Severe Thunderstorm Warning 297, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
919 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2008

.UPDATE...DID A QUICK UPDATE FOR THE EXPIRED WIND/LAKE WIND ADVISORY.
WILL HOLD OFF ANY UPDATES AT THIS TIME. POPS AND TEMPS WERE GOOD.
WILL TWEAK HOURLY VALUES. OTHERWISE THE FORECAST WAS OK FOR NOW.
&&

.AVIATION...
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT GLH/GWO THROUGH AT LEAST MIDNIGHT.
GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL WILL BE LIKELY AT BOTH SITES.
BETWEEN 3Z AND 6Z. THE STORMS WERE JUST WEST OF GLH AND WERE
GRADUALLY MOVING EAST. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE INTO
HBG BEFORE MIDNIGHT ALSO. THERE WERE A FEW STORMS SOUTHWEST OF THE
AREA...DRIFTING NORTHEAST. FOR ALL OTHER SITES...RAIN SHOULD HOLD OFF
UNTIL AROUND 6Z OR SHORTLY AFTER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       64  79  52  77 /  94  42   0   0
MERIDIAN      64  78  50  78 /  83  57   3   0
VICKSBURG     62  78  53  79 /  89  34   0   0
HATTIESBURG   66  79  55  82 /  62  73  14   0
NATCHEZ       66  77  55  77 /  96  34   0   0
GREENVILLE    56  73  50  75 /  88  17   0   0
GREENWOOD     62  76  51  75 /  93  24   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR MSZ040>066-072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR LAZ009-016-023>026.

AR...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
400 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2008

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
031145-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
400 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
INTO EARLY SATURDAY...

NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS
NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM
WINNSBORO...TO CANTON...TO EUPORA. TORNADOES...A FEW OF WHICH COULD
BE STRONG...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 70 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS.

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE AREA TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
GOLFBALLS...DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH...AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF
WESTERN MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY THROUGH SUNSET AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA.

THE MORE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS A BAND OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY EXTENDING ACROSS EASTERN ARKANSAS
TOWARD THE ARKLATEX REGION SHIFTS EAST AND SOUTHEAST INTO NORTHWEST
SECTIONS OF THE AREA AFTER 6 PM. NUMEROUS TORNADOES HAVE BEEN
REPORTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY...AND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
QUITE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT OVER NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONALLY...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS COULD
OCCUR WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS.

THE ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REST
OF MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WHILE CONDITIONS WILL
NOT BE QUITE AS FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE WEATHER AS IN AREAS FARTHER
NORTHWEST...THEY WILL STILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE STORMS. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

THE ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION BY MID TO LATE
MORNING SATURDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN. ANY THUNDERSTORM WILL HAVE THE CAPACITY TO
PRODUCE ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN ABOUT AN HOURS TIME TONIGHT. OF
THE GREATEST CONCERN WILL BE THAT AS THE COMPLEX OF STORMS SAGS
SOUTH TONIGHT IT MAY BECOME SLOW MOVING FOR SEVERAL HOURS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR...AND THIS COULD RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

OTHERWISE...THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS WILL BE NEEDED TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

08

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
830 PM CDT FRI MAY 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0826 PM     TORNADO          7 W CLEVELAND           33.74N 90.85W
05/02/2008                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EM SPOTTERS TRACKING TORNADO ON THE GROUND.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
833 PM CDT FRI MAY 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BASTROP                 32.77N 91.91W
05/02/2008                   MOREHOUSE          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ON NORTHWEST CITY LIMITS

&&

BURSE

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