Tornado Warning 299, NWS Jackson, MS

000 
WWUS54 KJAN 100324
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
924 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2008

MSC025-087-105-100334-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0299.000000T0000Z-081210T0345Z/
CLAY MS-LOWNDES MS-OKTIBBEHA MS-
924 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2008

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN OKTIBBEHA...NORTHERN LOWNDES
AND SOUTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE TORNADO WARNING HAS WEAKENED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3360 8826 3341 8867 3361 8888 3372 8871
      3369 8871 3369 8849 3367 8848 3367 8847
      3370 8837 3373 8833 3375 8831 3374 8824
TIME...MOT...LOC 0324Z 235DEG 50KT 3384 8829

$$

GARRETT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
530 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2008

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY SEVERE WEATHER ONGOING THIS
AFTERNOON AS A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CWFA LATER TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT
WAS ANALYZED PUSHING THROUGH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND INTO NORTHWEST
LOUISIANA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE FRONT THE BAND OF
THUNDERSTORMS WORKING OFF A FAVORABLY SHEARED WARM MOIST AND
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. GREATEST FORCING TONIGHT IS STILL EXPECTED IN
THE NORTH BUT LOWER 60 DEW POINTS HAVE HAD A HARD TIME MAKING IT UP
TO HIGHWAY 82. GREATEST MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IS STILL EXPECTED
OVER THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA. STRONG GRADIENT WINDS
AHEAD OF AND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT SHOULD MEET LOCAL LAKE WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA TONIGHT AND THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN
EXTENDED. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES AND TRAINING OF THE STORMS
WITHIN THE LINE HAS LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING IN THE WEST...A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CWFA TONIGHT.
RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES PER HOUR HAVE BEEN OBSERVED.
WIDESPREAD TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER
MOST OF THE AREA. JUDGING FROM LATEST MSAS ANALYSIS...THE GFS IS A
LITTLE TOO FAST WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT THROUGH OUR CWFA
TONIGHT BUT THE COLD FRONT SHOULD BE MOVING INTO OUR SOUTHEAST
COUNTIES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH THE COLD FRONT WILL BE
SOUTHEAST OF OUR AREA WEDNESDAY MORNINGS MODELS STILL SHOW THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SECOND SURFACE LOW ALONG THE COLD FRONT TO OUR
SOUTHEAST. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO DIGGING UPPER TROUGH AND FORMING
CLOSED LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY. THERE IS STILL
CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCE IN THE MODELS WITH THE TRACK OF THIS LOW AND
WITH THE ASSOCIATED CHANCES OF SNOW FOR THE REGION. THE ECWMF IS
FARTHEST NORTH AND FARTHER EAST WITH THE LOW COMPARED WITH THE NAM
AND GFS. THE ACTUAL TRACK OF THE LOW WILL DETERMINE ANY
TROWAL...DEFORMATION...BANDED SNOW AXIS. SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. WL
NOT MAKE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST AND KEEP MENTION
OF SNOW MIXING IN AND/OR CHANGING OVER BEFORE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION ENDS THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO RAIN/SNOW CHANCES...A
COLD AND WINDY DAY LOOKS ON TAP FOR THURSDAY AS HIGHS STRUGGLE TO
CLIMB OUT OF THE 30S.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...THE MDLS GET INTO
DECENT AGREEMENT HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND BUT BY NEXT WEEK THEY
REALLY START TO DIVERGE.

PRECIP SHOULD COME TO AN END THU EVENING/OVERNIGHT AND SKIES WILL
START TO CLEAR OUT. TEMPS ARE A DIFFICULT PROPOSITION RIGHT NOW B/C
A LOT WILL DEPEND IF WE HAVE SNOW ON THE GROUND. IF THERE IS THEN
LOWS FRI MORNING WILL BE COLDER THAN EXPECTED. DUE TO THE
UNCERTAINTY I WILL JUST STICK WITH THE MEX GUI FOR NOW. HIGHS WILL
ALSO BE BELOW NORMAL WITH SOME LOCATIONS POSSIBLY QUITE COOL IF(BIG
IF THERE) IS SNOW ON THE GROUND.

THIS WEEKEND AND HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK THE PATTERN WILL FINALLY
CHANGE AND TEMPS WILL MODERATE WITH RAIN CHANCE INCREASING NEXT
WEEK. I HAVE JUST STUCK WITH THE MEX FOR THIS PERIOD FOR BOTH TEMPS
AND POPS. /CAB/

&&

.AVIATION...WINDY AND RAINY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION.
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 KTS IN MOST LOCATIONS WITH
GUSTS TO 30KTS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTS TO 50KTS. MOST OF
THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND
WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT GLH/TVR/HEZ THROUGH AT LEAST 00Z. AN AREA OF
RAIN HAS MOVED INTO HBG AND WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE. THERE MAY
BE OCCASIONAL DOWNPOURS THAT WILL BRIEFLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO
LIFR CONDITIONS. THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH INTO MEI
THROUGH THE SAME TIME PERIOD. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE MOVING
INTO JAN/GWO BY 00Z ALSO. GTR WILL NOT SEE TOO MANY IMPACTS UNTIL
AFTER 00Z...WHEN LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOULD DEVELOP OVER THE AREA.
AFTER 01Z...THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD SHIFT EAST. THERE MAY
BE A FEW STORMS LINGERING AROUND GLH...BUT MOST OF THE IMPACTS WILL
BE AT GWO/JAN UNTIL ABOUT 4-5Z. THE ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT TO
GTR/MEI/HBG AFTER 4Z AND CONTINUE THROUGH 8 OR 9Z. MVFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION...WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF LIFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH 18Z. THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE AREA
FROM 12-18Z WEDNESDAY. /07/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       47  49  34  41 / 100  73  94  70
MERIDIAN      51  54  37  42 / 100  79  94  79
VICKSBURG     45  46  34  42 /  94  72  91  57
HATTIESBURG   53  55  38  42 /  99  94  85  50
NATCHEZ       45  47  34  42 /  98  90  97  53
GREENVILLE    41  45  33  46 /  84  45  71  45
GREENWOOD     43  45  33  45 /  94  43  73  63

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR MSZ026>033-
     036>039-042>066-072>074.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MSZ028>033-037>039-
     043>046-048>066-072>074.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR MSZ018-019-025-
     034-035-040-041.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR MSZ018-019-025-
     034-035-040-041.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR LAZ024-026.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023>026.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023>026.

AR...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR ARZ074-075.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

SHORT TERM: 22
LONG TERM: CAB
AVIATION: 07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
838 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2008

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-
041-110245-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
838 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 MPH. THE
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING
HAZARDOUS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES DRIVING ALONG EAST TO WEST
ORIENTED HIGHWAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...IS NOT EXPECTED AFTER TONIGHT.

MSZ026>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-110245-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-
COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-
LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-
FORREST-
838 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES THIS EVENING.
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
A SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE TO SWEEP ACROSS CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
TONIGHT AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THE GREATEST RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT
DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES WILL REMAIN FROM ABOUT UNTIL 3
AM BEFORE THE LINE SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WITH RATES NEAR TWO INCHES PER HOUR MAY
CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND A WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

IN ADDITION...A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WINDS OF 10
TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 MPH. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...IS NOT EXPECTED AFTER TONIGHT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

22

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
644 PM CST TUE DEC 09 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0517 PM     TORNADO          COXBURG                 33.00N 90.21W
12/09/2008                   HOLMES             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN AND A HOUSE DAMAGED IN COXBURG.

&&

JFAIRLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
705 PM CST TUE DEC 09 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TORNADO          3 ESE COXBURG           32.98N 90.16W
12/09/2008                   HOLMES             MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. HOUSES AND A CHURCH DAMAGED.

&&

JFAIRLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
716 PM CST TUE DEC 09 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NW YOKENA             32.24N 91.01W
12/09/2008                   WARREN             MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN. DAMAGE TO VEHICLES WITH BROKEN WINDOWS AND
            BRANCHES IN THEM. BRIEF FUNNEL CLOUD ALSO WAS REPORTED.

&&

JFAIRLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
727 PM CST TUE DEC 09 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S YAZOO CITY          32.83N 90.41W
12/09/2008  E60.00 MPH       YAZOO              MS   STORM CHASER

            POWER LINES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

0635 PM     TSTM WND GST     WEST                    33.20N 89.78W
12/09/2008  E60.00 MPH       HOLMES             MS   PUBLIC

0645 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KILMICHAEL              33.44N 89.57W
12/09/2008                   MONTGOMERY         MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN. HOUSE DAMAGED.

0720 PM     HAIL             VICKSBURG               32.33N 90.87W
12/09/2008  E1.00 INCH       WARREN             MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL TO QUARTER HAIL IN VICKSBURG.

&&

JFAIRLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
829 PM CST TUE DEC 09 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     TORNADO          1 N HAMBURG             31.59N 91.07W
12/09/2008                   FRANKLIN           MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN. TREES DOWN AND ONE HOME
            DESTROYED

&&

JFAIRLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
831 PM CST TUE DEC 09 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     HAIL             4 SE MIZE               31.83N 89.51W
12/09/2008  E0.75 INCH       SMITH              MS   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED BETWEEN MIZE AND TAYLORSVILLE.

&&

JFAIRLY