Flash Flood Warning 59, NWS Lincoln, IL

000 
WGUS73 KILX 280012
FFSILX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
612 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

ILC169-280021-
/O.EXP.KILX.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-081228T0015Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SCHUYLER-
612 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 615 PM CST FOR SCHUYLER
COUNTY...

THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED ACROSS THE
AREA THIS EVENING. TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW 
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4028 9092 4029 9046 4020 9044 4018 9021
      4016 9022 4016 9030 4012 9038 4006 9044
      4002 9044 3998 9060 4008 9072 4011 9071
      4011 9093

$$

SMITH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
300 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 258 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

FORECAST PROBLEMS TODAY INVOLVE A NUMBER OF SYSTEMS. FIRST IS THE
MAJOR SHORT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT EFFECTING THE
AREA TODAY. SECOND IS WEAK LOW SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES ON MONDAY AND THEN ANOTHER LOW ON LATE TUESDAY. THESE TWO
WILL BE DRY FOR CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THE LAST IS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ON THURSDAY NIGHT TO FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT TO MONDAY NIGHT
UPPER AIR...MSAS SURFACE DATA...AND SATELLITE/PROFILER COMBO
DISPLAY SHOWED EXTREME WINDS FROM ALOFT TO THE LOW LEVELS. VERY
MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMAS AHEAD OF SURFACE FRONT FED THE SQUALL LINE
THAT MOVED OUT OF MO DURING MORNING. STRONG WIND FIELDS AIDED IN
SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE ACROSS WESTERN 2/3 CWA THROUGH THE DAY.
BOWING LINE SEGMENTS PRODUCED THE DAMAGE.

EXPECT THE UPPER TROF TO BEGIN TO SURGE EAST BY EVENING. THIS SHOULD
SHOVE THE FORWARD EDGE OF THE COOL POOL OFF TO THE EAST EARLY THIS
EVENING AND CLEAR THE WARM SECTOR SOUTHEAST OF CWA. USED NAM AND RUC
FOR MODIFIED WIND FORECAST THROUGH 06Z...AS MODELS A LITTLE SLOW ON
THE FRONT AND PCPN POSITIONS.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY TO SATURDAY
FLOW DURING THIS PERIOD IS ZONAL WITH COUPLE MINOR SYSTEMS MOVING
THROUGH REGION. FAST MOVING FIRST SYSTEM ON THURSDAY...LOW MOVING
NORTH OF REGION ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH LATE TUESDAY...BUT
REGION SHOULD REMAIN DRY.

THE NEXT SYSTEM IS A FRONTAL SYSTEM ON THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
PROBLEM WITH THIS FEATURE IS THAT THE GFS AND EUR HAVE 2 DIFFERENT
SOLUTIONS. FRONTAL PASSAGE TIMING IS SAME, BUT GFS HAS LOW PRESSURE
AREA DEVELOPING ON FRONT OVER MID OH VALLEY, WITH THE EUR HAVING LOW
IN GREAT LAKES AND COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH. STILL A LITTLE EARLY
TO BE SELECTION ONE VERSUS THE OTHER...BUT RESULT IN EITHER CASE
SHOULD BRING CHANCE OF SNOW ON THU NIGHT AND FRI...SO INCREASED POPS
A BIT ON FRI.

GOETSCH
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 1130 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE CENTRAL ILLINOIS TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT. IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED UNTIL FROPA...WITH
CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVING AS DRIER AIR WORKS IN BEHIND THE
FRONT TONIGHT. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
SHIFT WESTERLY AND REMAIN STRONG BEHIND THE FRONT.

BAK
&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR ILZ038-042>046-
051>057-061>063-066>068-071>073.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ILZ027>031-
036>038-040>044-047>054-061.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR ILZ045-046-055.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1022 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

ILZ027>031-036-037-040-041-047>050-281200-
CASS-FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MASON-MENARD-MORGAN-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-
SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
1022 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STEADY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TOWARD NOON FOR AREAS WEST OF
I-55. SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE. BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH
OF RAIN ALREADY FELL SINCE MIDNIGHT FOR SOME AREAS WEST OF THE
ILLINOIS RIVER. ADDITIONAL LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH AROUND 2 MORE INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM THIS EVENING.

THE WARM RAIN WILL ALSO MELT ANY REMAINING SNOW AND ICE ON THE
GROUND...AND THE FROZEN GROUND WILL FORCE MOST OF THE WATER TO
RUNOFF. HEAVY RAINS...MELTING SNOW...AND POSSIBLE CLOGGED STREET
DRAINS MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING TODAY.

COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TONIGHT...WITH ANY RAIN
POSSIBLY CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW. ANY WET SURFACES
MAY RE-FREEZE. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

ILZ038-042>044-051>054-061-281200-
CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-LOGAN-MACON-MCLEAN-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SANGAMON-
SHELBY-
1022 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED INTO
TONIGHT. DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY ON EAST-WEST ROADS. WINDS WILL TURN WESTERLY
THIS EVENING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...AND BECOME STRONG AGAIN. THE
WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AS A RESULT.

STEADY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON FOR AREAS EAST
OF I-55. SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM
THIS EVENING.

THE FROZEN GROUND WILL FORCE MOST OF THE WATER TO RUNOFF. HEAVY
RAINS AND POSSIBLE CLOGGED STREET DRAINS MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING
TODAY. BASEMENTS WILL LIKELY SEE WATER SEEPAGE AS WELL.

COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TONIGHT...WITH ANY RAIN
POSSIBLY CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW. ANY WET SURFACES
MAY RE-FREEZE. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

ILZ045-046-055-281200-
CHAMPAIGN-DOUGLAS-VERMILION-
1022 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED INTO TONIGHT.
DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY
ON EAST-WEST ROADS. WINDS WILL TURN WESTERLY THIS EVENING BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT...AND BECOME STRONG AGAIN. THE WIND ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AS A RESULT.

STEADY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON FOR AREAS EAST
OF I-55. SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
THROUGH MIDNIGHT THIS EVENING.

THE FROZEN GROUND WILL FORCE MOST OF THE WATER TO RUNOFF. HEAVY
RAINS AND POSSIBLE CLOGGED STREET DRAINS MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING
TODAY. BASEMENTS WILL LIKELY SEE WATER SEEPAGE AS WELL.

COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TONIGHT...WITH ANY RAIN
POSSIBLY CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW. ANY WET SURFACES
MAY RE-FREEZE. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY AFTER 3 PM.

ILZ056-057-062-063-066>068-071>073-281200-
CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-
LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
1022 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL PERSIST INTO TONIGHT.
DRIVING MAY BECOME DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY
ON EAST-WEST ROADS. WINDS WILL TURN WESTERLY THIS EVENING BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT...AND BECOME STRONG AGAIN. THE WIND ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AS A RESULT.

COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TONIGHT...WITH ANY RAIN
POSSIBLY CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW. ANY WET SURFACES
MAY RE-FREEZE. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL MAY DEVELOP TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY
EVENING...MAINLY AFTER 4 PM.

BAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
236 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N SPRINGFIELD         39.81N 89.64W
12/27/2008                   SANGAMON           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LOOSE DEBRIS FROM STATE FAIRGROUNDS BLOWN ACROSS PEORIA
            ROAD AND STRUCK A GAS STATION. TIME ESTIMATED

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
238 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1222 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE SPRINGFIELD        39.80N 89.62W
12/27/2008                   SANGAMON           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            OUTDOOR DISPLAYS FROM HARDWARE STORE BLOWN OFF PARKING
            LOT. DISPLAYS UNANCHORED. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
241 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1226 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N SPAULDING           39.90N 89.54W
12/27/2008                   SANGAMON           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NEAR INTERSECTION OF WILLIAMSVILLE RD AND TURKEY RUN
            RD...UNANCHORED MOBILE HOME BLOWN OFF ITS PAD WHICH BROKE
            GAS LINE FEED. FIREFIGHTERS RESPONDED. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
246 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1205 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 W SPRINGFIELD         39.78N 89.72W
12/27/2008                   SANGAMON           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FARMSTEAD WEST OF SPRINGFIELD ON MQUEEN RD SUSTAINED
            SIGNIFICANT STRAIGTLINE WIND DAMAGE. TIME AND LOCATION
            ESTIMATED.

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
251 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N SPRINGFIELD         39.81N 89.64W
12/27/2008                   SANGAMON           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AT STATE FAIRGROUNDS...ROOF DAMAGE TO 3 LARGE BARNS AND
            GRANDSTAND OVERHANG. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
300 PM CST SAT DEC 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 E BLOOMINGTON         40.48N 88.88W
12/27/2008                   MCLEAN             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THREE TO FOUR BUILDINGS WERE DAMAGED AT A FARMSTEAD NEAR
            IRELAND GROVE AND TOWANDA BARNES ROAD. IN ADDITION...A
            MACHINE SHED WAS DESTROYED.

&&

BAK