Alert archive / Louisiana / Flash Flood Warnings in 2008

Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS New Orleans, LA

May 2, 2008Livingston Parish, Tangipahoa Parish, Louisiana

NWS New Orleans, LA issued this flash flood warning at May 2, 2008, 8:26 PM CDT for Livingston Parish, Tangipahoa Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 2, 2008, 8:26 PM CDT (01:26 UTC)
Expired: May 2, 2008, 10:30 PM CDT
In force: 2 hr
Issued by: NWS New Orleans, LA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Livingston Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1673 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 590 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 259 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 286 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 2.4
Supercell composite: 15.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KLIX 030127
FFWLIX
LAC063-105-030330-
/O.NEW.KLIX.FF.W.0005.080503T0126Z-080503T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
826 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN LIVINGSTON PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
  CENTRAL TANGIPAHOA PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 1030 PM CDT

* AT 824 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  FLASH FLOODING FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED AREA. RADAR      
  ESTIMATES THAT 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN WITH ADDITIONAL    
  THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SAME AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  INDEPENDENCE

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED 
AREA.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 3065 9064 3066 9056 3071 9056 3074 9026
      3062 9025 3052 9024 3052 9064
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 180DEG 0KT 3061 9043

$$

92/09

1 follow-up statement

000 
WGUS74 KLIX 030225
FFSLIX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
924 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2008

LAC063-105-030330-
/O.CON.KLIX.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-080503T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LIVINGSTON LA-TANGIPAHOA LA-
924 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL TANGIPAHOA AND NORTHEASTERN LIVINGSTON PARISHES...

AT 923 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 1030 PM 
IN THE WARNED AREA.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 3065 9064 3066 9056 3071 9056 3074 9026
      3062 9025 3052 9024 3052 9064
TIME...MOT...LOC 0224Z 180DEG 0KT 3061 9043

$$

92/09

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 2, 3:34 PM CDT, 4 hours 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 2, 3:34 PM CDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
334 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2008

.SHORT TERM...
A 500 MB SHORT WAVE TROUGH COMBINED WITH WARM ADVECTION AND
SURFACE HEATING IS PROVIDING ENOUGH SUPPORT TO ERODE LOW LEVEL CAP
OVER AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE 55 LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON SINCE THERE IS PLENTLY
OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
JET WHICH COVERS LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI AT THIS TIME. THE
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT AS THE SHORT WAVES MOVES
EAST OF THE AREA.

HOWEVER...ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE SHOULD START IMPACTING
OUR REGION EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF
THE UPPER LEVEL JET MOVES INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. AT THE LOWER
LEVELS A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO LOUISIANA TONIGHT AND THEN
MOVE VERY SLOWLY SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL
PROVIDE A FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAIN. THE COLD
FRONT SHOULD MOVE OFF THE LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COAST BY
SATURDAY EVENING. FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS BETWEEN 3 TO 5 INCHES.
I COULD NOT RULE OUT THAT THERE COULD BE SOME ISOLATED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS IN THIS RANGE. SO HAVE HAVE PLACED LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE IN THE FORECAST AND HAVE HELD OFF ON ISSUING A FLOOD
WATCH AT THIS TIME TO SEE IF THIS SCENARIO UNFOLDS.

.LONG TERM...
AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE PLAINS MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE
GREAT LAKES ON TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...IT WILL WEAKEN AND THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW OVER THE GULF STATES WILL BECOME MORE WEST AND
EVENTUALLY NORTHWEST AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER TEXAS
AND LOUISIANA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SHOULD ALLOW A WARM...DRY
PERIOD OF WEATHER TO TAKE HOLD THIS WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS...MAINLY AFFECTING BTR AND MCB...WITH MSY
POSSIBLY AFFECTED BY 00Z. CONVECTION GENERALLY MOVING FROM 220
DEGREES AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW 15 KNOTS AND
THERE SHOULD BE A BREAK FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS BEFORE CONVECTION WITH
MAIN FRONT APPROACHES FROM NORTHWEST. CEILINGS SHOULD REMAIN IN
THE MVFR TO VFR RANGE FOR MOST OR ALL NIGHT. OUTSIDE OF
CONVECTION...ANTICIPATE SEVERAL HOURS OF MVFR VISIBILITIES AROUND
SUNRISE AS AIRMASS WILL BE MOIST AND WINDS RELATIVELY LIGHT WITH
FRONT IN THE AREA. 35

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS GENERALLY BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AT MID-AFTERNOON AND SEE
LITTLE INDICATION THAT GRADIENT WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY...SO
HAVE DROPPED SCA...BUT WILL CONTINUE EXERCISE CAUTION WITH WINDS 15
TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS WILL TAKE SEVERAL HOURS TO RELAX SLIGHTLY WITH
NEARSHORE 4 TO 5 FEET...AND OFFSHORE PROBABLY ABOUT 7 FEET. WHILE
THERE IS NO CONVECTION OFFSHORE AT PRESS TIME...SCATTERED CONVECTION
WILL MOVE INTO THE COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO
SATURDAY.  35

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  67  81  58  79 /  70  60   0  10
BTR  68  81  59  81 /  70  60  10  10
MSY  70  81  66  80 /  60  60  20  10
GPT  70  78  66  79 /  40  60  30  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 2, 4:40 PM CDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
440 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2008

GMZ530-550-555-570-575-LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-031100-
PASCAGOULA TO SW PASS MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
PASCAGOULA TO SW PASS MISSISSIPPI RIVER 20-60 NM OUT-
SW PASS MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM-
SW PASS MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO ATCHAFALAYA RIVER 20-60 NM OUT-AMITE-
ASCENSION-ASSUMPTION-EAST BATON ROUGE-EAST FELICIANA-HANCOCK-
HARRISON-IBERVILLE-JACKSON-LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS-
LIVINGSTON-LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-
LOWER ST BERNARD-LOWER TERREBONNE-ORLEANS-PEARL RIVER-PIKE-
POINTE COUPEE-ST CHARLES-ST HELENA-ST JAMES-ST JOHN THE BAPTIST-
ST TAMMANY-TANGIPAHOA-UPPER JEFFERSON-UPPER LAFOURCHE-
UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-WALTHALL-
WASHINGTON-WEST BATON ROUGE-WEST FELICIANA-WILKINSON-
440 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF
MEXICO...SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
MAINLY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND ACROSS EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA
AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA NORTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. THE PRIMARY
THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ISOLATED WEAK
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY
RAINFALL. FOR COASTAL SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL
MISSISSIPPI...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG INTENSITY THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS. WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND PEA TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL WILL BE THE GREATEST
THREAT FROM THE STRONGER STORMS ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND
BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

TIDES...
TIDES WILL BE ABOUT A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TONIGHT.

HYDROLOGY...
HIGH RIVER FLOWS AND FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI
AND ATCHAFALAYA RIVERS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD
WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR UPDATED INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY...ENDING
FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN NEXT
THURSDAY.

HYDROLOGY...
HIGH FLOWS AND RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI
AND ATCHAFALAYA RIVERS THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT BEING REQUESTED AT THIS TIME BUT MAY BE
NECESSARY TONIGHT OF SATURDAY. PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF SEVERE
WEATHER OR STORM DAMAGE PROMPTLY RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE IN SLIDELL.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 2, 4:11 PM CDT, 4 hours 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
411 PM CDT FRI MAY 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0353 PM     TORNADO          5 E LIVINGSTON          30.50N 90.66W
05/02/2008                   LIVINGSTON         LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BRIEF TORNADO WAS OBSERVED BY A MOTORIST ON INTERSTATE 10
            NEAR THE HOLDEN EXIT. REPORT RELAYED BY A BROADCAST
            METEOROLOGIST.

&&

Local storm report, May 2, 4:58 PM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
458 PM CDT FRI MAY 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     HAIL             5 W FOLSOM              30.63N 90.28W
05/02/2008  E0.25 INCH       TANGIPAHOA         LA   PUBLIC

            PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED NEAR THE TCHEFUNCTE RIVER GAUGE ON
            HIGHWAY 40. THIS LOCATION IS NEAR CRANKY CORNER.

&&

9/SO

Local storm report, May 2, 7:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
715 PM CDT FRI MAY 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             TICKFAW                 30.58N 90.49W
05/02/2008  E1.75 INCH       TANGIPAHOA         LA   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IN TICKFAW RELAYED TO NWS
            OFFICE BY BROADCAST MEDIA.

&&

9/SO

Local storm report, May 2, 7:31 PM CDT, 55 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
731 PM CDT FRI MAY 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     HAIL             TICKFAW                 30.58N 90.49W
05/02/2008  E1.75 INCH       TANGIPAHOA         LA   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL ON I-55 NEAR TICKFAW
            CALLED IN BY PARENTS OF NWS FORECASTER.

&&

9/SO

Local storm report, May 2, 7:46 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
746 PM CDT FRI MAY 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     FLASH FLOOD      INDEPENDENCE            30.64N 90.51W
05/02/2008                   TANGIPAHOA         LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY 40 NEAR INDEPENDENCE CLOSED DUE TO WATER COVERING
            THE ROADWAY.

&&

9/SO

The office that day

Everything else NWS New Orleans, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 2, 7:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Saint Tammany, Washington	44 min
May 2, 7:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Saint Tammany, Washington	51 min
May 2, 8:00 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LIX	Saint Tammany, Washington	3 hr
May 2, 8:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Saint Tammany, Washington	60 min
May 2, 9:38 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LIX	Saint Tammany	37 hr
May 2, 9:55 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LIX	Saint Tammany	12 hr
May 2, 10:45 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LIX	Saint Tammany	34 hr
May 2, 11:00 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LIX	Saint Tammany	45 hr
May 3, 4:08 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana	37 min
May 3, 4:42 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana	48 min
May 3, 4:54 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	LIX	East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Saint Helena, Washington	6 hr
May 3, 5:45 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	East Baton Rouge, Iberville, West Baton Rouge	45 min
May 3, 6:09 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LIX	Saint Tammany, Washington	6 hr
May 3, 6:43 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Saint Tammany, Washington	47 min
May 3, 7:04 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa	41 min
May 3, 7:12 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	LIX		93 min
May 3, 8:52 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	LIX		83 min
May 3, 9:14 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	LIX	Lafourche	31 min
May 3, 9:39 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LIX	Tangipahoa	49 hr
May 3, 12:00 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LIX	Saint Tammany	60 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2008 Every flash flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.