Severe Thunderstorm Warning 109, NWS Jackson, MS

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
233 PM CST THU FEB 21 2008

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
222045-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-
LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-
CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
233 PM CST THU FEB 21 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY

THERE IS A RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL FOR THE
ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND LASTING INTO EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. THE GREATEST RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR.

AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES...IT WILL HELP DEVELOP
A SURFACE LOW ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS. AS THIS LOW BEGINS TO MOVE
NORTHEAST THROUGH NORTHERN LOUISIANA IT WILL CAUSE A WARM FRONT
TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE DAY...APPROACHING THE I 20 CORRIDOR
SOMETIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTH OF THIS FRONT...AFTERNOON HEATING
WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING
DAMAGING WINDS...POSSIBLE TORNADOES...AND LARGE HAIL. THIS AFTERNOON
THE MAIN AREA WILL BE NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.
THIS RISK WILL EXPAND EAST AND NORTH TOWARDS I 20 LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND MORE SO THIS EVENING. FARTHER NORTH...LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
UP TO THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR...BUT COOLER AIR NEAR THE GROUND WILL
GREATLY LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS.

AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES BACK THROUGH THE AREA SEVERE STORMS WILL
BEGIN TO COME TO AN END FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST BEGINNING AROUND
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND LEAVING THE SOUTHEAST BY FRIDAY MORNING.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING COULD
ALSO BE A CONCERN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO AND A HALF INCHES HAS
FALLEN ACROSS THE REGION. AN ADDITIONAL TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN
CAN BE EXPECTED...WHICH WILL GIVE A SUM TOTAL OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES
WITH ISOLATED SIX INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. PROLONGED PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. SOME
OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE AROUND THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
SUCH HEAVY RAIN COULD LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

14

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