Severe Thunderstorm Warning 149, NWS Indianapolis, IN

000 
WWUS53 KIND 261740
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
140 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

INC067-159-261800-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0149.000000T0000Z-080626T1800Z/
HOWARD-TIPTON-
139 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL TIPTON AND HOWARD COUNTIES...

AT 138 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SHARPSVILLE...OR NEAR KOKOMO...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 22 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GREENTOWN BY 155 PM EDT...
  CONVERSE BY 200 PM EDT...

LAT...LON 4058 8587 4058 8586 4043 8586 4032 8614
      4037 8618 4044 8618 4046 8624 4045 8621
      4046 8621 4046 8619 4045 8617 4047 8618
      4047 8613 4058 8607
TIME...MOT...LOC 1739Z 244DEG 19KT 4042 8606

$$

JAS

000 
WWUS53 KIND 261756
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
156 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

INC067-159-261805-
/O.EXP.KIND.SV.W.0149.000000T0000Z-080626T1800Z/
HOWARD-TIPTON-
155 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL TIPTON AND 
EASTERN HOWARD COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 200 PM EDT...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED ARE IN THE 
PROCESS OF EXITING THE AREA.

LAT...LON 4058 8587 4058 8586 4043 8586 4032 8614
      4037 8618 4044 8618 4046 8624 4045 8621
      4046 8621 4046 8619 4045 8617 4047 8618
      4047 8613 4058 8607
TIME...MOT...LOC 1755Z 244DEG 19KT 4046 8596

$$

JAS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1215 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 261800Z TAF ISSUANCE. SFC OBS AND
INSTABILITY GRAD SUGGESTS A BOUNDARY CURRENTLY EXISTS ACRS FAR ERN
IL. MODEL DATA SUGGEST THIS BOUNDARY WL SAG SEWD ACRS THE LOCAL AREA
DURG THE COURSE OF THE AFT...GENERATING AT LEAST SCT CONVECTION
ALONG IT GIVEN THE CURRENT INSTABILITY. CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE CLOSE
TO BEING REACHED...SO SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE DVLPMT OVR THE NEXT HR OR
SO. BEST ESTIMATES AT THIS TIME FOR CONVECTION TO DIRECTLY IMPACT
THE TERMINALS WL BE THRU ABOUT 262200 OR SO. INSTABILITY AXIS
ALREADY E OF KLAF AND CLOSE TO KHUF...SO THESE TERMINALS MAY HV A
LWR CONVECTIVE THREAT THAN AREAS FARTHER E. SOME LO THREAT OF
CONVECTION MAY LINGER OVR THE TERMINALS BYD 262200Z...ESPECIALLY IF
RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES/INSTABILITY POCKETS ARE STILL ARND.
BRIEF PDS OF IFR CONDS XPCTD IN THE HEAVIER SHWRS.

MODEL/PROFILER DATA SUGGEST A FEW SFC WND GUSTS ARND 15 KTS PSBL FM
220-250 HEADINGS THIS AFT. ANY GUSTS SHOULD DIMINISH WITH THE
PASSAGE OF SFC BOUNDARY BY EVEN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST FOCUS CONTINUES TO BE ON CHANCES FOR RAIN INTO THE WEEKEND.

AT 07Z TSRA COMPLEX WAS MOVING SE ACROSS IL/MO. A COLD FRONT WAS
ACROSS WI. DEWPOINTS WERE IN THE 60S ACROSS FORECAST AREA /FA/.

MODELS CONTINUED TO SUFFER FROM FEEDBACK ISSUES AT VARIOUS POINTS IN
THE FORECAST. REMOVED FEEDBACK RELATED ISSUES AND THEN TOOK A BLEND.

TSRA COMPLEX ACROSS IL WILL CONTINUE ITS DIURNAL WEAKENING TREND
BUT WILL STILL BRING AN INCREASED THREAT FOR RAIN TO THE AREA THIS
MORNING...AND THEN AGAIN THIS AFTN AS THE MCV ASSOCIATED WITH IT
MOVES ACROSS ERN AREAS. CLOUDS SHOULD SLOW RECOVERY OF ATMS THIS
AFTN...BUT STILL FEEL THAT ENOUGH SUN WILL BREAK OUT TO INCREASE
INSTABILITY THIS AFTN. RELATIVELY HIGH DEWPOINTS WILL ADD TO THAT
INSTABILITY. THUS WENT HIGHER THAN THE VERY LOW MAV POPS AGAIN
TODAY AND WENT CHANCE POPS. LATER REFINEMENTS MAY BE NECESSARY AS
EVOLUTION OF MCS BECOMES MORE APPARENT. AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS WILL
ALSO SLOW TEMPS A BIT...AND MAV HAS BEEN RUNNING WARM ANYWAY. WILL
GO BELOW MAV TEMPS FOR HIGHS...BUT NOT QUITE AS COOL AS MET.

A FRONT WILL REMAIN TO THE N OF THE FA TONIGHT SO BETTER CHANCES
FOR PRECIP WILL BE CLOSER TO THE FRONT ACROSS NRN FA. ANY TSRA
COMPLEX THAT DEVELOPS WELL TO OUR N TONIGHT SHOULD TREND SE AS DID
THE CURRENT ONE...SO WENT AT LEAST 30 POPS EVEN IN THE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT. CLOUDS AROUND COMBINED WITH THE MOIST ATMS WILL KEEP
TEMPS NEAR THE WARM MAV NUMBERS.

UNSTABLE ATMS COMBINED WITH FRONT TO OUR N AND ANY UPPER IMPULSE
WILL KEEP THREAT FOR STORMS AROUND ON FRI. WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS
ALL AREAS. BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN ARRIVE FRI NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
AS COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY WITH UPPER TROF ACROSS
THE AREA. CONTINUED 20-30 POPS.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...CS
AVIATION...JAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
440 AM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-271000-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
440 AM EDT THU JUN 26 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW SEVERE
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. THE PRIMARY
THREATS WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LIGHTNING IS
ALWAYS A THREAT FROM A THUNDERSTORM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY. PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT A GREATER THREAT FOR MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS WILL DEVELOP LATER FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY AS A STRONG
COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR SPOTTER ACTIVATION TODAY...BUT
ACTIVATION IS MORE LIKELY SOMETIME FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)