Severe Thunderstorm Warning 133, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1009 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2008

.UPDATE...

CONVECTION BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA AS WELL AS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. CUMULUS FIELD
EXPANDING AND DEEPENING ELSEWHERE. 12Z KLCH SOUNDING SHOWS A VERY
UNSTABLE PROFILE WITH 500 MB TEMP RATHER COLD FOR SUMMER AT
-10C...SO WILL LIKELY SEE A FEW STORMS REACH NEAR SEVERE LEVELS
AGAIN TODAY. ONGOING FORECAST LOOKS GOOD WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS AND
ONLY CHANGE IS TO NUDGE UP HIGH TEMPS IN NORTHERN ZONES A DEGREE.
UPDATE OUT SHORTLY.

&&

SHAMBURGER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 451 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2008/

SHORT/LONG TERM...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA
THIS AM DRIFTING NORTH. HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE
APPALACHIANS AND RIDGES DOWN INTO REGION ALLOWING FOR A WEAK
SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO THE REGION.

LATEST SOUNDING HAS PRECIP WATER AROUND 1.70 INCHES AND EXPECTED
AFTN CAPES AROUND 3500 J/KG. THIS COMBINED WITH A WEAKNESS ALOFT
OVER THE REGION AND A SOUTHERLY FETCH OFF THE GULF WILL ALLOW FOR
THE FORMATION OF THE C-BRZ AS THE DAYTIME HEATING KICKS IN. HEAT
INDEX INTO THE UPPER 90S BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. IN SHORT...TYPICAL SE TX/SW LA SUMMER
DAY WITH A BIT MORE IN THE WAY OF SHOWERS. BUT THEY ARE NEEDED AS
THINGS HAVE DRIED OUT A BIT OVER THE LAST TWO MONTHS.

THEREFORE PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND
TEMPS AROUND 90 MOST LCTNS TODAY.

ACTIVITY LOOKS TO END DURING THE EVENING HOURS AND REFORMING
OFFSHORE ALONG THE LAND-BREEZE. TEMPS FALLING BACK INTO THE LWR
70S BY SUNRISE WITH A BIT OF FOG.

TMRW LOOKS TO BE A REPEAT OF TODAY. BUT IT IS SUMMER AND ONCE A
PATTERN SETS IN IT TAKES AWHILE TO TRANSITION TO ANOTHER PATTERN.

AFTN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE WEEKEND BEFORE TAPERING
OFF ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

AVIATION...
A FEW STORMS AROUND ARA/LFT MOVING SLOWLY NE. OTHERWISE A BIT OF
GROUND FOG THRU SUNRISE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  90  73  90  73 /  50  30  50  30
KBPT  91  75  90  74 /  50  30  50  30
KAEX  92  71  91  70 /  50  30  50  30
KLFT  91  73  91  73 /  50  30  50  30

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
430 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2008

GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-
201-215-216-260930-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
430 AM CDT WED JUN 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TAP TODAY AS THE COMBINATION OF
A WEAKNESS ALOFT...GULF MOISTURE....SEA BREEZE...STORMS AND
DAYTIME HEATING WILL ALLOW SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
TODAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT A STORM OR TWO MAY BECOME
SEVERE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

OTHERWISE...HEAT INDEX INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S TODAY BEFORE
CLOUDS AND RAINS COOL THE REGION LATE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
SHOWERS ND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND BEFORE
TAPERING OFF A BIT. AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX TO RUN INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 90S.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

K. KUYPER

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
113 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2008

TXZ201-215-216-251915-
HARDIN TX-JEFFERSON TX-ORANGE TX-
113 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR HARDIN...JEFFERSON AND ORANGE
COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM CDT...

AT 110 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS INDICATED BY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7
MILES NORTH OF SOUR LAKE TO BEAUMONT AND BRIDGE CITY...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 7 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE VIDOR...WEST
ORANGE...PINE FOREST...ORANGE...AND LUMBERTON.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND
BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
118 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2008

LAZ030-031-041-042-251845-
ALLEN LA-BEAUREGARD LA-JEFFERSON DAVIS LA-CALCASIEU LA-
118 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR ALLEN...BEAUREGARD...JEFFERSON DAVIS
AND CALCASIEU PARISHES UNTIL 145 PM CDT...

AT 112 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS INDICATED BY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 2
MILES WEST OF MITTIE TO 7 MILES EAST OF MOSS BLUFF...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 10 MPH.

* STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LEBLANC BY 125 PM CDT
  FENTON BY 130 PM CDT
  ELIZABETH BY 140 PM CDT
  KINDER...OBERLIN...OAKDALE AND ELTON BY 145 PM CDT

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND
BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
119 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S BEAUMONT            30.06N 94.14W
06/25/2008                   JEFFERSON          TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN NEAR LAMAR UNIVERSITY. REPORTED BY
            SPOUSE OF NWS EMPLOYEE.

&&

SHAMBURGER