Wind Advisory 10, NWS Jackson, KY

Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY

000 
WWUS73 KJKL 111549
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1149 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM ILLINOIS TO OHIO
TODAY...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA. STRONG
WIND GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED AS THIS WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-120000-
/O.CON.KJKL.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-080512T0000Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
1149 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO OHIO THIS AFTERNOON...
AS A STRONG COLD FRONT EXITS THE AREA. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE CLOSER TO THE
WEST VIRGINIA AND TENNESSEE LINE. IN ADDITION...OUTSIDE OF ANY
THUNDERSTORMS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO AROUND 45 MPH
AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHEST TERRAIN NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER. WINDS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE MAY BRING DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS...AND CAUSE DIFFICULT
DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. THE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG
CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. RESIDENTS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY SHOULD
TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO SECURE OUTDOOR OBJECTS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY.

$$

JP

000 
WWUS73 KJKL 111936
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
336 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...BRINGING PERSISTENT AND VERY GUSTY WINDS
TO EASTERN KENTUCKY. A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND A DEPARTING
COLD FRONT WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE STRONG WINDS THROUGH MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-120345-
/O.EXT.KJKL.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-080512T0400Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
336 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. 

A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT
LAKES THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT EXITS THE
AREA. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO AROUND 45 MPH AT TIMES
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH POSSIBLE IN
THE HIGHEST TERRAIN NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR
WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG
MAY BRING DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS...AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.
RESIDENTS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY SHOULD TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO SECURE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND
TELEVISION MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE
INFORMATION...VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY.

$$

JP/AR

000 
WWUS73 KJKL 120327
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1127 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-120430-
/O.CAN.KJKL.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-080512T0400Z/
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
1127 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY.

AS THE PARENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN CENTRAL OHIO CONTINUES TO MOVE
EAST OVERNIGHT...THE WIND FIELD WILL RELAX AND WINDS WILL SLOWLY
DIMINISH ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL REMAIN
GUSTY...THE WINDS WILL NOT MEET THE CRITERIA FOR AN ADVISORY.
THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

JP/AR/DUSTY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
300 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008

.SHORT TERM.../TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...UPDATED

A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM IS LOOKING RATHER IMPRESSIVE ON THE SURFACE
CHART. AT 06Z...A STRONG 991 MB LOW WAS OVER WESTERN ILLINOIS...WITH
A COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTH INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY TO MISSISSIPPI. THE
CONVECTION OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT HAS LOST MUCH OF ITS LIGHTNING OVER
KENTUCKY...WITH THE CONVECTION OVER TENNESSEE AND POINTS SOUTH THE
MOST IMPRESSIVE. EXPECTING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO
CONTINUE TO WORK EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. SHOWERS WERE
ALREADY IN THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR CWA. AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST
TODAY WE SHOULD SEE REDEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING INTO
THE AFTERNOON. WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL TODAY...WITH CAPES RANGING FROM NEAR 1000 TO 2000
J/KG...AND LI/S -2 TO -4 AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. A DRY SLOT
BETWEEN THE PREFRONTAL PRECIP AND THE FRONT ITSELF SHOULD HELP THE
ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZE AS WELL. WILL MENTION A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN THE FORECAST AND IN THE HWO. WITH GOOD SPEED
AND DIRECTIONAL SHEAR...AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS
WELL. EVEN OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS...EXPECTING OCCASIONAL WIND
GUSTS TO 45 MPH OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WITH STRONG WINDS JUST ABOVE
THE SURFACE. WITH THIS IN MIND...WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR OUR
AREA RUNNING FROM 10 AM THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING. WILL STILL SEE
SOME DECENT GUSTS IN THE HIGHEST TERRAIN THIS EVENING IN THE
EAST...BUT THESE SHOULD BE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA WIND SPEEDS. H5
LOW WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA
LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND WILL GO WITH CATEGORICAL POPS FOR
SHOWERS. THE LOW WILL SLOWLY EXIT MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING...WITH
POPS GRADUALLY TAPERING DOWN DURING THIS PERIOD. TUESDAY SHOULD BE
DRY AND MOSTLY SUNNY WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN.

.LONG TERM.../TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...UPDATED

STILL SOME DISAGREEMENT IN THE MODELS LATER IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
IN GENERAL...FOLLOWED A LITTLE CLOSER TO THE ECMWF...WHICH WAS ALSO
CLOSER TO THE EARLIER HPC MANUAL PROGS. EXPECTING A COLD FRONT TO
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...AND HAVE INCREASED POPS TO
LIKELY FOR THIS PERIOD. THE FRONT SHOULD BE MOVING JUST EAST OF THE
AREA LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...AS A WAVE DEVELOPS ALONG
IT. WILL TAPER POPS DOWN TO THE CHANCE RANGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM CLOSE BY. WILL NOT MENTION OF THUNDER
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...AS WE SHOULD BE ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM AND SLOW MOVING FRONTAL WAVES. WILL KEEP THE
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST HOWEVER. PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY
STILL EXISTS WITH EXACT POSITION OF THE FRONT AND WAVES.

&&

.AVIATION.../06Z TO 06Z/

CONDITIONS SHOULD BE ON THE WAY DOWNHILL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS
AS LOWER CIGS MOVE INTO THE CWA OUT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...
ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND A POSSIBLE EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM. EXPECT
CIGS AND VIS TO BECOME MVFR BY 12Z WITH THESE SHOWERS TAPERING TO
MORE SCATTERED. DURING THE DAY...CIGS SHOULD HOVER IN THE 2 TO 3K
FEET RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL VIS DROPS TO IFR POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER
SHOWERS OR ANT DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS FOUND RIGHT ALONG THE COLD
FRONT IN THE AFTERNOON. CIGS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL LATER TONIGHT IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS CONTINUING.
WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE QUITE ACTIVE. THEY WILL BE INITIALLY
LIGHT AT THE SFC FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH HIGHER VALUES FROM THE
SOUTHWEST ALOFT LEADING TO WIND SHEAR. EXPECT THESE HIGHER WINDS TO
TRANSLATE TO THE SFC FOLLOWING SUNRISE WITH GUSTS TO 30 KTS POSSIBLE
FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE WINDS SHOULD SETTLE DOWN LATER THIS EVENING
...BUT WILL STILL BE BRISK FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST DUE TO A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.

&&

SHORT TERM...WJM
LONG TERM...WJM
AVIATION...GREIF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
357 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2008

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-112300-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
357 PM EDT SAT MAY 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TOWARDS DAWN AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE HIGHLY LIKELY SUNDAY MORNING. A FEW STORMS COULD BE
SEVERE...WITH DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS THE PRIMARY THREATS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON SUNDAY.

AR