Severe Thunderstorm Warning 150, NWS Indianapolis, IN

000 
WWUS53 KIND 261754
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
154 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

INC171-261804-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0150.000000T0000Z-080626T1815Z/
WARREN-
154 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS EXITED THE AREA.

LAT...LON 4058 8693 4043 8683 4037 8710 4048 8710
      4049 8711 4056 8710 4058 8706
TIME...MOT...LOC 1754Z 241DEG 17KT 4048 8703

$$

INC157-261815-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0150.000000T0000Z-080626T1815Z/
TIPPECANOE-
154 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN TIPPECANOE COUNTY...

AT 151 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.
 THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OTTERBEIN...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LAFAYETTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WEST LAFAYETTE BY 205 PM EDT...

LAT...LON 4058 8693 4043 8683 4037 8710 4048 8710
      4049 8711 4056 8710 4058 8706
TIME...MOT...LOC 1754Z 241DEG 17KT 4048 8703

$$

JAS

000 
WWUS53 KIND 261814
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
214 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

INC157-261823-
/O.EXP.KIND.SV.W.0150.000000T0000Z-080626T1815Z/
TIPPECANOE-
213 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN TIPPECANOE COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 215 PM EDT...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND ARE IN THE 
PROCESS OF EXITING THE AREA.

LAT...LON 4058 8693 4043 8683 4037 8710 4048 8710
      4049 8711 4056 8710 4058 8706
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 241DEG 17KT 4052 8693

$$

JAS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1215 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 261800Z TAF ISSUANCE. SFC OBS AND
INSTABILITY GRAD SUGGESTS A BOUNDARY CURRENTLY EXISTS ACRS FAR ERN
IL. MODEL DATA SUGGEST THIS BOUNDARY WL SAG SEWD ACRS THE LOCAL AREA
DURG THE COURSE OF THE AFT...GENERATING AT LEAST SCT CONVECTION
ALONG IT GIVEN THE CURRENT INSTABILITY. CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE CLOSE
TO BEING REACHED...SO SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE DVLPMT OVR THE NEXT HR OR
SO. BEST ESTIMATES AT THIS TIME FOR CONVECTION TO DIRECTLY IMPACT
THE TERMINALS WL BE THRU ABOUT 262200 OR SO. INSTABILITY AXIS
ALREADY E OF KLAF AND CLOSE TO KHUF...SO THESE TERMINALS MAY HV A
LWR CONVECTIVE THREAT THAN AREAS FARTHER E. SOME LO THREAT OF
CONVECTION MAY LINGER OVR THE TERMINALS BYD 262200Z...ESPECIALLY IF
RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES/INSTABILITY POCKETS ARE STILL ARND.
BRIEF PDS OF IFR CONDS XPCTD IN THE HEAVIER SHWRS.

MODEL/PROFILER DATA SUGGEST A FEW SFC WND GUSTS ARND 15 KTS PSBL FM
220-250 HEADINGS THIS AFT. ANY GUSTS SHOULD DIMINISH WITH THE
PASSAGE OF SFC BOUNDARY BY EVEN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST FOCUS CONTINUES TO BE ON CHANCES FOR RAIN INTO THE WEEKEND.

AT 07Z TSRA COMPLEX WAS MOVING SE ACROSS IL/MO. A COLD FRONT WAS
ACROSS WI. DEWPOINTS WERE IN THE 60S ACROSS FORECAST AREA /FA/.

MODELS CONTINUED TO SUFFER FROM FEEDBACK ISSUES AT VARIOUS POINTS IN
THE FORECAST. REMOVED FEEDBACK RELATED ISSUES AND THEN TOOK A BLEND.

TSRA COMPLEX ACROSS IL WILL CONTINUE ITS DIURNAL WEAKENING TREND
BUT WILL STILL BRING AN INCREASED THREAT FOR RAIN TO THE AREA THIS
MORNING...AND THEN AGAIN THIS AFTN AS THE MCV ASSOCIATED WITH IT
MOVES ACROSS ERN AREAS. CLOUDS SHOULD SLOW RECOVERY OF ATMS THIS
AFTN...BUT STILL FEEL THAT ENOUGH SUN WILL BREAK OUT TO INCREASE
INSTABILITY THIS AFTN. RELATIVELY HIGH DEWPOINTS WILL ADD TO THAT
INSTABILITY. THUS WENT HIGHER THAN THE VERY LOW MAV POPS AGAIN
TODAY AND WENT CHANCE POPS. LATER REFINEMENTS MAY BE NECESSARY AS
EVOLUTION OF MCS BECOMES MORE APPARENT. AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS WILL
ALSO SLOW TEMPS A BIT...AND MAV HAS BEEN RUNNING WARM ANYWAY. WILL
GO BELOW MAV TEMPS FOR HIGHS...BUT NOT QUITE AS COOL AS MET.

A FRONT WILL REMAIN TO THE N OF THE FA TONIGHT SO BETTER CHANCES
FOR PRECIP WILL BE CLOSER TO THE FRONT ACROSS NRN FA. ANY TSRA
COMPLEX THAT DEVELOPS WELL TO OUR N TONIGHT SHOULD TREND SE AS DID
THE CURRENT ONE...SO WENT AT LEAST 30 POPS EVEN IN THE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT. CLOUDS AROUND COMBINED WITH THE MOIST ATMS WILL KEEP
TEMPS NEAR THE WARM MAV NUMBERS.

UNSTABLE ATMS COMBINED WITH FRONT TO OUR N AND ANY UPPER IMPULSE
WILL KEEP THREAT FOR STORMS AROUND ON FRI. WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS
ALL AREAS. BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN ARRIVE FRI NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
AS COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY WITH UPPER TROF ACROSS
THE AREA. CONTINUED 20-30 POPS.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...CS
AVIATION...JAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
440 AM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-271000-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
440 AM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW SEVERE
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. THE PRIMARY
THREATS WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LIGHTNING IS
ALWAYS A THREAT FROM A THUNDERSTORM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY. PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT A GREATER THREAT FOR MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS WILL DEVELOP LATER FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY AS A STRONG
COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR SPOTTER ACTIVATION TODAY...BUT
ACTIVATION IS MORE LIKELY SOMETIME FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)