCH HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN
PREDICTED.

RESIDENTS LIVING IN AND AROUND THE REGION SHOULD BE AWARE OF LOCALIZED
FLOODING ON LOCAL CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP
VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD.  WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE 
SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-191958-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080320T0417Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.080318T0706Z.080318T1245Z.080319T0417Z.NO/
258 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 2:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.

$$

MOC113-191957-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0057.080320T0600Z-080321T1800Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.080320T0600Z.080320T0600Z.080320T1800Z.NO/
258 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:48 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   21.7      19.9   16.0   12.5   10.5    9.7
  OLD MONROE       24   20.0      23.0   24.0   22.7   21.1   19.9
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 190105
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
805 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS WILL HAVE FALLEN THROUGHOUT THE BASIN
OVER THE PAST 24 TO 48 HOURS ON THE ORDER OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.  AN AVERAGE OF 0.5 IS ANTICIPATED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN
PREDICTED.

RESIDENTS LIVING IN AND AROUND THE REGION SHOULD BE AWARE OF LOCALIZED
FLOODING ON LOCAL CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP
VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD.  WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE 
SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-200105-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080320T1545Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.080318T0706Z.080318T1245Z.080319T1545Z.NO/
805 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.

$$

MOC113-200104-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0057.080319T1800Z-080321T0600Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.080319T1800Z.080319T1800Z.080320T0600Z.NO/
805 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:50 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO FLOOD STAGE 
  EARLY AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   22.0      18.1   14.4   11.7   10.6    9.9
  OLD MONROE       24   22.0      23.9   23.2   21.7   21.0   20.9
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 190854
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
353 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CUIVRE RIVER IN MISSOURI...
 
  NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 
  AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 1 TO 2.5 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
THE PAST 48 HOURS AND 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS...

RAIN HEAVIER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE
EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP
STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-200853-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080321T0515Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.080318T0706Z.080319T1200Z.080320T0515Z.NO/
353 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL THURSDAY.
* AT 3 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 23.7 FEET THIS
  MORNING.

$$

MOC113-200852-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0057.080319T2159Z-080322T0000Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.080319T2159Z.080320T1200Z.080321T0000Z.NO/
353 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6:50 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR 24.4 FEET THURSDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   23.5      19.2   13.8   10.1    7.9    7.5
  OLD MONROE       24   22.0      24.4   23.2   21.7   21.0   20.8
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 191702
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1202 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...
 
  
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 48 HOURS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-201702-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080321T1243Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.080318T0706Z.080319T1800Z.080320T1243Z.NO/
1202 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS...SIGNIFICANT 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND IS INUNDATED.

$$

MOC113-201701-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0057.080319T1710Z-080322T0645Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.080319T1710Z.080320T1200Z.080321T0645Z.NO/
1202 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL FRIDAY.
* AT 8 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISING TO NEAR 25.6 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   24.0      21.3   12.4    9.2    8.1    7.6
  OLD MONROE       24   23.5      25.6   23.3   21.0   20.1   19.9
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 200034
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
734 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CUIVRE RIVER...
 
  NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DURING THE PAST
48 HOURS AND NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-210034-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080321T0341Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.080318T0706Z.080319T1400Z.080320T0341Z.NO/
734 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.

$$

MOC113-210033-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-080322T0215Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.080319T1845Z.080320T1200Z.080321T0215Z.NO/
734 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  1:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST NEAR 25.3 FEET TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   22.0      18.8   12.7    9.4    8.1    7.6
  OLD MONROE       24   24.0      25.3   22.7   20.6   19.7   19.4
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 201748
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1248 PM CDT THU MAR 20 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-201818-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-080321T0341Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.080318T0706Z.080319T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1248 PM CDT THU MAR 20 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY.
* AT 12 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING AND WILL START A DOWNWARD TREND.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   12.1      12.7    9.4    8.1    7.6    7.3

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 17, 6:51 AM CDT, 3 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 6:51 AM CDT, 3 hours 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
651 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

.DISCUSSION...
LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. H500 RIDGE WILL SLIDE E OF
THE FA THIS MORNING...AND STRONG MID LEVEL WAA FAST ON ITS HEELS
ALREADY...AND WITH SOME FRONTOGENESIS IN THAT AREA AS WELL...
SHRA/TSRA ALREADY BREAKING OUT OVER THE SRN FA. WITH WAA/
ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE TO INTENSIFY THIS MORNING OVER THE NRN 3/4 OF
THE FA...LOOK FOR SHRA/TSRA TO EXPAND. HAVE EXPANDED LIKELY POPS
OVER MUCH OF THE FA THIS MORNING AS A RESULT. BY THIS AFTERNOON...
THE BETTER AND MORE PERSISTENT FORCING WILL SETTLE INTO AREAS N
AND W OF KSTL.

A RATHER HIGHLY AMPLIFIED SWLY FLOW PATTERN WILL TAKE HOLD TONIGHT
UNTIL WEDNESDAY...AS A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES EJECT FROM A STRONG
STORM SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE SWRN CONUS. THESE DISTURBANCES WILL
ACT ON A HIGHLY EFFICIENT AND MOIST COLUMN...WITH PWATS RISING TO
OVER 300PCT OF NORMAL. THIS SCENARIO WILL LAST OVER A 36HR PERIOD
FOR MOST LOCATIONS. ADD IN ENOUGH INSTABILITY FROM ELEVATED CAPES
OF 400 J/KG FOR THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY INTENSE...ALBEIT
RELATIVELY BRIEF...RAINFALL RATES...AND MOST AREAS HAVING SEEN
ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL AND WITH WET AND NEARLY SATURATED SOILS...
AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FLOODING LOOKS TO BE RATHER HIGH THRU
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. FLOOD WATCHES TO CONTINUE FOR ALL AREAS.

OF PARTICULAR NOTE WILL BE LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY
NIGHT OVER AREAS S AND E OF KSTL...WHERE STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET
DIVERGENCE FROM RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION WILL SETTLE IN OVER THAT
AREA AND INTERSECT WITH PWATS STILL CLOSE TO 300PCT OF NORMAL.
THIS WILL BE THE MOST ORGANIZED PART OF THIS EVENT.

TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE TO RISE IN MOST AREAS N OF I-70 TODAY WITH
AMPLE CLOUDCOVER AND LIKELY RAIN OCCURRENCES. WENT AOB THE COOLEST
MOS. OVER SERN MO...CONTINUED TO GO WITH THE WARMEST MOS WITH
BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS EXPECTED...STRONG SLY FLOW...AND VERY WARM
TEMPS ALOFT TO MIX DOWN.

HIGH TEMPS ON TUESDAY FOR MOST SITES WILL BE DURING THE MORNING...
WITH CD FROPA EXPECTED EARLY IN THE DAY FOR THE NWRN FA...AND BY
ERY AFTN FOR MUCH OF THE REST OF THE FA. CLOUDS...PCPN...AND
STRONG LO LEVEL CAA WILL RESULT IN FALLING TEMPS DURING THE AFTN.

THE ONE PART WHERE THE MODELS STILL HAVE ISSUES IS ON WEDNESDAY.
GFS HAS BEEN THE MOST GUNG-HO ON DEVELOPING A DEFORMATION ZONE IN
RESPONSE TO IT BEING THE SLOWEST TO OPEN THE SRN STREAM SYSTEM AS
IT FINALLY EJECTS FROM NRN /OLD/ MEXICO. HAVE NOTICED THAT
SUBSEQUENT RUNS OF THE NAM HAVE BEEN HINTING MORE AT THIS SCENARIO
AND HAVE THUS DECIDED TO PLAY UP THIS A BIT MORE ON THE POPS FOR S
AND E OF KSTL. BELIEVE BDRY LYR TEMPS WILL BE TOO WARM TO RESULT
IN NON-LIQUID PCPN AND FOR NOW HAVE KEPT ALL RAIN...BUT WILL BE
CLOSE.

TES

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z TAFS...
PRIMARY CONCERN FOR AVIATION INTERESTS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL
BE THUNDERSTORM AND HEAVY RAIN ACTIVITY ALONG WITH RESULTING LOW
CIGS AND VSBYS. THINK FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR OUTSIDE OF
CONVECTION THROUGH 00Z AT LEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN 2/3 OF THE
CWFA...BUT CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY DETERIORATE THROUGH THE
DAY OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.
EXPECT DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REST OF THE CWFA AFTER
00Z AS WELL. IFR OR LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA AFTER 06Z AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT MOVES INTO
CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND MORE HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS ALONG AND AHEAD OF
IT.

CARNEY

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR
     CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-OSAGE-ST.
     CHARLES-ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-WARREN-WASHINGTON.

     FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR IRON-
     MADISON-REYNOLDS-ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE.

     FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR AUDRAIN-BOONE-CALLAWAY-COLE-KNOX-LEWIS-MARION-MONITEAU-
     MONROE-MONTGOMERY-PIKE-RALLS-SHELBY.

IL...FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR
     BOND IL-CALHOUN IL-GREENE IL-JERSEY IL-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON
     IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-ST. CLAIR IL.

     FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
     CLINTON IL-FAYETTE IL-MARION IL-RANDOLPH IL-WASHINGTON IL.

     FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
     FOR ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 17, 5:45 AM CDT, 4 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
545 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-181200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
545 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY FOR
AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF ST LOUIS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE. DUE TO THE ALREADY SATURATED GROUND OVER THE AREA...
THERE IS AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. SEE THE FLOOD
WATCH PRODUCT FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS.

SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG...CAPABLE OF HAIL UP TO
ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BRING A
WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL TO THE AREA...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF ST LOUIS.
THE MAIN HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL PERSIST UNTIL TUESDAY NIGHT. DUE
TO THE ALREADY SATURATED GROUND OVER THE AREA...THERE IS AN
INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. SEE THE FLOOD WATCH PRODUCT
FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON TUESDAY OVER AREAS
SOUTH AND EAST OF ST LOUIS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
REPORT ANY HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

TES

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 17, 9:22 AM CDT, 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
922 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HAIL             JEFFERSON CITY          38.57N 92.19W
03/17/2008  E0.25 INCH       COLE               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CAPITOL BUILDING

&&

BDYE
Local storm report, Mar 17, 9:26 AM CDT, 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
926 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0921 AM     HAIL             20 SW HERMANN           38.49N 91.70W
03/17/2008  E0.25 INCH       OSAGE              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BDYE
Local storm report, Mar 17, 9:50 AM CDT, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
950 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0942 AM     HAIL             COLUMBIA                38.95N 92.33W
03/17/2008  E0.25 INCH       BOONE              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BDYE
Local storm report, Mar 17, 9:51 AM CDT, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
951 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0942 AM     HAIL             WATERLOO                38.33N 90.16W
03/17/2008  E0.25 INCH       MONROE             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BDYE
Special weather statement, Mar 17, 10:01 AM CDT, 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1001 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

MOZ048>050-171530-
OSAGE MO-COLE MO-CALLAWAY MO-
1001 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

AT 1000 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WARDSVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AS IT AFFECTS
FRANKENSTEIN...TEBBETTS...LINN...STEEDMAN...MOKANE...CHAMOIS...
PORTLAND AND REFORM BETWEEN 1000 AM AND 1030 AM.

TILLY
Local storm report, Mar 17, 10:06 AM CDT, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1006 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1005 AM     HAIL             JEFFERSON CITY          38.57N 92.19W
03/17/2008  E0.25 INCH       COLE               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BDYE

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 7:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington38 min
Mar 17, 8:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSainte Genevieve, Saint Francois47 min
Mar 17, 9:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Jefferson, Washington32 min
Mar 17, 9:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage, Warren29 min
Mar 17, 10:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis26 min
Mar 17, 10:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage25 min
Mar 17, 10:41 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion28 hr
Mar 17, 10:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMontgomery, Warren17 min
Mar 17, 11:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Warren25 min
Mar 17, 12:43 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXCole3 days
Mar 17, 2:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2008Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.