Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 178, NWS St. Louis, MO

June 3, 2008Lewis County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Jun 3, 2008, 2:07 AM CDT for Lewis County, Missouri. It took effect at Jun 3, 2008, 5:04 AM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 3, 2008, 2:07 AM CDT (07:07 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 3, 2008, 5:04 AM CDT
Expired
Jun 7, 2008, 8:17 AM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Flood severity
Minor

County Lewis County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 179 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Middle Fabius River near Ewing (EWMM7). The gauge peaked at 17.91 ft at Jun 4, 2008, 3:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate5101506/0306/0406/0506/0606/0706/08
Action stage
9.5 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
17 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05498150, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KLSX 030707
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
207 AM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI... 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINS THE PAST COUPLE
OF HOURS AMOUNTING TO AROUND 2 INCHES...ADDITIONAL RAINS OF UP
TO AND POSSIBLY GREATER THAN 1 INCH ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...

REPORTS OF FLOODING HAVE BEEN REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY J SOUTH OF 
LEWISTOWN MISSOURI.

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-040707-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0178.080603T1853Z-080606T2136Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.080603T1853Z.080604T1200Z.080605T2136Z.UU/
207 AM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 1:57 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. 

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   06/04  06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12    3.6       7.7   16.5   14.1    9.6    7.1
11 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 030826
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
326 AM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINS THE PAST COUPLE
OF HOURS AMOUNTING TO AROUND 3 INCHES...ADDITIONAL RAINS OF UP
TO AND POSSIBLY GREATER THAN 1 INCH ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...

REPORTS OF FLOODING HAVE BEEN REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY J AND HIGHWAY 6 
SURROUNDING THE TOWN OF LEWISTOWN MISSOURI OF UP TO 6 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

MOC111-040826-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0178.080603T1333Z-080607T0920Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.080603T1333Z.080604T1200Z.080606T0920Z.UU/
326 AM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNINGCONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 2:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 19.4 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. 

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   06/04  06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12    5.2      10.7   19.4   16.2   11.6    8.8
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 031013
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
513 AM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES WERE COMMON ACROSS THE AREA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-041013-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0178.080603T1004Z-080607T0520Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.080603T0846Z.080604T0000Z.080606T0520Z.UU/
513 AM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 4:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19.4 FEET THIS EVENING THEN
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

MOC111-041012-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0180.080603T1200Z-080606T0504Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.080603T1200Z.080604T0000Z.080605T0504Z.UU/
513 AM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 4:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CREST NEAR  
  NEAR 20.2 FEET THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   06/04  06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   14.1      14.5   18.6   15.0   11.0    8.2

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            15   13.2      15.0   18.7   13.3    8.7    6.5
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 031734
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1233 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.OVERNIGHT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL...3.5 INCHES...FELL NEAR
EWING...CAUSING RAPID RISES ON THE MIDDLE AND NORTH FABIUS RIVERS.
BASIN AVERAGE WAS LOWER...IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE...CAUSING A
SLOWER RISE LATE THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-041733-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-080606T2136Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.080603T0846Z.080604T0600Z.080605T2136Z.UU/
1233 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19.0 FEET EARLY WEDNESDAY
  MORNING THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

MOC111-041732-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0180.000000T0000Z-080606T0112Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.080603T1956Z.080604T0000Z.080605T0112Z.UU/
1233 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR
  17.5 FEET THIS EVENING THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY
  EVENING.


$$

MOC127-041732-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0179.080604T0600Z-080605T0600Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.080604T0600Z.080604T0600Z.080604T0600Z.NO/
1233 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTER
  SUNRISE.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   06/04  06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   16.5      18.5   13.6    9.6    6.8    5.8

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            15   14.5      16.7   13.0    7.7    5.0    4.3

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           9.5   6.0       8.9    6.7    5.1    3.9    2.6
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 040119
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
819 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS
AMOUNTING TO AROUND 3 INCHES...ADDITIONAL RAINS OF UP TO AND POSSIBLY 
GREATER THAN 1 INCH ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...LOCALIZED 
AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.


MOC111-050119-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-080607T0138Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.080603T0846Z.080604T0600Z.080606T0138Z.UU/
819 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.7 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. 

$$

MOC111-050118-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0180.000000T0000Z-080606T1200Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.080604T0600Z.080605T0000Z.080605T1200Z.UU/
819 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.9 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

$$

MOC127-050118-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0179.080605T0000Z-080606T0000Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.080605T0000Z.080605T0000Z.080605T0000Z.NO/
819 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   06/04  06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            15   14.6      15.5   15.0    9.0    5.7    4.8

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   17.4      18.6   14.9   10.2    7.3    6.1

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10    6.8       8.6    8.9    7.3    5.5    3.8
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 050214
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
914 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2008


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/


MOC111-060214-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-080607T0630Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.080603T0846Z.080604T1400Z.080606T0630Z.UU/
914 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

MOC113-060213-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0194.080606T0000Z-080611T0300Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.080606T0000Z.080607T0600Z.080610T0300Z.NO/
914 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* THE EVENING STAGE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 21.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 25.4 FEET SATURDAY MORNING. 


$$

MOC111-060213-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0180.000000T0000Z-080606T2136Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080605T1200Z.080605T2136Z.UU/
914 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET TOMORROW MORNING
  AND THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.


$$

MOC127-060213-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0196.000000T0000Z-080606T0324Z/
/PALM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080604T2130Z.080605T0324Z.NO/
914 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* DOWN TO NONE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

MOC127-060213-
/O.ROU.KLSX.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TAYM7.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
914 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2008

FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR.
* AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET.
* A NON FLOOD EVENT IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.


$$


&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   17.1      16.0   10.9    7.7    6.1    5.4

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E21.6     22.7   24.8   25.4   25.2   24.6

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            15   16.7      17.0   11.8    7.9    6.1    5.4

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          16   16.4      13.8   10.7    9.9    9.6    9.5

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10    8.1       7.8    6.6    5.5    3.9    2.6
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 050216 CCA
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT  ..CORRECTED TO REMOVE SOUTH FABIUS AT TAYLOR.. 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
914 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2008


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/


MOC111-060214-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-080607T0630Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.080603T0846Z.080604T1400Z.080606T0630Z.UU/
914 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

MOC113-060213-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0194.080606T0000Z-080611T0300Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.080606T0000Z.080607T0600Z.080610T0300Z.NO/
914 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* THE EVENING STAGE WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 21.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 25.4 FEET SATURDAY MORNING. 


$$

MOC111-060213-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0180.000000T0000Z-080606T2136Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080605T1200Z.080605T2136Z.UU/
914 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET TOMORROW MORNING
  AND THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.


$$

MOC127-060213-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0196.000000T0000Z-080606T0324Z/
/PALM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080604T2130Z.080605T0324Z.NO/
914 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* DOWN TO NONE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.



$$


&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   06/05  06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   17.1      16.0   10.9    7.7    6.1    5.4

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E21.6     22.7   24.8   25.4   25.2   24.6

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            15   16.7      17.0   11.8    7.9    6.1    5.4

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          16   16.4      13.8   10.7    9.9    9.6    9.5
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 051604
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1104 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST
WEEK...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-061604-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0194.080606T0336Z-080609T1559Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.080606T0336Z.080607T1200Z.080608T1559Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM THE ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 22.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* THIS FLOOD WARNING IS BASED ON BACKWATER FROM THE MISSISSIPPI
  RIVER.
* CREST NEAR 25.0 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.


$$

MOC111-061603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-080607T0949Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.080603T0846Z.080604T1400Z.080606T0949Z.UU/
1104 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* CRESTED AT 17.91 FEET EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY 
  TOMORROW.

$$

MOC111-061603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0180.000000T0000Z-080607T0327Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080605T1530Z.080606T0327Z.UU/
1104 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...NEAR CREST NOW.  

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09  06/10

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   22.5      24.4   25.0   24.2   23.3   22.9

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   16.3      11.6    8.9    6.4    5.5    4.6

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            15   19.6      12.1    8.0    6.3    5.5    4.7
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 060124
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
824 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2008


..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI..
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/


MOC113-070124-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0194.080606T1600Z-080609T1559Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.080606T1600Z.080607T1200Z.080608T1559Z.NO/
824 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* THE EVENING STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 22.8 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 24.7 FEET SATURDAY MORNING.
 

$$

MOC111-070123-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-080608T1621Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.080603T0846Z.080604T1400Z.080607T1621Z.UU/
824 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.


$$

MOC111-070123-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0180.000000T0000Z-080607T2146Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080605T2100Z.080606T2146Z.UU/
824 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   06/06  06/07  06/08  06/09  06/10

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24  E22.8      23.6   24.7   24.2   23.2   22.5

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   15.9      15.2   12.8    9.0    6.2    5.3

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            15   19.6      18.5    9.8    7.3    6.0    5.0
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 061543
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1042 AM CDT FRI JUN 06 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER...
 
            NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AN AVERAGE OF 0.50 INCHES OF 
PRECIPITATION THE PAST 24 HOURS AND AN AVERAGE OF 0.25 INCHES FORECAST 
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...IN ADDITION TO UPSTREAM BASIN RUNOFF RESULTANT
OF HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST WEEK...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-071542-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-080609T2116Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.080603T0846Z.080604T1400Z.080608T2116Z.UU/
1042 AM CDT FRI JUN 06 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:13 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  BY SUNDAY EVENING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   06/07  06/08  06/09  06/10  06/11

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   15.9      16.0   13.5   10.1    6.6    5.2
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 070224
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
924 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2008


..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 

     THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/



MOC111-080224-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-080609T0800Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.080603T0846Z.080604T1400Z.080608T0800Z.UU/
924 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   06/07  06/08  06/09  06/10  06/11

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   15.5      14.6   11.4    6.5    4.9    4.6
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 071317
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
817 AM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY

.THIS IS THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS FLOODING EVENT...

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-071347-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0178.000000T0000Z-080609T0800Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.080603T0846Z.080604T1400Z.080607T0528Z.UU/
817 AM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING.
* AT 7:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12:28 AM SATURDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 6.1 FEET BY SUNDAY  
  MORNING.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   06/08  06/09  06/10  06/11  06/12

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12    7.7       6.1    5.4    5.0    4.7    4.5

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 3, 12:19 AM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 3, 12:19 AM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1219 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008

.UPDATE...
/1005 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008/
LOOKS LIKE ITS GOING TO BE A LONG NGT AS WAA SHUD CONT TO FUEL STG
STORMS OVR THE NE HLF OF THE FA.  BLV DVLPMT WHICH OCRD FAIRLY
RPDLY OVR N SECTIONS OF THE FA BTWN 01-02Z IS SIMPLY ROUND 1.
EXPECT ANOTHER...AND MORE INTS...CLUSTER OF STORMS TO FIRE FURTHER
W AFT 06Z IN THE VCNTY OF THE MO-IA BDR NW OF IRK AS LO LVL JET
RAMPS UP...AND THINK THAT STGST STORMS WL BE ATTM. 00Z SNDGS
INDICATE VRY UNSTBL BUT CAPPED AMS OVR PLAINS...BUT AS LO LVL JET
ADVS THIS AMS INTO THE UNCAPPED AIR FURTHER E INTS CONVECTION WL
EVOLVE. THINK INITIALLY MAIN THRT WL BE HAIL...WITH DAMAGING WINDS
BCMG MORE OF A PROBLEM LTR ON. WHILE ABV SCENARIO PUTS UIN
SQUARELY IN THE TSRA BULLSEYE OVRNGT...MUCM MORE UNSURE ABT S
EXTENT OF STORMS. WHILE STORMS OVR N MO SHUD PRIMARILY MOVE
E...ORIENTATION OF THE LO LVL JET SUGGESTS A SWD DVLPMT FURTHER
E..SLCPLY ALG AND E OF MS RVR. IN GENL...BLV MOST OF THE TSRA WL
BE OCRG ALG AND N OF A MEXICO...ST LOUIS...NASHVILLE LN...AND
UPDATE REFLECTS THIS THINKING.

TRUETT

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/242 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008/
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE HAS SETTLED INTO THE REGION. AS A RESULT, SURFACE
WARM FRONTAL/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM SOUTHEAST MO INTO
EASTERN KS THIS AFTERNOON. BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE
OVERNIGHT AS MCS PASSES ACROSS THE AREA. BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO
DROP INTO NORTH MO EARLY ON TUESDAY AND THEN REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY BEFORE LIFTING TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA.
FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

850 MB MOISTURE WAS POOLED FROM CENTRAL KS INTO SOUTHWEST MO THIS
MORNING. THE VARIOUS MODELS VERIFIED FAIRLY CLOSE WITH WIND AND
MOISTURE FIELDS. MCS DEVELOPED LAST NIGHT IN RESPONSE TO STRONG
MOISTURE INFLOW AND CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS WEST MO.
DENSE BLOWOFF CLOUDS HAVE OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
RAIN HAS MOVED INTO CENTRAL MO AND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN OZARKS.
MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION IS FORECAST TO
BECOME ESTABLISHED INTO NORTH MO TONIGHT BY THE VARIOUS MODELS.
EXPECT MCS TO DEVELOP TO THE NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA LATER THIS
EVENING AND THEN SAG SOUTHEASTWARD.

THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE BEEN VERY SIMILAR PAST FEW DAYS IN
FORECASTING A DEEP UPPER TROF/CLOSED LOW WILL DIG ACROSS THE ROCKIES
ON THURSDAY. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN AND STILL IS STRONGER AND DEEPER
WITH SYSTEM WITH THE H5 LOW NEAR THE 4 CORNERS REGION THURSDAY
MORNING. AS A RESULT, DEEP SURFACE LOW FOR EARLY JUNE WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS KS ON THURSDAY. WITH STRONG DYNAMICS FORECAST WITH THIS
SYSTEM, EXPECT STRONG SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE ACROSS WEST MO THURSDAY
EVENING AND INTO THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.

BOTH MODELS THEN BUILD AN UPPER RIDGE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
TEMPS SHOULD BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE AS A RESULT.

TPS

&&

.AVIATION...
/1207 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008/
FOR THE 06Z TAFS...HV CONTD TO FOCUS TSRA THRT FOR THIS SET ON
FORCING ASSOC WITH LO LVL JET OVR THE NE HLF OF OUR FA DURG THE
RMNDR OF TNGT. IT APRS THAT UIN WL BE GETTING A BRIEF BREAK IN THE
CONVECTION BY 06Z...BUT CERTAINLY EXPECT THAT THE ADDITIONAL
STORMS FORMING UPSTREAM WILL EVENTUALLY AFFECT AIRPORT IN A FEW
HRS. EVOLUTION IN STL AREA STILL QUITE UNCERTAIN...AND IT MAY BE
THAT CVG OF CNVTN WILL BE SUCH THAT STORMS WILL BE IN THE AREA
BUT MAY NOT IMPACT THE AIRPORT PROPER...SO HV GONE WITH VCNTY AT
BOTH STL AND SUS FROM LT TNGT INTO THU MRNG. FOR COU...CONCERN IS
INCREASING THAT AREA OF CNVTN THAT IS MOVG INTO E KS MAY HOLD
TOGETHER..AND IF THIS OCRS TIMING IS SUCH THAT IT WOULD REACH COU
BY 09Z AND HV HINTED AT THIS IN 06Z TAF. BY MID MRNG TUE...IT APRS THAT
ALL OF THE NOCTURNAL CNVTN WL HV MOVED OUT...AND WITH VRY STG
CAPPING FCST BY BOTH WRF/NAM AND GFS THINK THAT MUCH OF THE LT
MRNG AND AFTN SHUD BE PCPN-FREE. HWVR...00Z RUNS ARE ALSO FCSTG
SHTWV TO PUSH INTO AREA BY ERY EVE...WITH RESULTS IN ANOTHER ROUND
OF TSRA IN THE 00Z-06Z TIME FRAME FOR THE TAFS IN OUR CWA.

TRUETT

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 2, 3:15 PM CDT, 10 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
315 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-031200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
315 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION TONIGHT. THE MOSTLY LIKELY LOCATIONS FOR SEVERE WEATHER
ARE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING...AND THEN OVER
NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO
EXPERIENCE THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER IS NORTHWEST OF I-44
IN MISSOURI AND I-70 IN ILLINOIS.

THERE IS A RISK OF ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY AS A STRONG LATE SPRING STORM SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE
ROCKIES.

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY ACROSS
MUCH OF EAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 3, 1:52 AM CDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
152 AM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 AM     FLOOD            1 S LEWISTOWN           40.07N  91.81W
06/03/2008                   LEWIS              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TWO INCHES OF WATER RUNNING OVER THE ROAD ON HIGHWAY J
            SOUTH OF LEWISTOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00307

SIPPRELL
Local storm report, Jun 3, 2:04 AM CDT, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
204 AM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0204 AM     WALL CLOUD       5 NW QUINCY             39.98N  91.46W
06/03/2008                   ADAMS              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00308

TRUETT
Local storm report, Jun 3, 2:06 AM CDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
206 AM CDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 AM     HAIL             LA GRANGE               40.05N  91.50W
06/03/2008  E1.00 INCH       ADAMS              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY RAINS AND NO WINDS AT TIME OF REPORT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00309

SIPPRELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 2, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXPike19 min
Jun 2, 9:34 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis38 days
Jun 2, 9:34 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion42 days
Jun 2, 9:34 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXPike44 days
Jun 2, 9:34 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXPike45 days
Jun 3, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis45 min
Jun 3, 1:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLewis, Marion47 min
Jun 3, 1:39 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXKnox, Lewis45 min
Jun 3, 1:58 AM CDTTornado WarningLSXLewis, Marion32 min
Jun 3, 2:03 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis11 hr
Jun 3, 2:33 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion32 hr
Jun 3, 3:23 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis3 days
Jun 3, 8:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Shelby59 min
Jun 3, 8:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Shelby47 min
Jun 3, 9:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion57 min
Jun 3, 11:17 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Louis41 days
Jun 3, 2:46 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion34 days
Jun 3, 2:46 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion34 days
Jun 3, 2:46 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXRalls39 days
Jun 3, 2:46 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln43 days
Jun 3, 2:46 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles45 days
Jun 3, 2:46 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles40 days
Jun 3, 3:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade and 16 more24 hr
Jun 3, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXPike46 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2008Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.