River Flood Warning 113, NWS Northern Indiana

000 
WGUS83 KIWX 280354
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1054 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT THREE RIVERS AFFECTING ELKHART...
  BRANCH AND ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND AFFECTING ELKHART...ST. 
  JOSEPH AND BERRIEN COUNTIES 
 
.THE COMBINATION OF RECENT RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED 
TONIGHT...AND EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM FROZEN SOILS AND SNOW MELT WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO MINOR RIVER FLOODING.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN STANDARD TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE 
UPDATED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS... SOONER IF NECESSARY.

INC039-MIC023-149-290354-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0112.081231T1200Z-090102T0600Z/
/TRVM4.1.ER.081231T1200Z.081231T1200Z.090101T0600Z.NO/
1054 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT THREE RIVERS 
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND  7 AM 
  WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 31.
* AT 7.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF THE SCIDMORE PARK PICNIC 
  FACILITIES IN THREE RIVERS.

$$

INC039-141-MIC021-290354-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0113.081230T0000Z-081231T0600Z/
/SBNI3.1.ER.081230T0000Z.081230T0000Z.081230T0600Z.NO/
1054 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND 
* FROM MONDAY EVENING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT 6 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND  7 PM 
  MONDAY DECEMBER 29.
* AT 5.5 FEET...RIVER REACHES FLOOD STAGE...WITH THE LOWEST 
  RESIDENTIAL AREAS BEGINNING TO FLOOD.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KIWX 281631
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT THREE RIVERS AFFECTING ELKHART...
  BRANCH AND ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  EEL RIVER AT NORTH MANCHESTER AFFECTING CASS...MIAMI AND WABASH 
  COUNTIES 
  YELLOW RIVER AT PLYMOUTH AFFECTING MARSHALL...STARKE AND ST. JOSEPH 
  COUNTIES 
  YELLOW RIVER AT KNOX AFFECTING MARSHALL...STARKE AND ST. JOSEPH 
  COUNTIES 
  MAUMEE RIVER AT FORT WAYNE AFFECTING ALLEN AND PAULDING COUNTIES 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO BELOW MONTPELIER AFFECTING WILLIAMS COUNTY 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE AFFECTING ALLEN...DE KALB AND
  DEFIANCE COUNTIES 
  SAINT MARYS RIVER NEAR DECATUR AFFECTING ADAMS...ALLEN AND VAN WERT 
  COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND AFFECTING ELKHART...ST. 
  JOSEPH AND BERRIEN COUNTIES 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS... 

  KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30 AFFECTING LA PORTE...STARKE AND 
  ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES 
  TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER AFFECTING DEFIANCE...FULTON AND WILLIAMS
  COUNTIES 
 
.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL COMBINED WITH SNOW MELT AND RUNOFF HAS OR WILL 
LEAD TO FLOODING ACROSS MANY RIVERS IN THE FORECAST AREA. AT THIS 
TIME...THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT THREE RIVERS WILL CONTINUE 
TO RISE BUT WILL CREST CLOSE TO OR UNDER MINOR FLOOD STAGE. 

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN STANDARD TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE 
UPDATED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS... SOONER IF NECESSARY.

INC091-141-149-291631-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DAVI3.2.ER.081227T2030Z.081229T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.9 FEET AROUND  1 
  PM MONDAY DECEMBER 29 AND BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...EXTENSIVE AGRICULTURAL FLOODING IS IN PROGRESS.

$$

INC017-103-169-291630-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-081229T2200Z/
/NMCI3.3.ER.081228T0755Z.081228T1100Z.081228T2200Z.NR/
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE EEL RIVER AT NORTH MANCHESTER 
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 9.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  5 PM SUNDAY DECEMBER 28.
* AT 9.0 FEET...WHICH IS THE FLOOD STAGE...MINOR AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING OCCURS.

$$

INC099-141-149-291630-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-090101T0200Z/
/PYMI3.1.ER.081230T0000Z.081230T0600Z.081231T0200Z.NO/
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE YELLOW RIVER AT PLYMOUTH 
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EVENING  
  AND CREST NEAR 13.2 FEET AROUND  1 AM TUESDAY DECEMBER 30 AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  9 PM TUESDAY DECEMBER 30.
* AT 13.0 FEET...THE RIGHT BANK OF THE YELLOW RIVER OVERFLOWS WITH 
  SOME CITY STREETS...LOW LYING COUNTY ROADS AND BACKYARDS ALONG 
  LAPORTE STREET IN PLYMOUTH FLOOD.  LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS 
  FLOOD AS WELL.

$$

INC099-141-149-291630-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0111.081231T0600Z-090102T1200Z/
/KNXI3.1.ER.081231T0600Z.081231T1800Z.090101T1200Z.NO/
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE YELLOW RIVER AT KNOX 
* FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT TO FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.2 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE VERY EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 10.2 FEET AROUND  1 PM WEDNESDAY 
  DECEMBER 31 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  7 AM THURSDAY 
  JANUARY  1.
* AT 10.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND AND WYTHOGAN CITY PARK BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

$$

INC003-OHC125-291630-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0115.081228T1711Z-081230T1400Z/
/FTWI3.1.ER.081228T1711Z.081229T0000Z.081229T1400Z.NO/
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE MAUMEE RIVER AT FORT WAYNE 
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON 
  AND CREST NEAR 17.5 FEET AROUND  7 PM SUNDAY DECEMBER 28 AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  9 AM MONDAY DECEMBER 29.
* AT 18.0 FEET...THE LOWEST UNPROTECTED CITY STREETS BEGIN TO FLOOD. 
  A FEW RESIDENTS OF RIVER HAVEN ARE AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.

$$

OHC039-069-291630-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-081230T1500Z/
/DEFO1.1.ER.081228T1304Z.081229T0000Z.081229T1500Z.NO/
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE 
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING AND
  CREST NEAR 11.0 FEET AROUND  7 PM SUNDAY DECEMBER 28 AND FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10 AM MONDAY DECEMBER 29.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS KINGSBERRY AND PONTIAC PARKS.

$$

OHC171-291630-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0117.081229T1100Z-090101T1900Z/
/MONO1.1.ER.081229T1100Z.081230T1200Z.081231T1900Z.NO/
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO BELOW MONTPELIER 
* FROM MONDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET AND UNKNOWN.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING  
  AND CREST NEAR 12.8 FEET AROUND  1 PM TUESDAY DECEMBER 30 AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  2 PM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 31.
* AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY ROAD K, ONE MILE SOUTHWEST OF MONTPELIER 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD. SOME FLOODING BEGINS TO AFFECT THE VILLAGE OF 
  PIONEER. SIGNIFICANT LOW LAND AND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS NEAR
  THE RIVER.

$$

INC003-033-OHC039-291630-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NVLI3.1.ER.081228T1549Z.081231T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING AND
  CREST NEAR 12.9 FEET AROUND  7 AM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 31. ADDITIONAL
  RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 12.0 FEET...DEKALB COUNTY ROAD 42 ABOUT 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF 
  NEWVILLE FLOODS. AGRICULTURAL AND LOW LANDS FLOOD ALONG THE ST. 
  JOSEPH RIVER TO THE CEDARVILLE RESERVOIR.

$$

INC001-003-OHC161-291630-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0119.081228T1622Z-081230T0400Z/
/DCRI3.1.ER.081228T1235Z.081228T1800Z.081229T0400Z.NO/
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT MARYS RIVER NEAR DECATUR 
* FROM THIS MORNING TO MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 17.6 FEET AROUND  1 
  PM SUNDAY DECEMBER 28 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 11 PM 
  SUNDAY DECEMBER 28.
* AT 17.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 225 NORTH OF PLEASANT MILLS IS FLOODED 
  BUT PASSABLE. AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING INCREASES IN NORTHERN...
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN ADAMS COUNTY.

$$

OHC039-051-171-291630-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STRO1.1.ER.081228T0510Z.081231T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 13.4 FEET AROUND  1 
  AM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 31 AND BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT SOME FARM BUILDINGS 
  NEAR STRYKER AND FLOOD SOME SECONDARY ROADS.

$$

INC039-MIC023-149-281701-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-090102T0600Z/
/TRVM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT THREE RIVERS
* AT 5 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 5.6 FEET VERY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING.
* AT 7.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR FLOODING OF THE SCIDMORE PARK PICNIC 
  FACILITIES IN THREE RIVERS.

$$

INC039-141-MIC021-291630-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0113.081228T1622Z-090101T1800Z/
/SBNI3.1.ER.081228T0852Z.081229T1200Z.081231T1800Z.NO/
1131 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND 
* FROM THIS MORNING TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 6.4 FEET AROUND  7 
  AM MONDAY DECEMBER 29 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  1 PM 
  WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 31.
* AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING IS CONFINED MOSTLY TO PARK LANDS AND GOLF 
  COURSES. NORTHSHORE DRIVE...LEEPER PARK AND PETRO GOLF COURSES 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KIWX 290428
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1128 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS... 

  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND AFFECTING ELKHART...ST. 
  JOSEPH AND BERRIEN COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT NILES AFFECTING ELKHART...ST. 
  JOSEPH AND BERRIEN COUNTIES 
 
.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL AND SNOW MELT WILL LEAD TO MINOR RIVER
FLOODING.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN STANDARD TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE 
UPDATED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS... SOONER IF NECESSARY.

INC039-141-MIC021-300428-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-090101T1800Z/
/SBNI3.1.ER.081228T0852Z.081229T1200Z.081231T1800Z.NO/
1128 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 6.4 FEET AROUND  7 
  AM MONDAY DECEMBER 29 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  1 PM 
  WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 31.
* AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING IS CONFINED MOSTLY TO PARK LANDS AND GOLF 
  COURSES. NORTHSHORE DRIVE...LEEPER PARK AND PETRO GOLF COURSES 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.


$$

INC039-141-MIC021-300427-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0121.081229T0600Z-081231T1200Z/
/NILM4.1.ER.081229T0600Z.081229T1200Z.081230T1200Z.NO/
1128 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT NILES
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE VERY EARLY MONDAY 
  MORNING  AND CREST NEAR 11.1 FEET AROUND  7 AM MONDAY DECEMBER 29 
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  7 AM TUESDAY DECEMBER 30.
* AT 11.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE 
  RIVER, ISLAND PARK, AND BASEMENT FLOODING OF RESIDENCES ALONG RIVER
  AND MAIRMONT STREETS IN NILES CAN BE EXPECTED.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KIWX 291613
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1113 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND AFFECTING ELKHART...ST. 
  JOSEPH AND BERRIEN COUNTIES 
 
.RECENT RAINFALL AND MELTING SNOW HAS LED TO MINOR RIVER FLOODING ALONG
THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN STANDARD TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE 
UPDATED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS... SOONER IF NECESSARY.

INC039-141-MIC021-301613-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-081231T1500Z/
/SBNI3.1.ER.081228T0852Z.081229T1800Z.081230T1500Z.NO/
1113 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND 
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 6.3 FEET AROUND  1 
  PM MONDAY DECEMBER 29 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10 AM 
  TUESDAY DECEMBER 30.
* AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING IS CONFINED MOSTLY TO PARK LANDS AND GOLF 
  COURSES. NORTHSHORE DRIVE...LEEPER PARK AND PETRO GOLF COURSES 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KIWX 292146
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
446 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND AFFECTING ELKHART...ST. 
  JOSEPH AND BERRIEN COUNTIES 
 
.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL AND SNOW MELT HAS LED TO MINOR RIVER 
FLOODING...WITH WATER LEVELS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN STANDARD TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE 
UPDATED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS... SOONER IF NECESSARY.

INC039-141-MIC021-302146-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-081231T0900Z/
/SBNI3.1.ER.081228T0852Z.081229T1200Z.081230T0900Z.NO/
446 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND 
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 5.5 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  4 AM TUESDAY DECEMBER 30.
* AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING IS CONFINED MOSTLY TO PARK LANDS AND GOLF 
  COURSES. NORTHSHORE DRIVE...LEEPER PARK AND PETRO GOLF COURSES 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KIWX 300226
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
926 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  TIPPECANOE RIVER NEAR ORA AFFECTING FULTON...KOSCIUSKO...MARSHALL...
  PULASKI AND STARKE COUNTIES 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO BELOW MONTPELIER AFFECTING WILLIAMS COUNTY 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE AFFECTING ALLEN...DE KALB AND
  DEFIANCE COUNTIES 
  TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER AFFECTING DEFIANCE...FULTON AND WILLIAMS 
  COUNTIES 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS... 

  YELLOW RIVER AT PLYMOUTH AFFECTING MARSHALL...STARKE AND ST. 
  JOSEPH COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND AFFECTING ELKHART...ST. 
  JOSEPH AND BERRIEN COUNTIES 
 
.MINOR RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL AND 
SNOW MELT. 

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN STANDARD TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE 
UPDATED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS... SOONER IF NECESSARY.

INC049-085-099-131-149-310226-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-081231T1200Z/
/ORAI3.1.ER.081229T1545Z.081230T0130Z.081230T1200Z.NO/
926 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE TIPPECANOE RIVER NEAR ORA 
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 12.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  7 AM TUESDAY DECEMBER 30.
* AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND AND RURAL FLOODING
  BEGINS.

$$

INC099-141-149-310225-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-081231T1200Z/
/PYMI3.1.ER.081230T1200Z.081230T1200Z.081230T1200Z.NO/
926 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW RIVER AT PLYMOUTH
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND  7 AM 
  TUESDAY DECEMBER 30.
* AT 13.0 FEET...THE RIGHT BANK OF THE YELLOW RIVER OVERFLOWS WITH 
  SOME CITY STREETS...LOW LYING COUNTY ROADS AND BACKYARDS ALONG 
  LAPORTE STREET IN PLYMOUTH FLOOD.  LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS 
  FLOOD AS WELL.

$$

OHC039-069-310225-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-081231T0330Z/
/DEFO1.1.ER.081228T1325Z.081229T0915Z.081230T0330Z.NO/
926 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE 
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 10.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND 10 PM MONDAY DECEMBER 29.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS KINGSBERRY AND PONTIAC PARKS.


$$

OHC171-310225-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-090101T0300Z/
/MONO1.1.ER.081229T0544Z.081230T0600Z.081231T0300Z.NO/
926 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO BELOW MONTPELIER 
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.8 FEET AROUND  1 
  AM TUESDAY DECEMBER 30 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10 PM 
  TUESDAY DECEMBER 30.
* AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY ROAD K, ONE MILE SOUTHWEST OF MONTPELIER 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD. SOME FLOODING BEGINS TO AFFECT THE VILLAGE OF 
  PIONEER. SIGNIFICANT LOW LAND AND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS NEAR
  THE RIVER.

$$

INC003-033-OHC039-310225-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-090103T0600Z/
/NVLI3.1.ER.081228T1600Z.081230T0600Z.090102T0600Z.NO/
926 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE 
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 13.3 FEET AROUND  7 
  PM TUESDAY DECEMBER 30 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  1 AM 
  FRIDAY JANUARY  2.
* AT 14.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OCCURS ON DEKALB COUNTY ROAD 42
  ABOUT 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF NEWVILLE. CONSIDERABLE AGRICULTURAL AND 
  LOW LAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE ST. JOSEPH RIVER TO THE 
  CEDARVILLE RESERVOIR. 

$$

OHC039-051-171-310225-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-090104T1400Z/
/STRO1.1.ER.081228T0510Z.081231T0000Z.090103T1400Z.NO/
926 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER 
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 13.6 FEET AROUND  7 
  PM TUESDAY DECEMBER 30 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  9 AM 
  SATURDAY JANUARY  3.
* AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT SOME FARM BUILDINGS 
  NEAR STRYKER AND FLOOD SOME SECONDARY ROADS.

$$

INC039-141-MIC021-310225-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-081231T0900Z/
/SBNI3.1.ER.081228T0852Z.081229T1200Z.081230T0900Z.NO/
926 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 5.5 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  4 AM TUESDAY DECEMBER 30.
* AT 6.0 FEET...FLOODING IS CONFINED MOSTLY TO PARK LANDS AND GOLF 
  COURSES. NORTHSHORE DRIVE...LEEPER PARK AND PETRO GOLF COURSES 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KIWX 301600
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1100 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND AFFECTING ELKHART...ST. 
  JOSEPH AND BERRIEN COUNTIES
 
THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS HIGH WATER EVENT.

INC039-141-MIC021-301630-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0113.000000T0000Z-081231T0900Z/
/SBNI3.1.ER.081228T0852Z.081229T1200Z.081230T0222Z.NO/
1100 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER MICHIGAN AT SOUTH BEND
* AT 6 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.5 FEET.
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LAST NIGHT.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO NEAR 5.0 FEET AROUND  1 PM 
  TUESDAY DECEMBER 30.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
635 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

.AVIATION...

COMPLICATED AVIATION FORECAST. SQUALL LINE HAS MOVED THROUGH KSBN
AND NEARING KFWA. WINDS SHIFT NORTHWEST BEHIND THIS LINE BUT
EXPECTED TO COME QUICKLY BACK TO SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF MAIN
FRONT STILL OVER ILLINOIS. LARGE AREA OF STRATIFORM RAIN SPREADING
ACROSS AREA AHEAD OF MAIN FRONT. EXPECT MVFR VIS WITH THIS. WINDS
WILL INCREASE POST FRONTAL OVERNIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 45 KNOTS
POSSIBLE WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION. FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
SUNDAY MORNING BUT LITTLE RESTRICTION EXPECTED. WINDS TO DIMINISH
SOME THROUGH THE DAY BUT STILL GUSTY IN AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

VERY DYNAMIC SYSTEM AFFLICTING THE REGION WITH RECORD
TEMPS/FLOODING/AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION. LOCALLY TEMPS HAVE SURGED INTO THE 60S WITH DEWPOINTS WELL
INTO THE 50S. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
THROUGH EVENING AHEAD OF A DEEPENING/DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER
WESTERN IL. MCS PUSHING INTO THE EASTERN IL ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTLE
MID LEVEL SPEED MAX /PER PROFILER OBS/CONTINUING TO SUPPORT DAMAGING
WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF IL. IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THIS LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL HOLD TOGETHER AS IT PUSHES EAST. HOWEVER...BETTER
LL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY STILL REMAINS SOUTHWEST OF THE FA...AND
IS NOT EXPECTED TO ARRIVE UNTIL THIS EVENING. HAVE INCLUDED SVR
MENTION IN THE ZONES FOR THE WEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AS VERY
STRONG FLOW EXISTS JUST OF THE SFC WITH 53 KNOTS OBSERVED ON THE 18Z
ILX RAOB. ANY LOCAL DOWNDRAFT COULD EASILY MIX DOWN THIS FLOW TO THE
SFC. DEEP UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER WESTERN OK WILL LIFT INTO THE
MIDWEST SUPPORTING THE DEEPENING OF THE SFC LOW OVER WESTERN IL AS
IT TRANSLATES NORTHEAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES. MOMENTUM INCREASES
WILL BE ONGOING PER A TIGHTENING BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE
UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. H3 PROGS NEARLY 140 KNOTS AT
H5 BY 12Z SUN...WITH A PERIOD OF 70 TO 80 KNOTS OF FLOW PROGGED AT
H85...VERY IMPRESSIVE INDEED. THIS STRONG FLOW WILL INTERACT WITH
FRONTAL INDUCED CONVECTION...SUPPORTING A LINE OF TS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.

DETERMINISTIC MODELS VARY ON THE EVOLUTION OF TONIGHTS
SYSTEM...WITH THE NAM OPTING FOR A SLOWER FROPA THAN THE GFS.
HOWEVER...FORECAST MODEL GUIDANCE NEEDS TO BE TAKEN LIGHTLY...AS
CONVECTIVE PROCESS ONGOING WERE NOT HANDLED WELL AND SENSIBLE
WEATHER COULD STRAY FROM MODEL PROGS VERY EASILY...MAINLY IN THE
EVOLUTION OF TONIGHTS PRECIP AND FRONTAL PROGRESSION. HENCE...HAVE
OPTED FOR A BLEND OF THE SREF/GFS/NAM...AVOIDING RELIANCE ON ONE
MODEL PROG.

TONIGHT...SHOWERS AND TS WILL PROGRESS INTO THE FA AS UPPER LEVEL
COOLING COMMENCES AND LL CONVERGENCE INCREASES WITH THE ARRIVAL OF
THE SFC FRONT COUPLED WITH CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS. GIVEN RAMPED UP FLOW
JUST OFF THE SFC OF NEARLY 80 KNOTS AT H85 AND 50 KNOTS AT
H950...CONCERNED ABOUT DAMAGING WINDS MIXING DOWN TO THE SFC TROUGH
CONVECTIVE INDUCED DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER IN SH/TS. IN
ADDITION...A FEW TS MAY ORGANIZE INTO ALLOWING SEGMENTS WITH
ENHANCED WIND THREAT WHERE CAPE AND SHEAR ARE BALANCED...AS LL SHEAR
REMAINS OFF THE CHART. NOT RULING OUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO GIVEN THE
INTENSE FLOW...WITH 0-1 KM HELICITY OVER 800 M2/S2. COLD FRONT WILL
PUSH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT ENDING PRECIP CHANCES WEST TO EAST.
NOT EXPECTING ANY SNOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM GIVEN WARM
THERMAL FIELDS AND LIFT/FORCING DEPLETED BEFORE COLD AIR ARRIVES.
DID LEAVE A SMALL CHANCE FOR SW IN THE FAR NW SUN. HOWEVER...THE
LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY REMAINS DISMAL AND LIFT DOES NOT EXTEND
INTO THE DGZ.

WINDS WILL BE PROBLEMATIC TONIGHT AS STRONG CAA/ADIABATIC LAPSE
RATES OFF THE SFC/STRONG FLOW ALOFT...H95 GEOSTROPHIC FLOW OF NEARLY
60 KNOTS/AND H95 FLOW PARALLEL WITH THE ISALLOBARIC WIND. HAVE
INCREASE WINDS SOME...OPTING FOR WINDS JUST BELOW HIGH WIND WARNING
CRITERIA. WILL BEEF UP ADV WINDS.

LOOK FOR A COOLER DAY SUN WITH CLEARING BY LATE MORNING AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM...MODELS FAIRLY CONSISTENT FOR MOST OF THE LONG TERM
PERIOD SO FEW CHANGES IN THE FORECAST. WILL KEEP CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW IN THE FORECAST FOR TUESDAY NIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
CLIPPER THAT CUTS ACROSS MICHIGAN. STILL SOME DISAGREEMENT FOR LATE
WEEK SYSTEM. APPEARS GFS IS SLOWLY COMING AROUND TO WEAKER ECMWF
SOLUTION BUT WILL ALLOW FOR A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT.

EXPECT HIGH TEMPS IN THE 40S ON MONDAY THAT WILL SLIP INTO THE 30S
TUESDAY..LOWER 30S WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND UPPER 20S AND LOWER
30S FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. LOWS IN THE MID AND UPPER 20S MONDAY
TUESDAY WILL SLIP TO THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S WEDNESDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ SUNDAY FOR INZ003>009-
     012>018-020-022>027-032>034.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR INZ003>008-012>016-020.

MI...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR MIZ077>081.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR MIZ077>081.

OH...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR OHZ001-002-004-005-015-
     016-024-025.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LMZ043-
     046.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LMZ043-046.

&&

SHORT TERM...JC
LONG TERM...SABONES
AVIATION...LASHLEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
531 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-281045-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
531 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2008 /431 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT NORTHWEST OF A MONTICELLO TO HILLSDALE
LINE TODAY AND TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL...THUNDERSTORMS... AND
MELTING SNOW MAY CAUSE FLOODING IN THIS AREA. THERE IS A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT AS A STRONG COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY ACCOMPANY THE
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...MAINLY SOUTH OF ROUTE 6. A WIND ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FOR
WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY FOR WIND
GUSTS TO 45 MPH. SOME RIVER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK DUE TO HEAVY RAIN AND MELTING SNOW OVER THE
WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-281045-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
531 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY AND A GALE WARNING IS IN
EFFECT TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAMAREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
535 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

INZ006>009-016>018-022>027-032>034-272330-
ADAMS IN-ALLEN IN-BLACKFORD IN-CASS IN-DE KALB IN-GRANT IN-HUNTINGTON
IN-JAY IN-KOSCIUSKO IN-LAGRANGE IN-MIAMI IN-NOBLE IN-STEUBEN
IN-WABASH IN-WELLS IN-WHITLEY IN-
535 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL INDIANA...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING EAST NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN INDIANA THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY PUSH
INTO NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL INDIANA BY 630 PM EST.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND
GUSTS TO NEAR 70 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO ONE INCH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. THIS COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING IN SOME
AREAS...ESPECIALLY LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS THIS EVENING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
607 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NAPPANEE                41.45N  85.98W
12/27/2008                   ELKHART            IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POLE BARN BLOWN OFF ITS FOUNDATION. TREES DOWN IN
            SOUTHWEST PART OF NAPPANEE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX0802129

LMK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
716 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-280200-
ALLEN OH-DEFIANCE OH-FULTON OH-HENRY OH-PAULDING OH-PUTNAM OH-VAN
WERT OH-WILLIAMS OH-
716 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...SHOWERS WITH STRONG WINDS WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO THIS
EVENING...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS INDICATED
A NARROW LINE OF STRONG SHOWERS...WITH ONLY ISOLATED THUNDER AND
LIGHTNING...MOVING EAST ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO AND EXTREME NORTHEAST
INDIANA. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LEADING
EDGE OF THESE SHOWERS AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.

IN ADDITION TO THE WIND GUSTS...SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS CAN
BE EXPECTED. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS TO NEAR
70 MPH ARE CANNOT BE RULED OUT...BUT AGAIN...VERY LITTLE THUNDER AND
LIGHTNING ARE ACTUALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LINE. THE THREAT FOR
DAMAGING WINDS WITH THIS LINE SHOULD END BETWEEN 900 PM EST AND 1000
PM EST ACROSS NORTHWEST OHIO.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO ONE INCH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT WITH RAIN BEHIND THIS INITIAL LINE. THIS COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING IN SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME RIVER FLOODING MAY ALSO FOLLOW. DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS THIS EVENING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
745 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     FLOOD            AKRON                   41.04N  86.02W
12/27/2008                   FULTON             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PONDING ON SOME ROADS. SOME FIELDS ARE FLOODED WITH
            WATER APPROACHING THE ROADS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX0802130

LMK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1012 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

INZ025>027-032-033-280345-
ADAMS IN-BLACKFORD IN-GRANT IN-HUNTINGTON IN-WELLS IN-
1012 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 1008 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTH OF FAIRMOUNT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 80 MPH.

WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  UPLAND AND HARTFORD CITY...
  BLUFFTON...
  VAN BUREN...
  MONTPELIER...
  MARKLE...
  ARCANA...LAKE WOOD AND SHAMROCK LAKES...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1034 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

INZ018-026-027-033-034-OHZ015-024-280400-
ADAMS IN-ALLEN IN-BLACKFORD IN-JAY IN-PAULDING OH-VAN WERT OH-WELLS
IN-
1034 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 1033 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MONTPELIER...OR 11 MILES SOUTH OF
BLUFFTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  BLUFFTON...
  BERNE...
  DECATUR...
  GENEVA...
  MONROE...
  MONROEVILLE...

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH BINS TO BLOW
AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.